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NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators Match Preview

NHL
Philadelphia FlyersPhiladelphia Flyers
19:00
17 October · New York
Ottawa SenatorsOttawa Senators
13.0831%
X4.0823%
22.0746%
Our prediction
Handicap 2 (0) 1.66
our estimate 60% · market 60% Stake 100 $, potential win 66 $

Philadelphia host Ottawa at Xfinity Mobile Arena on October 17 at 19:00 local time. The Flyers are last in the Eastern Conference with 3 points from 9 games; the Senators sit second with 12 from 8, one point behind Carolina. Philadelphia need to close the gap, while Ottawa can challenge for the conference lead.

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia FlyersLast 5: 0 W, 0 D, 5 L

Philadelphia: scoring remains the bottleneck

Five defeats

The Flyers have lost their last five games. Their latest result was a 2:1 defeat in Detroit. The two home games in that stretch were losses to Carolina and Seattle.

Where the numbers point

  • Philadelphia scored in all five games.
  • The season goal difference is 11:33.

Absences and attacking options

Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen and Nikita Grebenkin are out; Grebenkin has a back injury. Cam York is questionable.

Recent matches
  • Detroit Red Wingsaway1:2
  • Seattle Krakenhome2:3
  • Carolina Hurricaneshome1:4
  • Boston Bruinsaway1:5
  • Ottawa Senatorsaway1:2
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa SenatorsLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Ottawa: better production, uneven defending

A winning run interrupted

Ottawa have three wins and two defeats in their last five. Successive victories over Philadelphia, Nashville and New Jersey ended with a 7:2 home loss to St. Louis. Their two away games in that sequence produced a 5:3 defeat in Detroit and a 4:1 win in New Jersey.

The balance behind the results

  • The Senators scored at least twice in each of those five games.
  • The three victories brought just 4 goals conceded; the two defeats brought 12.
  • Their season totals of 23 goals for and 20 against leave a narrow scoring margin for a team near the conference lead.

Defensive returns and late decisions

Artem Zub has returned after a knee injury, and Cameron Crotty is back. Jake Sanderson remains questionable, although Travis Green says he is close to returning. Ridly Greig is questionable with a strain; William Eklund is out with an ankle injury, and Nikolas Matinpalo is also unavailable.

Recent matches
  • St. Louis Blueshome2:7
  • New Jersey Devilsaway4:1
  • Nashville Predatorshome3:2
  • Philadelphia Flyershome2:1
  • Detroit Red Wingsaway3:5

Recent meetings favour the Senators

Ottawa have won 12 of the 15 official meetings over five years, including the latest six. The most recent was a 2:1 home victory on October 8. The last four meetings all finished with fewer than six goals, averaging 3.5 combined; the latest eight averaged 5.13. The shorter sequence has been lower-scoring.

Philadelphia Flyers wins 3draws 0Ottawa Senators wins 12
  • 08.10.2026Ottawa Senators2:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
  • 06.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers1:2Ottawa SenatorsNHL
  • 08.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
  • 23.10.2025Ottawa Senators2:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
  • 13.04.2025Ottawa Senators4:3Philadelphia FlyersNHL

Coaching message and preparation time

After the Detroit defeat, Rick Tocchet said Philadelphia were not creating enough big chances and needed to keep working to find them. Lineups, tactical setups, suspensions and starting goaltenders remain unconfirmed. Save percentages, power-play and penalty-kill rates, and independent expert opinions are unavailable.

Philadelphia have one clear day after playing in Detroit, compared with three for Ottawa after hosting St. Louis. Both teams travel to Philadelphia, giving the visitors the longer recovery window. Detailed travel itineraries are unavailable.

Our pick for Philadelphia against Ottawa

Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) 1.6. Philadelphia have scored just 6 goals across their last five games, leaving little room to recover when they concede. With Travis Konecny out injured, the hosts lose a key attacking option precisely where they need improvement. Ottawa have scored 14 over the same stretch, offering a stronger route to victory without needing a high-scoring game.

The visitors still carry defensive risk: conceding seven to St. Louis makes an unprotected away win less appealing. The zero handicap returns the stake if regulation time ends level. Ottawa also had two more days between their latest game and this fixture than Philadelphia, while Artem Zub's return adds a defensive option. Starting goaltenders remain unconfirmed, so there is no basis for assuming an advantage in net. Predicted score: Philadelphia 1:3 Ottawa.

Final betting verdict

Handicap 2 (0) 1.6 backs Ottawa's stronger scoring output while allowing for a regulation-time draw. Philadelphia's limited attack is the main reason to side with the visitors rather than demand a larger winning margin.

Our prediction
Handicap 2 (0) 1.6
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FAQ

When does Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators kick off?

The match starts on 17.10.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia).

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers — Ottawa Senators?

Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.6.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Philadelphia Flyers win — 31%, draw — 23%, Ottawa Senators win — 46%.

Chances by market estimate

Philadelphia Flyers31%
Draw23%
Ottawa Senators46%

Team form

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia FlyersLast 5: 0 W, 0 D, 5 L
  • Detroit Red Wingsaway1:2
  • Seattle Krakenhome2:3
  • Carolina Hurricaneshome1:4
  • Boston Bruinsaway1:5
  • Ottawa Senatorsaway1:2
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa SenatorsLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • St. Louis Blueshome2:7
  • New Jersey Devilsaway4:1
  • Nashville Predatorshome3:2
  • Philadelphia Flyershome2:1
  • Detroit Red Wingsaway3:5

Standings · Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Boston Bruins850230:1812
3Ottawa Senators840223:2012
4New York Rangers960328:2112
15Columbus Blue Jackets510316:214
16Philadelphia Flyers900611:333

Head-to-head

Philadelphia Flyers wins 3draws 0Ottawa Senators wins 12
  • 08.10.2026Ottawa Senators2:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
  • 06.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers1:2Ottawa SenatorsNHL
  • 08.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
  • 23.10.2025Ottawa Senators2:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
  • 13.04.2025Ottawa Senators4:3Philadelphia FlyersNHL

About the match

  • 17 October · 19:00 New York
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)

Odds

Match result
W13.08
X4.08
W22.07
Double chance
1X1.78
121.26
2X1.39
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)3.66
Handicap 1 (0)2.34
Handicap 1 (1)1.58
Handicap 2 (-1)2.27
Handicap 2 (0)1.6
Handicap 2 (1)1.25
Totals
Total Over (5)1.64
Total Over (5.5)1.95
Total Over (6)2.38
Total Under (5)2.17
Total Under (5.5)1.85
Total Under (6)1.54
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.09
Both Teams To Score - No6.05

Odds updated 17.10 18:10

Ottawa lead the market, totals stay balanced

The regulation-time 1X2 market makes Ottawa favourites at 45%, ahead of Philadelphia at 33.2% and the draw at 21.8%. Over the last 24 hours, support has shifted towards Ottawa and the draw, away from the hosts. Ottawa's probability remains below a majority.

Over 5.5 goals is assessed at 50.5%, with Under at 49.5%, although movement has favoured the lower total. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 85.5%, but support for that outcome has weakened. Both teams scoring is priced as substantially more likely than their combined output reaching six goals.

Our prediction

Market
Handicap 2 (0)
Current odds
1.6
Odds at prediction
1.66
Confidence
Our estimate
60%
Market estimate
60%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.66
Potential win
66 $
Status
pending

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More predictions for this tournament

Our predictionHandicap 2 (0) · 1.6
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