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NHL Prediction: Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL Finished
Nashville PredatorsNashville Predators
5:4
(1:1, 2:2, 1:1, 0:0, 1:0)
Full time
Tampa Bay LightningTampa Bay Lightning
13.5427%
X4.521%
21.8352%
Our prediction
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.42
Stake 100 $, potential win 42 $ odds at kick-off 1.42
lost
−100 $

More picks

  • Period 3: No draw 1.27 lost

Match result

Nashville Predators 5:4 Tampa Bay Lightning (1:1, 2:2, 1:1, 0:0, 1:0)

The NHL match between the Nashville Predators and the Tampa Bay Lightning ended in a 5:4 scoreline, with period scores of 1:1, 2:2, 1:1, 0:0, and 1:0. Our prediction of Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No lost, as the first period finished 1:1 after both teams scored.

Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.47 — the bet lost.

Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.27 — the bet lost.

Nashville hosts Tampa Bay at Bridgestone Arena on October 31, with puck drop at 14:00 America/New_York. The Predators are 10th in the Western Conference with 13 points from 13 games, eight behind Minnesota. This is their fourth consecutive home game; the Lightning arrive after hosting Winnipeg.

Nashville Predators
Nashville PredatorsLast 5: 1 W, 0 D, 4 L

Nashville: scoring has not repaired the defence

Recent form and home-ice balance

The Predators have one win and four defeats in their last five games, scoring 14 goals and conceding 19. Their two road losses produced only two goals; the subsequent three home games brought 12. A 6–2 win over Colorado was followed by consecutive 3–4 defeats against the Islanders and Washington.

Strengths and weaknesses

  • Nashville scored at least three goals in each of its last three home games.
  • The defence conceded in all five recent outings, allowing four or more on three occasions.
  • Three of those five games finished Over 5.5 total goals.

Availability and preparation

Defenceman William Trudeau is out through injury. Nashville last played on October 29, leaving one full day between games without a road trip. Lines, the starting goaltender, save percentage, power-play and penalty-kill rates, and suspension details are unconfirmed.

Recent matches
  • Washington Capitalshome3:4
  • New York Islandershome3:4
  • Colorado Avalanchehome6:2
  • Pittsburgh Penguinsaway2:3
  • Boston Bruinsaway0:6
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay LightningLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Tampa Bay: attack carrying a heavy defensive load

Results and travel demands

The Lightning have won three of their last five games, scoring 23 goals and conceding 19. Their latest result was a 6–4 home win over Winnipeg. In their three recent road games, they beat Vegas before losing to Colorado and Utah, scoring 13 goals and allowing the same number.

Where the balance is vulnerable

  • Tampa Bay scored at least three goals in each of its last five games.
  • All five games finished Over 5.5 total goals.
  • The last three outings brought 15 goals conceded.

Personnel and special-teams questions

Captain Victor Hedman is out with a lower-body injury and is being assessed daily. Replacement pairings, special-teams units, the starting goaltender and save percentage are unconfirmed. Tampa Bay also played on October 29 but must travel from its home city for this fixture.

Recent matches
  • Winnipeg Jetshome6:4
  • Utah Mammothaway4:5
  • Colorado Avalancheaway3:6
  • Vegas Golden Knightsaway6:2
  • Vancouver Canuckshome4:2

Head-to-head results favour the visitors

The 15 meetings over five years produced 11 Tampa Bay wins, three Nashville wins and one draw. In the latest eight, Nashville scored 16 goals to Tampa Bay’s 25, an average combined total of 5.13. Only one of those eight finished Over 5.5 goals, contrasting with both clubs’ recent scoring.

The two most recent meetings were preseason games: a 2–2 draw and a 3–2 Nashville win. They carry less competitive weight than the preceding six encounters, all won by Tampa Bay.

