NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers against Minnesota Wild
Philadelphia Flyers
Minnesota WildMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.27 pending
Philadelphia hosts Minnesota at Xfinity Mobile Arena on November 3 at 19:00 Eastern. The Flyers sit 15th in the Eastern Conference with 12 points from 16 games, 14 behind Carolina. Their immediate priority is repairing a season goal difference of minus 19; Minnesota arrives with four wins in five games.
Philadelphia: scoring rises, defensive costs remain
Recent form and home balance
The Flyers are 2–3 over their last five, scoring 18 goals and conceding 18. Their three home games in that stretch produced 13 goals for and 12 against, with two defeats before the 6–3 win over Utah. Away from home, they beat Buffalo 3–1 and lost 5–2 to Washington. Four of the five games finished above 5.5 goals: the attacking improvement has not brought tighter defending.
Key contributors and absences
Matvei Michkov has nine goals this season, while Trevor Zegras has collected 10 points across his last six appearances. Those are Philadelphia’s clearest individual attacking strengths. Rasmus Ristolainen is unavailable after an injury sustained on October 26, with an absence of about two weeks expected. That removes a defensive option from Philadelphia.
- Utah Mammothhome6:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:5
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome3:4
- Anaheim Duckshome4:5
- Buffalo Sabresaway3:1
Minnesota: road results withstand a depleted roster
Finishing and defensive balance
The Wild have outscored opponents 20–9 over five games. All four road fixtures ended in victories, with a combined score of 17–5; the sole defeat was at home to the Islanders. Minnesota conceded no more than twice in each of those away wins. Four of the five games exceeded 5.5 goals, matching Philadelphia’s frequency despite the visitors’ stronger attack.
Personnel and the crease
Filip Gustavsson is out with a hip injury. Jesper Wallstedt’s November 2 recognition followed a 26-save performance. Brock Faber, Jared Spurgeon, Marcus Foligno and Nick Foligno are also unavailable. Mason Shaw and Carson Lambos have been recalled, and Cameron Crotty was claimed on waivers. Joel Eriksson Ek has resumed practice; Maxim Shabanov has returned and scored. Kirill Kaprizov reached 13 season goals on October 26.
- Washington Capitalsaway5:1
- New York Islandershome3:4
- Utah Mammothaway3:1
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
Head-to-head: Philadelphia holds the longer edge
The Flyers won six of the 10 official meetings over five years. In the eight listed encounters, they scored 30 goals to Minnesota’s 24. Philadelphia won all four listed home meetings, although those results span several seasons and different rosters.
The two latest encounters were much tighter: Philadelphia won 2–1 and 3–2. That contrast limits the usefulness of the longer scoring average when assessing this matchup’s total.
- 13.03.2026Minnesota Wild2:3Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 18.10.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 14.12.2024Minnesota Wild4:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 26.10.2024Philadelphia Flyers7:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 13.01.2024Minnesota Wild3:4Philadelphia FlyersNHL
Preparation: rest is clearer than lineup certainty
Both teams’ latest listed fixture was November 1, leaving one full day without a listed game before this meeting. Philadelphia remains at home, while Minnesota’s previous stop was Washington, rather than a cross-country departure point.
Our first-period pick
Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.39. Minnesota conceded just one goal in three of its four recent road wins. That makes a scoreless opening for Philadelphia a credible route to this selection: it needs either side to stay blank, not both attacks to stop producing.
The Flyers have scored 35 goals in 16 league games, so their latest six-goal performance should not define expectations for the opening 20 minutes. Minnesota’s absences of Brock Faber, Jared Spurgeon and Filip Gustavsson weaken the defensive case rather than strengthen it; a cautious start would be a tactical response, not a certainty. No first-period scoring breakdown is available, so confidence should remain measured. A possible first-period score is 0-1.
Final verdict
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.39 is our selection, with Philadelphia failing to score early the clearest route. The Wild’s depleted back end is the main risk, making this a narrower call than their recent road results alone suggest.
FAQ
When does Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild kick off?
The match starts on 03.11.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia).
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers — Minnesota Wild?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.39.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Philadelphia Flyers win — 28%, draw — 22%, Minnesota Wild win — 50%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Utah Mammothhome6:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:5
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome3:4
- Anaheim Duckshome4:5
- Buffalo Sabresaway3:1
- Washington Capitalsaway5:1
- New York Islandershome3:4
- Utah Mammothaway3:1
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 47:49 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Flyers | 16 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 35:54 | 12 |
| 16 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29:39 | 10 |
Head-to-head
- 13.03.2026Minnesota Wild2:3Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 18.10.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 14.12.2024Minnesota Wild4:1Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 26.10.2024Philadelphia Flyers7:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 13.01.2024Minnesota Wild3:4Philadelphia FlyersNHL
About the match
- 3 November · 19:00 New York
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)
Odds
Odds updated 02.11 19:10
Market: Minnesota leads, but not by a majority
Minnesota is the favourite at 47.8%, ahead of Philadelphia at 29.7% and the draw at 22.5%. Over the past 24 hours, the away-win and draw lines have shortened while the home-win line has drifted. The visitors lead the assessment, but their win probability remains below 50%.
Over 5.5 carries a 53.9% market probability, although movement has favoured Under. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 86.8%, with its affirmative line drifting. Minnesota’s recent defensive results and Philadelphia’s high-scoring home games pull the total in opposite directions.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.39
- Odds at prediction
- 1.41
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 66%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.39
- Potential win
- 39 $
- Status
- pending
