Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights NHL Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins
Vegas Golden KnightsMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.25 lost
- Period 3: Not: Pittsburgh Penguins win and total over 1.5 1.28 won
Match result
Pittsburgh Penguins 2:3 Vegas Golden Knights (0:1, 0:0, 2:2)
In an NHL encounter, the Vegas Golden Knights defeated the Pittsburgh Penguins with a final score of 3:2. The period scores were 0:1, 0:0, and 2:2. Our prediction, 'Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No,' was successful, as only one goal was scored in the first period.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.5 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.25 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Period 3: Not: Pittsburgh Penguins win and total over 1.5 at 1.28 — the bet won.
Pittsburgh Penguins host Vegas Golden Knights at PPG Paints Arena in an NHL game between teams on negative runs. Pittsburgh are sixth in the Pacific Division with 12 points, while Vegas have 19 points from 15 games and trail Edmonton by five points. Pittsburgh have lost two straight; Vegas have won once in their last five.
Pittsburgh Penguins: scoring remains intact, defence does not
Recent form and tactical profile
Pittsburgh have scored 18 and conceded 16 across their last five games, taking two wins and three losses. They scored in all five, but allowed at least four goals in three. At home, the Penguins beat Florida 4:0 and Nashville 3:2, then lost 3:4 to Utah; away defeats against Utah and Montreal both finished 4:5. The attack supplies a stable floor, while defensive execution varies sharply.
- Five straight games with a goal scored, including four and three goals in the last two.
- Three home games produced 10 goals for and 6 against.
- The current losing streak is two games, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- Two of the last five matches included at least nine total goals.
Roster and key personnel
Ben Kindel and defenceman Sam Girard returned to the lineup on October 29. Egor Chinakhov recovered from a lower-body injury and was expected to return. Evgeni Malkin missed practice on November 2 because of a lower-body injury, while defenceman Cayden Corczak also missed that practice. Ilya Solovyov moved into the top six on the training lineup and may cover the defensive absence. Pittsburgh’s confirmed starting goaltender and save percentage are unavailable, so the position cannot be rated numerically.
- Montreal Canadiensaway4:5
- Utah Mammothhome3:4
- Nashville Predatorshome3:2
- Florida Panthershome4:0
- Utah Mammothaway4:5
Vegas Golden Knights: a sharper fall in defensive efficiency
Five-game run and game script
Vegas have taken one win and four losses in their last five, scoring 11 and conceding 20. They scored in every game but also conceded in every one. The defeats were heavy against Tampa Bay and St. Louis, both ending 2:6, followed by a 1:2 loss to Columbus and a 2:5 home defeat against New Jersey. The only win was 4:1 against Ottawa. Vegas continue to score, but concede too many clean scoring sequences.
The Golden Knights have conceded at least five goals in three of their last five games. The defensive problem has travelled across home and road fixtures: the last home game ended 2:5, while the two previous road losses brought 8 goals against. Vegas remain second in the division with 53 goals scored and 44 allowed over 15 games, giving them a positive attacking profile but poor recent defensive reliability.
Goalie situation and lineup news
Starting goaltender Carter Hart left the October 28 morning skate with an injury. Head coach Ryan Craig said Adin Hill was in reliable hands and that the team had a clear plan. No confirmed starter or save-percentage figure is supplied for Vegas, so the goaltending matchup cannot be separated by numerical efficiency.
- Boston Bruinsaway2:3
- New Jersey Devilshome2:5
- Ottawa Senatorshome4:1
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway1:2
- St. Louis Bluesaway2:6
Head-to-head record favours neither side by much
Across 11 official meetings in the last five years, Pittsburgh lead six wins to five, with no draws. The recent sequence is more volatile: the teams split the first six listed meetings, then Vegas won the latest two, both by 6:2. Across those last eight meetings, Pittsburgh scored 19 and Vegas scored 26. The latest meeting was in Vegas on October 17 and ended 6:2 for the hosts.
