NHL Prediction: Nashville Predators vs New York Islanders Match Preview
Nashville Predators
New York IslandersMatch result
Nashville Predators 3:4 New York Islanders (0:2, 2:1, 1:0, 0:0, 0:1)
The NHL match between the Nashville Predators and the New York Islanders ended with a score of 3:4. The period breakdowns were 0:2, 2:1, 1:0, 0:0, and 0:1. With a total of seven goals scored throughout the game, our prediction for Total Over (5) won.
Our prediction: Total Over (5) at 1.52 — the bet won.
Nashville Predators host New York Islanders at Bridgestone Arena with both teams near the lower end of the standings. New York has 12 points from 11 games, while Nashville is ninth in the Capital Division with 12 points. Both need points to stay close to the playoff positions.
Nashville’s recent volatility and home advantage
Results, scoring and defensive profile
Nashville has won 2 of its last 5 games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 16. Its home wins came against St. Louis, 5:2, and Colorado, 6:2. All three losses were away, including 0:6 against Boston and 2:3 in Pittsburgh. The Predators scored in 4 of those 5 games and conceded in all 5.
A separate account describes Nashville as having lost 5 of its last 6 games, which conflicts with the five-game sequence above.
Strengths, vulnerabilities and personnel
- Home scoring: 11 goals in the last 2 games at Bridgestone Arena.
- Consistency: the six-goal defeat and four-goal victory came within three days.
Mavrik Bourque returned after an upper-body injury, while Vitaly Pinchuk was left out following Bourque’s recovery, according to media reports. The complete lineup, tactical formation and starting goaltender are unconfirmed. Goaltender save percentages, power-play rates and penalty-kill rates are unavailable.
- Colorado Avalanchehome6:2
- Pittsburgh Penguinsaway2:3
- Boston Bruinsaway0:6
- St. Louis Blueshome5:2
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
Islanders arrive with a leaky road profile
Five-game sequence and current momentum
New York also has 2 wins and 3 losses in its last 5 games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 14. The Islanders scored at least 1 goal in every game, and both teams scored in all five. Their victories came at Toronto, 4:1, and at home against Anaheim, 3:2. Two consecutive wins have been followed by two defeats, most recently 3:6 at Dallas.
The Islanders have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 across their last three away games. Their road attack has remained productive, but allowing 6 at Dallas erased that scoring contribution.
What can decide the Islanders’ performance
New York’s scoring has been more consistent than its defending. The road attack produced 4 goals against Toronto and 3 against Dallas, but those performances brought different results because of the goals conceded.
Calum Ritchie is out for 4–6 weeks with a lower-body injury, and Matias Macelli is out for 2–4 weeks with a lower-body injury, according to media reports. Mitchell Chaffee was recalled from the farm club. The starting goaltender and complete lineup are unconfirmed; save percentages and special-teams figures are unavailable.
- Dallas Starsaway3:6
- Los Angeles Kingshome2:3
- Anaheim Duckshome3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:1
- Ottawa Senatorsaway1:2
Nashville has controlled the recent series
The Predators lead the official five-year head-to-head series by 8 wins to 2, with no draws. They have won 6 of the last 8 meetings, including the two most recent: 2:1 at home and 4:3 away in 2026. Nashville scored 29 goals across those 8 games and New York scored 24, an average total of 6.625 goals per meeting.
Results range from 7:6, 7:4 and 5:4 to 2:0 and 2:1. Nashville’s advantage in wins has therefore included both high-scoring exchanges and narrow, lower-scoring games.
- 01.02.2026New York Islanders3:4Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 09.01.2026Nashville Predators2:1New York IslandersNHL
- 09.04.2025Nashville Predators7:6New York IslandersNHL
- 01.03.2025New York Islanders7:4Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 06.04.2024New York Islanders2:0Nashville PredatorsNHL
Lineup news and the motivation angle
No suspensions or further confirmed lineup changes have been announced.
New York remains within reach of the teams immediately above it. Nashville needs to turn its recent home scoring into points after its away defeats.
Line-ups
Nashville Predators
Substitutes: 29. Justus Annunen
Coach: Andrew Brunette
New York Islanders
Substitutes: 30. Ilya Sorokin
Coach: Peter DeBoer
Our Forecast
Nashville Predators host New York Islanders at Bridgestone Arena with both teams on 12 points. The scoring trends favor the goals market over 1X2: Nashville’s last five games produced 31 goals, with at least five in every match. The Predators scored 15 and conceded 16; their latest two home fixtures ended 5:2 and 6:2.
The Islanders’ last five games produced 27 goals, with both teams scoring in all five. New York’s last five matches went over five total goals only once—the 3:6 game against Dallas; the other matches produced 3, 5 and 5 goals. Calum Ritchie and Matias Macelli are both ruled out with lower-body injuries, reducing the visitors’ depth; Mitchell Chaffee has been called up from the farm club.
Nashville has won eight of the last ten meetings, although the latest two scores, 2:1 and 4:3, show a split between low- and high-scoring games.
Our pick is Total Over (5) at 1.52, with a push at exactly five goals. Predicted score: Nashville Predators 4:3 New York Islanders.
Conclusion
Total Over (5) at 1.52 is the preferred play: both teams’ recent scoring and concessions support the total, with push protection if the game stops at five goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Colorado Avalanchehome6:2
- Pittsburgh Penguinsaway2:3
- Boston Bruinsaway0:6
- St. Louis Blueshome5:2
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Dallas Starsaway3:6
- Los Angeles Kingshome2:3
- Anaheim Duckshome3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:1
- Ottawa Senatorsaway1:2
Standings · Central Division
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild | 14 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 44:31 | 20 |
| 2 | Utah Mammoth | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 47:43 | 16 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 33:25 | 15 |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 54:42 | 15 |
| 5 | Nashville Predators | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 34:39 | 13 |
| 6 | St. Louis Blues | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35:37 | 11 |
| 7 | Winnipeg Jets | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 28:36 | 11 |
| 8 | Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 26:44 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 01.02.2026New York Islanders3:4Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 09.01.2026Nashville Predators2:1New York IslandersNHL
- 09.04.2025Nashville Predators7:6New York IslandersNHL
- 01.03.2025New York Islanders7:4Nashville PredatorsNHL
- 06.04.2024New York Islanders2:0Nashville PredatorsNHL
About the match
- 27 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena (Nashville)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal-total signals
The 1X2 market assigns Nashville a 41.2% home-win probability, New York a 35.8% away-win probability and the draw 23%. Over the last day, the home-win odds have shortened and the away-win odds have lengthened. Nashville is a narrow favorite, not a clear one.
Over 5.5 is assessed at 52.2% and Under 5.5 at 47.8%. The line has moved toward the Under. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 89%, although its odds have lengthened slightly while the opposing outcome has shortened.
Over 5.5 has only a small market edge; the movement toward Under does not indicate a strong low-scoring expectation.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (5)
- Odds
- 1.52
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.52
- Potential win
- 52 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.53
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +52 $
