NHL Match Prediction: Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues
Nashville Predators
St. Louis BluesNashville host St. Louis at Bridgestone Arena on October 17, with puck drop at 20:00 Eastern. Both have seven points from seven games, sitting 11th and 10th in the Western Conference respectively. This meeting offers a chance to break that tie and close a seven-point gap to conference leaders Vegas.
Nashville: scoring has stalled
Recent form and home concerns
The Predators have lost four of their last five. They are currently on a three-game losing streak. Returning home has brought no improvement: they suffered defeats against Vegas and San Jose.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Nashville scored in all five recent games.
Availability and special teams
Mavrik Bourque is questionable with an upper-body injury, while William Trudeau is out with an upper-body injury. Without shot totals, the recent goals conceded cannot be attributed specifically to goaltending.
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Vegas Golden Knightshome2:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway2:3
- Montreal Canadiensaway5:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:5
St. Louis: more production, uneven protection
Recent results and road scoring
The Blues have two wins and three losses in their last five, with 20 goals scored and 17 allowed. Their last three games produced 16 goals, including a 7–2 win in Ottawa before a 5–4 defeat in Minnesota. Across the three away games in this sequence, they scored 13 and conceded 11: travel has not suppressed their attack, but defensive control has varied.
Where the balance shifts
- St. Louis reached four goals in each of their last three games.
- They allowed at least three goals in four of five recent outings.
- Four of those five games exceeded 5.5 total goals.
Absences and selection questions
Torey Krug, Alexey Toropchenko, Tyler Tucker, Dillon Dube and Logan Mailloux are out with ankle, upper-body, knee, neck and hand injuries respectively. Pavel Buchnevich is questionable for personal reasons; Adam Jecho is unavailable for personal reasons. Confirmed combinations, starting goalie, save percentage and special-teams rates are not supplied, preventing a reliable assessment of replacement roles.
- Minnesota Wildaway4:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Chicago Blackhawksaway2:4
A narrow historical split, with high-scoring exceptions
Nashville lead the 15 official meetings over five years by eight wins to seven. The latest eight favour St. Louis five to three, with 51 combined goals, an average of 6.38. Four exceeded 5.5 goals and four did not, so the high average masks an evenly split totals record. Nashville won the latest meeting 6–5 in February.
- 03.02.2026Nashville Predators6:5St. Louis BluesNHL
- 28.12.2025St. Louis Blues3:2Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 16.12.2025St. Louis Blues2:5Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 12.12.2025Nashville Predators7:2St. Louis BluesNHL
- 28.03.2025Nashville Predators2:3St. Louis BluesNHL
Rest and travel frame the preparation
Both teams last played on October 15, leaving one full day without a game before this meeting; neither is on a back-to-back. Nashville remain at home, while St. Louis follow visits to Ottawa and Minnesota with another road fixture. No additional match-specific news or expert opinions are supplied.
Our pick: goals over the result
Our bet is Total Over (5.5) 1.74. Both teams have scored and conceded in each of their last five games, but the stronger argument is the combined workload on their defences: Nashville’s games produced 33 goals, while St. Louis’s produced 37. Six goals would clear the line without requiring either attack to deliver an exceptional performance.
The caution is Nashville’s recent scoring ceiling: two goals in each of their last three outings. Even so, St. Louis have conceded at least two in all five recent games, and four of those contests cleared this total. Three of the last four meetings also reached six goals or more. Pavel Buchnevich’s availability remains uncertain for personal reasons, so the visitors’ attacking depth cannot be taken for granted. A projected score is 3–4.
Final betting view
Total Over (5.5) 1.74 is the selection, with both defences offering a route to the required scoring. The main risk is another modest Nashville return, rather than evidence that either side can consistently shut its opponent out.
FAQ
When does Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues kick off?
The match starts on 17.10.2026 at 20:00 (New York), Bridgestone Arena (Nashville).
What is the prediction for Nashville Predators — St. Louis Blues?
Our pick is Total Over (5.5) at 1.74.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Nashville Predators win — 38%, draw — 23%, St. Louis Blues win — 39%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Vegas Golden Knightshome2:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway2:3
- Montreal Canadiensaway5:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:5
- Minnesota Wildaway4:5
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Chicago Blackhawksaway2:4
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Louis Blues | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25:23 | 7 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 7 |
| 12 | Dallas Stars | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 03.02.2026Nashville Predators6:5St. Louis BluesNHL
- 28.12.2025St. Louis Blues3:2Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 16.12.2025St. Louis Blues2:5Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 12.12.2025Nashville Predators7:2St. Louis BluesNHL
- 28.03.2025Nashville Predators2:3St. Louis BluesNHL
About the match
- 17 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)
Odds
Odds updated 17.10 06:10
The market gives the visitors only a slight edge
The regulation-time 1X2 market assigns St. Louis a 39.8% chance, Nashville 38.7% and the draw 21.5%. That makes the visitors marginal favourites rather than a clear market leader. Over the last 24 hours, support has moved towards St. Louis and away from Nashville, while the draw line has remained broadly stable.
Over 5.5 carries a 54.6% market probability and has attracted support. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 87%, also moving towards “Yes”. These are distinct signals: confidence that both teams score is much stronger than confidence in a six-goal game, and neither establishes which side controls the result.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (5.5)
- Current odds
- 1.74
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 55%
- Market estimate
- 55%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.74
- Potential win
- 74 $
- Status
- pending
