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NHL Prediction: St. Louis Blues Meet Montreal Canadiens

NHL Finished
St. Louis BluesSt. Louis Blues
0:2
(0:0, 0:1, 0:1)
Full time
Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
12.5637%
X4.223%
22.3640%
Our prediction
Total Over (5) 1.43
Stake 100 $, potential win 43 $ odds at kick-off 1.42
lost
−100 $

Match result

St. Louis Blues 0:2 Montreal Canadiens (0:0, 0:1, 0:1)

The NHL game between the St. Louis Blues and the Montreal Canadiens ended in a 0:2 victory for the visitors. The period scores were 0:0, 0:1, and 0:1. Our prediction for Total Over (5) lost, as the teams combined for only two goals throughout the entire match.

Our prediction: Total Over (5) at 1.43 — the bet lost.

St. Louis host Montreal at Enterprise Center on October 27, with faceoff at 20:00 Eastern. The Blues have 11 points from 11 games and sit seven points behind the Western Conference leader. Montreal have 14 points and consecutive road wins, while St. Louis are responding to a shutout defeat.

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis BluesLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

St. Louis: uneven scoring on home ice

Recent results and performance profile

The Blues have won two of their last five games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 17. Their three home fixtures in that span produced wins over Winnipeg and Vegas before a 0:4 loss to Carolina. Their attacking output has fluctuated sharply.

  • St. Louis scored eight goals and allowed seven across three home games.
  • The two away defeats accounted for ten goals conceded, making the defensive split more favourable at Enterprise Center.
  • Three of the five games finished above 5.5 goals, but the latest shutout ended a run of four scoring appearances.

Personnel and preparation

Ross Johnston is unavailable with a lower-body injury, while Otto Stenberg has been recalled from Springfield. Jim Montgomery called the Carolina defeat “very humbling” and a lesson; the team also held a meeting to establish a more “relentless” identity. St. Louis last played at home on October 24, leaving two days between games.

Recent matches
  • Carolina Hurricaneshome0:4
  • Vegas Golden Knightshome6:2
  • Winnipeg Jetshome2:1
  • Nashville Predatorsaway2:5
  • Minnesota Wildaway4:5
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal CanadiensLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Montreal: road progress with forwards missing

Results and defensive improvement

Montreal have three wins in five games, with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their latest victories came at Chicago and Winnipeg, where they allowed one goal in each game. Those results contrast with the 12 conceded across their previous three fixtures.

  • The Canadiens scored in all five games, reaching four goals on three occasions.
  • Their three road appearances produced ten goals for and seven against.
  • Three of five totals exceeded 5.5 goals; both recent wins stayed below that threshold.

Absences and the travel schedule

Nick Suzuki is absent, while Ivan Demidov and Florian Xhekaj are out with lower-body injuries. Cole Caufield has called for greater responsibility from every player without the captain. Martin St. Louis criticised unnecessary penalties after the San Jose defeat. This is Montreal’s third road game in five days, following games at Chicago and Winnipeg.

Recent matches
  • Winnipeg Jetsaway2:1
  • Chicago Blackhawksaway4:1
  • San Jose Sharkshome3:4
  • Buffalo Sabreshome4:3
  • Washington Capitalsaway4:5

Head-to-head: a scoring history with one exception

St. Louis lead the ten official meetings over five years by six wins to four. Seven of the eight listed encounters produced at least seven goals, averaging 7.625 in total. The exception was the latest meeting, a 2:0 Blues win in January 2026. St. Louis have won the last three, giving the hosts the historical advantage, although that most recent result differs sharply from the earlier scoring pattern.

St. Louis Blues wins 8draws 0Montreal Canadiens wins 7
  • 03.01.2026St. Louis Blues2:0Montreal CanadiensNHL
  • 08.12.2025Montreal Canadiens3:4St. Louis BluesNHL
  • 26.03.2025St. Louis Blues6:1Montreal CanadiensNHL
  • 26.10.2024Montreal Canadiens5:2St. Louis BluesNHL
  • 11.02.2024Montreal Canadiens2:7St. Louis BluesNHL

Unconfirmed details before faceoff

No confirmed starting goalies, save percentages, power-play or penalty-kill rates, projected lines, tactical formations, suspension updates or independent expert assessments are supplied. Without those details, the recent reduction in Montreal’s goals conceded cannot be attributed specifically to goaltending or special teams.

