NHL Match Prediction: St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights
St. Louis Blues
Vegas Golden KnightsMatch result
St. Louis Blues 6:2 Vegas Golden Knights (2:0, 1:1, 3:1)
In the NHL, the match between the St. Louis Blues and the Vegas Golden Knights ended with a score of 6:2. The period scores were recorded as 2:0, 1:1, and 3:1. Our prediction for this match was 2X, but the bet lost.
Our prediction: 2X at 1.52 — the bet lost.
St. Louis Blues host Vegas Golden Knights at Enterprise Center on 22 October in a Western Conference matchup. Vegas lead the conference with 16 points from 11 games, while St. Louis are 11th with 9 points from 9 games. The seven-point gap puts the Blues under pressure to close ground against the conference leader.
St. Louis Blues: home scoring against an unstable defence
The Blues have won three of their last five, scoring 20 goals and conceding 16. They have scored and allowed at least one goal in all five games. Their home results are tighter: victories over Columbus and Winnipeg produced a combined score of 7:4. Away from St. Louis, defensive problems increased, with 12 goals conceded in two losses after a seven-goal performance in Ottawa.
Form, structure and available personnel
St. Louis scored in every recent game, reached five goals against Columbus and seven against Ottawa, and allowed four goals across their two home wins. Their weaknesses are defensive transitions and game control: they conceded five goals in each away defeat, while their season record shows 29 goals for and 29 against.
- Recent record: three wins and two losses.
- Recent average: 4.0 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game.
- Home sample: two wins, with seven goals for and four against.
- Alexei Toropchenko is unavailable with an upper-body injury; according to media reports, he had been expected to miss at least six weeks, although he skated as a reserve at Wednesday’s practice.
The confirmed starting goaltender, expected line combinations and any suspension are not identified. Goaltending save percentages, power-play efficiency and penalty-kill efficiency are also unavailable for this matchup.
- Winnipeg Jetshome2:1
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:5
- Minnesota Wildaway4:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
Vegas Golden Knights: leading attack, recent defensive setback
Vegas also enter with three wins in their last five, but their recent games have been more open. They scored 21 goals and conceded 16, finding the net in every match. Their two home wins over Calgary and Pittsburgh produced 12 goals, while the latest home defeat to Tampa Bay ended 2:6. The earlier away split followed the same pattern: a 5:2 win in Nashville came after a 2:4 loss in Minnesota.
Attack volume and defensive risk
Vegas lead the conference in scoring with 44 goals in 11 games, an average of 4.0 per match, and have a positive goal difference of 14. Their attacking ceiling is higher than St. Louis’ recent home output, with six goals in consecutive games. They have conceded 30 times overall and allowed six goals in the latest game. Both teams have scored in each of their last five matches.
- Recent record: three wins and two losses.
- Recent average: 4.2 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game.
- Conference standing: first place, 44 goals for and 30 against.
- No Vegas injuries, suspensions, confirmed goaltender or final lineup are listed.
No verified save-percentage figure is available for either Vegas goaltender. The same applies to the Golden Knights’ power play and penalty kill, so special-teams superiority cannot be assumed from the standings alone.
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome2:6
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome6:2
- Calgary Flameshome6:2
- Nashville Predatorsaway5:2
- Minnesota Wildaway2:4
Head-to-head record favours Vegas
Across the last 14 official meetings over five years, Vegas have won nine and St. Louis five. The recent eight meetings show the same balance: six Vegas victories and two St. Louis wins. Aggregate scoring in those eight games is 31:25 in favour of Vegas from the Blues’ perspective, an average of 7.0 total goals per meeting.
Six of the last eight listed meetings reached at least six total goals, while both of St. Louis’ victories in that sequence were by one goal. Vegas have also won four of the last five meetings, including the latest encounter, a 4:2 result in January.
- 11.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights4:2St. Louis BluesNHL
- 02.01.2026St. Louis Blues4:3Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 16.11.2025St. Louis Blues1:4Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 24.01.2025St. Louis Blues2:4Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 20.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights4:5St. Louis BluesNHL
Team news and pre-game context
The only confirmed personnel update concerns St. Louis forward Alexei Toropchenko. His absence reduces forward-depth options, although the Blues have still produced 20 goals in five games. No suspension is listed for either side, and no further injury or lineup information is supplied.
Vegas are protecting first place, while St. Louis are trying to move out of the lower part of the Western Conference. Both teams played on 20 October, so neither has a rest advantage. The schedule contains no additional travel details beyond Vegas’ recent home game and St. Louis’ home fixture.
Line-ups
St. Louis Blues
Substitutes: 50. Jordan Binnington
Coach: Jim Montgomery
Vegas Golden Knights
Substitutes: 79. Carter Hart
Coach: Ryan Craig
Our pick: Vegas to avoid a regulation defeat
For St. Louis against Vegas at Enterprise Center, our pick is 2X 1.52. The visitors lead the Western Conference with 16 points from 11 games; the Blues are 11th with nine points from nine. Vegas have scored 44 goals against 30 conceded, while the hosts have an even 29–29 balance. That stronger season-long scoring margin supports backing the visitors with the regulation draw covered.
The caution comes from Vegas losing 2–6 to Tampa Bay last time out: their conference position does not make an outright victory secure. St. Louis have also won both home games in their last five fixtures, so protection against a level score after 60 minutes matters here. Alexei Toropchenko is unavailable with an upper-body injury. A possible score is 2–3 to Vegas in regulation.
Final betting verdict
2X 1.52 is the selection: Vegas have the stronger season record, but the Blues’ recent home results make retaining the draw preferable to demanding an away win.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Winnipeg Jetshome2:1
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:5
- Minnesota Wildaway4:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome2:6
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome6:2
- Calgary Flameshome6:2
- Nashville Predatorsaway5:2
- Minnesota Wildaway2:4
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 47:32 | 17 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 46:36 | 16 |
| 3 | Seattle Kraken | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 44:37 | 15 |
| 8 | Colorado Avalanche | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 41:31 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Louis Blues | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 35:31 | 11 |
| 10 | Winnipeg Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26:29 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 11.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights4:2St. Louis BluesNHL
- 02.01.2026St. Louis Blues4:3Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 16.11.2025St. Louis Blues1:4Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 24.01.2025St. Louis Blues2:4Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 20.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights4:5St. Louis BluesNHL
About the match
- 22 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Enterprise Center (Saint Louis)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view: narrow away lean and goals preference
The 1X2 market makes Vegas the slight favourite, assigning the away win a 40.6% probability, compared with 36.6% for a St. Louis win and 22.8% for a draw. The line has moved against Vegas over the last day, while support for the home win has strengthened. Home ice and Vegas’ latest 2:6 loss are the market’s main counterweights to the table gap.
The goals market leans toward Over 5.5 at 54.6%, with Under 5.5 at 45.4% and no significant movement. The strongest market signal is BTTS: Yes at 88%, although its line has moved toward lower confidence. Both teams have scored in each of their last five games, and all eight listed recent head-to-head meetings include goals from both sides.
Our prediction
- Market
- 2X
- Odds
- 1.52
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.52
- Potential win
- 52 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.51
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
