Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues NHL Prediction
Minnesota Wild
St. Louis BluesMinnesota Wild host St. Louis Blues at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul. Minnesota has nine points after seven games; ninth-placed St. Louis has seven points from six.
Minnesota’s attack at home, weakened defensive depth
Recent form and home trend
Minnesota has two wins and three losses in its last five games. The latest result was a 2:5 defeat at Winnipeg, following a 4:2 home win over Vegas.
The Wild have won both home games this season, scoring 8 goals and allowing 3. Their overall averages are 2.63 scored and 2.13 conceded.
Structure, special teams and availability
- Minnesota has scored in 5 of its last 5 games.
- The Wild have no shutouts in 8 games, with both teams scoring in 7.
Filip Gustavsson, Nick Foligno, Marcus Foligno, Nico Sturm and Brock Faber are ruled out. Jared Spurgeon is questionable with an upper-body injury. Minnesota loses defensive options and physical depth.
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
- Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
- Florida Panthersaway4:1
- Tampa Bay Lightningaway2:3
- Buffalo Sabresaway2:3
St. Louis arrive with scoring momentum
Five-game sequence and road profile
St. Louis has two wins and three losses in its last five games. Both teams scored in each game. The Blues followed three straight defeats with two victories, most recently a 7:2 road win over Ottawa.
Across four away games this season, St. Louis has two wins and two losses, scoring 14 goals and conceding 12. Its season averages are 3.00 goals scored and 2.71 conceded per game.
Personnel and matchup pressure
- They have conceded 19 goals in seven season games.
- Their road scoring average is 3.50 goals per game.
Torey Krug, Dillon Dube, Alexey Toropchenko, Tyler Tucker and goalie Felix Trudeau are unavailable through injury, reducing defensive and depth options.
Goaltender save percentages, the expected starter, line combinations and special-teams personnel are unavailable, along with power-play and penalty-kill rates.
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Chicago Blackhawksaway2:4
- Colorado Avalancheaway1:6
Head-to-head record favors Minnesota narrowly
Across 15 official meetings over the last five years, Minnesota has won 8 and St. Louis 7, with no draws. The latest eight meetings are split 4–4 and produced 42 goals, averaging 5.25 per game. Both teams scored in 7 of those games.
Results range from Minnesota’s 5:0 away shutout to St. Louis’ 6:3 win. Meetings at Minnesota’s venue include scores of 4:5, 6:4, 1:5 and 1:3, with no consistent home scoring pattern.
- 14.04.2026St. Louis Blues6:3Minnesota WildNHL
- 01.03.2026Minnesota Wild1:3St. Louis BluesNHL
- 10.10.2025St. Louis Blues0:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 16.03.2025Minnesota Wild1:5St. Louis BluesNHL
- 08.01.2025Minnesota Wild6:4St. Louis BluesNHL
Injuries shape the expected game plan
Each team has five confirmed absences. No suspensions are listed.
Minnesota plays its second game in two nights after the Winnipeg defeat. St. Louis also played on October 13. The short turnaround leaves Minnesota less recovery time with a depleted defensive rotation.
Our pick
Our pick is 1X 1.44. Minnesota Wild have won both home games in the current season, scoring 8 goals and conceding 3. That home record is the clearest argument against relying on St. Louis’ recent attacking surge: the Blues scored 7 in Ottawa, but their season road balance is only 2 wins in 4 games, with 14 goals for and 12 against.
The five-year head-to-head record also leans toward the hosts: Minnesota won 8 of 15 meetings, while St. Louis won 7. The market gives Minnesota 44.9% for a regulation win against 32.6% for the Blues, so the home side is favored, though not by a wide margin. That margin, together with Minnesota’s perfect home start, makes protection against a draw essential. The absences on both rosters add volatility, but no suspensions are listed; Minnesota’s unavailable players include Filip Gustavsson, Nick Foligno, Marcus Foligno, Nico Sturm and Brock Faber, while Jared Spurgeon is questionable. A likely score is 3:2 to Minnesota, with the hosts avoiding defeat.
Conclusion
1X 1.44 is the selection. Minnesota’s 2-from-2 home record and 8 wins in the last 15 meetings provide stronger support for the hosts than St. Louis’ uneven road profile provides for an away victory.
FAQ
When does Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues kick off?
The match starts on 15.10.2026 at 20:00 (New York), Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul).
What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild — St. Louis Blues?
Our pick is 1X at 1.44.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Minnesota Wild win — 44%, draw — 23%, St. Louis Blues win — 33%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
- Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
- Florida Panthersaway4:1
- Tampa Bay Lightningaway2:3
- Buffalo Sabresaway2:3
- Ottawa Senatorsaway7:2
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome5:3
- San Jose Sharkshome2:3
- Chicago Blackhawksaway2:4
- Colorado Avalancheaway1:6
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Avalanche | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 |
| 7 | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 9 |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:17 | 8 |
| 9 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Dallas Stars | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 14.04.2026St. Louis Blues6:3Minnesota WildNHL
- 01.03.2026Minnesota Wild1:3St. Louis BluesNHL
- 10.10.2025St. Louis Blues0:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 16.03.2025Minnesota Wild1:5St. Louis BluesNHL
- 08.01.2025Minnesota Wild6:4St. Louis BluesNHL
About the match
- 15 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul)
Odds
Odds updated 14.10 20:10
Market view and scoring expectations
In the 1X2 market, Minnesota is a modest favorite with a 44.9% implied probability, down over the last day. The draw is at 22.5% and St. Louis at 32.6%, with both gaining support. The movement has narrowed the gap between the teams.
Over 5.5 has a 54.3% implied probability and is gaining support; Under 5.5 is at 45.7% and losing ground. BTTS Yes has the highest listed implied probability at 86.8%, also with increasing support.
BTTS Yes is the preferred bet: both sides have scored throughout their recent five-game runs, while defensive absences weaken their options without the puck.
Our prediction
- Market
- 1X
- Current odds
- 1.44
- Odds at prediction
- 1.43
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.43
- Potential win
- 43 $
- Status
- pending