Nashville Predators wins 3draws 1Tampa Bay Lightning wins 11
  • 23.09.2026Nashville Predators3:2Tampa Bay LightningNHL. Preseason Matches
  • 20.09.2026Tampa Bay Lightning2:2Nashville PredatorsNHL. Preseason Matches
  • 29.03.2026Tampa Bay Lightning3:2Nashville PredatorsNHL
  • 28.10.2025Nashville Predators2:5Tampa Bay LightningNHL
  • 27.09.2025Tampa Bay Lightning4:1Nashville PredatorsNHL. Preseason Matches

Cooper highlights individual attacking contributions

Jon Cooper praised Pontus Holmberg after his four-point performance against Winnipeg and separately described Nikita Kucherov as one of the best players in hockey history. Information on a confirmed lineup plan, match-specific expert assessment, or additional selection announcement is unavailable.

Line-ups

Nashville Predators

Substitutes: 74. Juuse Saros

Coach: Andrew Brunette

Tampa Bay Lightning

Substitutes: 35. Dennis Hildeby

Coach: Jon Cooper

Our Forecast

Our pick is Period 1: BTTS (both teams to score) - No 1.47. Nashville has won one of its last five games, scoring 14 goals. Only two came in its two recent road defeats, compared with 12 in three home games. That split makes the Predators’ attack less reliable away from home.

Nashville will be without defenseman William Trudeau. Tampa Bay captain and defenseman Victor Hedman is out with a lower-body injury and is being assessed daily. Both absences could encourage a cautious opening, with shorter shifts and less attacking risk to protect the slot.

Tampa Bay has scored and conceded in all five recent games, winning three. That record is the main risk to the pick. Nashville has lost 11 of 15 official encounters over five years.

Expected score after the first period: 0:0.

Conclusion

Period 1: BTTS (both teams to score) - No 1.47 is the pick, based on Nashville’s limited scoring in its recent road defeats and the expectation of early caution with both defenses missing a player.

Chances by market estimate

Nashville Predators27%
Draw21%
Tampa Bay Lightning52%

Team form

Nashville Predators
Nashville PredatorsLast 5: 1 W, 0 D, 4 L
  • Washington Capitalshome3:4
  • New York Islandershome3:4
  • Colorado Avalanchehome6:2
  • Pittsburgh Penguinsaway2:3
  • Boston Bruinsaway0:6
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay LightningLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • Winnipeg Jetshome6:4
  • Utah Mammothaway4:5
  • Colorado Avalancheaway3:6
  • Vegas Golden Knightsaway6:2
  • Vancouver Canuckshome4:2

Standings · Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8St. Louis Blues1470644:4215
9Nashville Predators1440442:4715
10San Jose Sharks1520741:5215

Head-to-head

Nashville Predators wins 3draws 1Tampa Bay Lightning wins 11
  • 23.09.2026Nashville Predators3:2Tampa Bay LightningNHL. Preseason Matches
  • 20.09.2026Tampa Bay Lightning2:2Nashville PredatorsNHL. Preseason Matches
  • 29.03.2026Tampa Bay Lightning3:2Nashville PredatorsNHL
  • 28.10.2025Nashville Predators2:5Tampa Bay LightningNHL
  • 27.09.2025Tampa Bay Lightning4:1Nashville PredatorsNHL. Preseason Matches

About the match

  • 31 October · 14:00 New York
  • Venue: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)

Odds

Both teams to score
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No1.42

odds before kick-off

Market preference and the goals-line tension

Tampa Bay is the 1X2 favourite with a margin-free probability of 48%, below 50%, compared with 29.7% for Nashville and 22.3% for a draw. Over the past 24 hours, support has moved towards the visitors and the draw, and away from the home win.

Over 5.5 has a probability of 55.2%, but the market has shifted towards Under despite the recent high-scoring results. That movement aligns with the lower head-to-head totals. BTTS (both teams to score) has a probability of 90.3%, with further support for both teams scoring; that does not require the total to clear the main goals line.

Our prediction

Market
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
Odds
1.42
Odds at prediction
1.47
Confidence
Our estimate
63%
Market estimate
65%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.42
Potential win
42 $
Odds at kick-off
1.42
Status
lost
Profit
−100 $

More predictions for this tournament