At Pittsburgh, the recent series contains three Penguins wins in the listed sample, including a 5:0 result in March 2026 and a 3:2 result in March 2025. Vegas also won 4:0 in the same broader period, so home ice has not removed the matchup’s wide scoring swings.
- 18.10.2026Vegas Golden Knights6:2Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 13.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights6:2Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 01.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins5:0Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 11.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins3:2Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 08.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights4:0Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
News that may shape the matchup
Pittsburgh could regain depth through Kindel, Girard and Chinakhov, but Malkin’s lower-body issue affects the forward group and Corczak’s absence may force another defensive adjustment. Solovyov’s possible promotion gives the Penguins an additional option in the top six. Vegas have the more consequential uncertainty in goal after Hart’s injury, with Hill positioned as the stated contingency.
No expert betting opinion or confirmed final lineup is included. The starting goaltenders, special-teams percentages and suspension information are also unavailable.
Line-ups
Pittsburgh Penguins
Substitutes: 1. Sergey Murashov
Coach: Dan Muse
Vegas Golden Knights
Substitutes: 79. Carter Hart
Coach: Ryan Craig
Opening Period Betting Angle
At PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh Penguins face Vegas Golden Knights with both teams carrying defensive concerns into this NHL matchup. Pittsburgh have won two of their last five, while Vegas have lost four of five. The recommended bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.5.
The selection focuses on first-period scoring rather than the full-game result. Pittsburgh scored in all five recent games but conceded at least four goals in three, while Vegas scored in each of their last five and produced only 11 goals across that span, conceding 20. Their recent figures support a more open game later, but the opening period can remain cautious.
Personnel factors and match script
Vegas are without starting goaltender Carter Hart after his training injury. Pittsburgh may regain Egor Chinakhov, while Ben Kindel and Sam Girard returned to the lineup on October 29, but Evgeni Malkin missed training with a lower-body injury and Kaden Korczak also missed training due to injury. These lineup changes increase the value of early defensive structure over aggressive forechecking. Pittsburgh have lost their last two head-to-head meetings with Vegas 2:6, but those results do not require an immediate exchange of goals in the opening period.
Expected score: 0:0 after Period 1.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.5 is the preferred play. Recent defensive instability supports goals over the full game, while the injuries, lineup adjustments and low confidence around both teams favour at least one scoreless side in the opening period.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Montreal Canadiensaway4:5
- Utah Mammothhome3:4
- Nashville Predatorshome3:2
- Florida Panthershome4:0
- Utah Mammothaway4:5
- Boston Bruinsaway2:3
- New Jersey Devilshome2:5
- Ottawa Senatorshome4:1
- Columbus Blue Jacketsaway1:2
- St. Louis Bluesaway2:6
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | New York Rangers | 15 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 45:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 47:49 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Flyers | 16 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 35:54 | 12 |
Head-to-head
- 18.10.2026Vegas Golden Knights6:2Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 13.03.2026Vegas Golden Knights6:2Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
- 01.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins5:0Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 11.03.2025Pittsburgh Penguins3:2Vegas Golden KnightsNHL
- 08.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights4:0Pittsburgh PenguinsNHL
About the match
- 3 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market balance and goal expectation
The 1X2 market is almost level: Pittsburgh carry 38.1% implied probability, Vegas 39.8%, and the draw 22.2%. The home-win line has shortened, while the away-win line has drifted higher, showing a modest move toward Pittsburgh despite Vegas remaining the narrow market favourite. The market is pricing a close game rather than a clear class gap.
Under 6.5 is assigned 53.4% and Over 6.5 46.6%, with no meaningful movement. BTTS is assessed at 87%, although that line has drifted higher, while the opposite side has shortened. Recent figures support a high-event match: Pittsburgh’s last five average 6.8 total goals, Vegas’s average 6.2, and both teams scored in every one of Vegas’s last five.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.49
- Odds at prediction
- 1.5
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.49
- Potential win
- 49 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.49
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +49 $