Line-ups

St. Louis Blues

Substitutes: 30. Joel Hofer

Coach: Jim Montgomery

Montreal Canadiens

Substitutes: 75. Jakub Dobes

Coach: Martin St. Louis

Our Pick

For St. Louis Blues–Montreal Canadiens at Enterprise Center, our bet is Total Over (5) at 1.43. The statistical profile points to a high-scoring game: St. Louis scored 14 goals in its last five matches and conceded 17, while Montreal produced 17 and allowed 14. Both teams found the net in at least four of those five games, and neither kept a clean sheet trend consistently.

The recent head-to-head record also supports the total. Recent meetings included scores of 7:4, 6:3, 7:2, 6:1 and 4:3. The latest matchup ended 2:0, but it is the clear low-scoring exception in an otherwise productive series. Montreal’s attack has scored in all five recent games, while St. Louis has allowed goals in all five. The Blues are without Ross Johnston, and Montreal will miss Ivan Demidov and Florian Xhekaj; Nick Suzuki’s absence further reduces Montreal’s forward depth, but the available scoring trends remain strong. A reasonable projected score is 4:3.

Conclusion

Total Over (5) at 1.43 is the preferred selection. Recent combined scoring, five-goal-plus head-to-head results and both teams’ consistent defensive concessions create a stronger case for six or more goals than for a low-total game.

Chances by market estimate

St. Louis Blues37%
Draw23%
Montreal Canadiens40%

Team form

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis BluesLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • Carolina Hurricaneshome0:4
  • Vegas Golden Knightshome6:2
  • Winnipeg Jetshome2:1
  • Nashville Predatorsaway2:5
  • Minnesota Wildaway4:5
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal CanadiensLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • Winnipeg Jetsaway2:1
  • Chicago Blackhawksaway4:1
  • San Jose Sharkshome3:4
  • Buffalo Sabreshome4:3
  • Washington Capitalsaway4:5

Standings · Central Division

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Minnesota Wild1490344:3120
2Utah Mammoth1370547:4316
3Dallas Stars1240433:2515
4Colorado Avalanche1370554:4215
5Nashville Predators1240334:3913
6St. Louis Blues1250635:3711
7Winnipeg Jets1240528:3611
8Chicago Blackhawks1230826:448

Head-to-head

St. Louis Blues wins 8draws 0Montreal Canadiens wins 7
  • 03.01.2026St. Louis Blues2:0Montreal CanadiensNHL
  • 08.12.2025Montreal Canadiens3:4St. Louis BluesNHL
  • 26.03.2025St. Louis Blues6:1Montreal CanadiensNHL
  • 26.10.2024Montreal Canadiens5:2St. Louis BluesNHL
  • 11.02.2024Montreal Canadiens2:7St. Louis BluesNHL

About the match

  • 27 October · 20:00 New York
  • Venue: Enterprise Center (Saint Louis)

Odds

Match result
W12.56
X4.2
W22.36
Double chance
1X1.61
121.24
2X1.52
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)2.83
Handicap 1 (0)1.98
Handicap 1 (1)1.43
Handicap 2 (-1)2.68
Handicap 2 (0)1.83
Handicap 2 (1)1.39
Totals
Total Over (5)1.42
Total Over (5.5)1.65
Total Over (6)1.91
Total Under (5)2.73
Total Under (5.5)2.24
Total Under (6)1.83
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.05
Both Teams To Score - No9.25

odds before kick-off

Market: a narrow home edge, with totals easing

In the regulation-time 1X2 market, St. Louis are marginal favourites at 39.8%, compared with Montreal at 37.4% and a draw at 22.8%. Over the past 24 hours, the home-win and draw prices have shortened while the away-win price has drifted. The market separates the teams by only 2.4 percentage points, indicating no strong preference.

Over 5.5 retains a 56.2% assessment, but movement has been towards Under, matching the lower-scoring recent results rather than the older head-to-head pattern. BTTS stands at 82.5%, although support for that outcome has also weakened. Confirmed goalies and penalty discipline remain relevant to interpreting both totals markets.

Our prediction

Market
Total Over (5)
Odds
1.43
Confidence
Our estimate
65%
Market estimate
66%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.43
Potential win
43 $
Odds at kick-off
1.42
Status
lost
Profit
−100 $

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