NHL Match Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche
Philadelphia Flyers
Colorado AvalanchePhiladelphia host Colorado at Xfinity Mobile Arena on October 19 at 19:00 local time after four defeats in five games. The Avalanche sit fifth in the Western Conference, five points behind Vegas with two fewer games played.
Philadelphia: fewer goals conceded, limited scoring
Recent form and home results
A 3:1 win over Ottawa ended a four-game losing run.
Strengths and weaknesses
Philadelphia scored in all five games but managed only one goal in three. Rick Tocchet has worked on the timing of defenders joining attacks after they pushed forward too eagerly.
Availability and lineup questions
Cam York, Rasmus Ristolainen, Travis Konecny and Nikita Grebenkin are unavailable. Hunter McDonald has been recalled; Helge Grans and Jack Studnicka were sent to the AHL.
Owen Tippett, Tyson Foerster and Sean Couturier are game-time decisions for October 20, leaving their availability for October 19 unconfirmed.
- Ottawa Senatorshome3:1
- Detroit Red Wingsaway1:2
- Seattle Krakenhome2:3
- Carolina Hurricaneshome1:4
- Boston Bruinsaway1:5
Colorado: scoring depth meets defensive exposure
Results and travel schedule
Colorado have three wins in five games. Both road appearances were victories. The Avalanche last played on October 16; the hosts last played on October 17.
Attacking output and defensive risks
The Avalanche conceded in every game. Nathan MacKinnon contributed four points against Pittsburgh. Jared Bednar has called for consistent play across all 60 minutes to reduce the defensive lapses accompanying that scoring output.
Absences and specialist units
Cale Makar is unavailable for personal reasons. Zachary L'Heureux, Logan O'Connor and Nicolas Roy will miss the road trip; Georgii Merkulov is day-to-day. Neither team has confirmed line combinations or starting goalies. Save percentages and power-play and penalty-kill rates are unavailable, preventing a numerical comparison of goaltending and special teams.
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:2
- Dallas Starshome2:3
- Dallas Starsaway3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafshome3:6
- Calgary Flamesaway7:3
Head-to-head results favour the visitors
Colorado won seven of the ten official meetings over five years. Eight games averaged 6.375 goals, with four exceeding 5.5. Philadelphia won the latest encounter 7:3 in January, ending four consecutive defeats in this matchup. The Avalanche also won the last three meetings in Philadelphia, twice by a single goal.
- 24.01.2026Colorado Avalanche3:7Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 07.12.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 02.02.2025Colorado Avalanche2:0Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 19.11.2024Philadelphia Flyers2:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 20.01.2024Philadelphia Flyers4:7Colorado AvalancheNHL
Pre-game reports require a date distinction
The Ottawa victory carries conflicting dates: October 14 and October 17. The recent-form sequence uses October 17. No independent expert assessment of this matchup is available.
Our pick: Colorado to win in regulation
Our bet is W2 1.69. Colorado scored 20 goals across their last five games, compared with Philadelphia’s eight. That gap matters against a Flyers side missing Travis Konecny up front and Cam York and Rasmus Ristolainen on defence, according to media reports. Philadelphia have less attacking depth available to chase the game if the visitors establish a lead.
Nathan MacKinnon’s four points against Pittsburgh show the threat Philadelphia must contain without those defenders. Colorado’s own absences, particularly Cale Makar’s, temper confidence: the Avalanche conceded 16 goals across that five-game stretch. The selection therefore rests on their greater scoring output rather than an expectation of a shutout. Rick Tocchet’s concern about defenders mistiming their attacking involvement also identifies a route for Colorado to exploit space after turnovers. Projected score: Philadelphia 2:4 Colorado.
Final call
W2 1.69 is the pick, with Colorado’s attacking edge outweighing their defensive risk. This is a regulation-time selection; an overtime win would not be enough.
FAQ
When does Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche kick off?
The match starts on 19.10.2026 at 19:00 (New York), Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia).
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers — Colorado Avalanche?
Our pick is W2 at 1.69.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Philadelphia Flyers win — 23%, draw — 21%, Colorado Avalanche win — 56%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Ottawa Senatorshome3:1
- Detroit Red Wingsaway1:2
- Seattle Krakenhome2:3
- Carolina Hurricaneshome1:4
- Boston Bruinsaway1:5
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:2
- Dallas Starshome2:3
- Dallas Starsaway3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafshome3:6
- Calgary Flamesaway7:3
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:23 | 6 |
| 16 | Philadelphia Flyers | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:34 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 24.01.2026Colorado Avalanche3:7Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 07.12.2025Philadelphia Flyers2:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 02.02.2025Colorado Avalanche2:0Philadelphia FlyersNHL
- 19.11.2024Philadelphia Flyers2:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 20.01.2024Philadelphia Flyers4:7Colorado AvalancheNHL
About the match
- 19 October · 19:00 New York
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia)
Odds
Odds updated 19.10 13:10
Market favours Colorado and a higher total
Colorado are the 1X2 favourites with a margin-free away-win probability of 55.8%, with support strengthening over the last 24 hours. Philadelphia and the draw have drifted. These markets cover regulation time, excluding overtime and shootouts.
Over 5.5 has a market probability of 55.4% and is attracting support. BTTS (both teams to score) is favoured at 86%, although its odds have drifted; Philadelphia's limited scoring makes the higher total more dependent on Colorado.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Current odds
- 1.69
- Odds at prediction
- 1.7
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 56%
- Market estimate
- 56%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.7
- Potential win
- 70 $
- Status
- pending
