Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders Forecast: NHL
Minnesota Wild
New York IslandersMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.27 lost
- Period 3: Not: Minnesota Wild win and total over 1.5 1.35 won
Match result
Minnesota Wild 3:4 New York Islanders (1:1, 1:1, 1:1, 0:1)
In the NHL, the match between Minnesota Wild and New York Islanders ended with a final score of 3:4, with period breakdown of 1:1, 1:1, 1:1, and 0:1. Since both teams scored in the opening period, our bet on Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No lost.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.39 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.27 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Period 3: Not: Minnesota Wild win and total over 1.5 at 1.35 — the bet won.
Minnesota Wild host New York Islanders at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul in an NHL matchup between a division-leading Minnesota side and an Islanders team chasing position in the Capital Division. Minnesota enters on a three-game winning run, while New York has the same record across its last five.
Minnesota Wild: rising form with a productive top line
Recent results and scoring profile
Minnesota has won three of its last five, scoring 16 goals and conceding 10. The sequence began with two narrow road defeats, but wins over Seattle, Vancouver and Utah produced 12 goals. The Wild scored in all five games and conceded in all five, so their current attacking floor is reliable while the defensive margin remains limited. All five recent matches were away games; the next test is their first listed home fixture in this run.
Strengths, weaknesses and lineup factors
- Kirill Kaprizov has points in three straight games and has 23 points, including 14 goals and 9 assists, in 14 season games.
- The Wild scored at least three goals in their last three victories, with four against Vancouver and five against Seattle.
- They have conceded in every listed game, including four against Edmonton and two against Calgary in the opening defeats.
- Quinn Hughes returned against Vancouver and recorded a goal plus an assist, adding puck movement and first-pass quality from the blue line.
Hughes is available after his return, and coach John Hynes specifically praised Kaprizov’s positioning and regular access to scoring chances. Danila Yurov also remains available after taking a fighting major and a roughing minor against Utah.
- Utah Mammothaway3:1
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
- Calgary Flamesaway1:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
New York Islanders: dangerous attack, unstable road defence
Five-game trend and venue split
The Islanders also have three wins and two losses in their last five, scoring 16 and allowing 15. They beat Toronto and Nashville on the road, but the six-goal concession in Dallas exposed a sharp defensive drop away from home. New York scored in every listed game and also conceded in all five. At home the recent split is one win and one loss; away, the team has two wins and one heavy defeat.
Key players and goaltending information
- New York scored four goals in each of its latest road victories, against Toronto and Nashville.
- The defensive record worsened in the two latest away games: six goals conceded in Dallas and three in Nashville.
- The team has 36 goals and 32 conceded in 12 games.
- Ilya Sorokin made 15 saves in the win over Anaheim, while Semyon Varlamov appeared against Ottawa on October 16.
Sorokin and Varlamov are the goaltenders referenced in the recent team news, but no confirmed starter for this game is supplied.
- Nashville Predatorsaway4:3
- Dallas Starsaway3:6
- Los Angeles Kingshome2:3
- Anaheim Duckshome3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:1
Head-to-head record favours Minnesota
Minnesota has won 8 of the 10 official meetings between these teams over the last five years, with two defeats and no draws. The eight most recent encounters have included strong scoring performances from Minnesota. The latest two meetings were tighter: New York won 4:3 in Saint Paul in January, after Minnesota had won five of the previous six listed matchups.
The series has produced varied totals: the Wild won 5:0 and 6:3 at home, while the Islanders’ latest victory also reached seven combined goals. Minnesota has the better long-term results in the series, but New York has repeatedly found scoring chances.
- 11.01.2026Minnesota Wild3:4New York IslandersNHL
- 08.11.2025New York Islanders2:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 04.04.2025New York Islanders3:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 09.02.2025Minnesota Wild6:3New York IslandersNHL
- 15.01.2024Minnesota Wild5:0New York IslandersNHL
Team news and motivation before faceoff
Kaprizov’s current production gives Minnesota a clear attacking reference, and Hynes’ comments indicate that the winger is being used as the central creator in dangerous areas. Hughes’ immediate impact after returning strengthens the Wild’s transition game. Yurov’s recent penalties add a discipline angle: New York can gain extra offensive possession if Minnesota repeats that level of physical risk.
For the Islanders, the available news centres on the goaltending rotation rather than a confirmed lineup change. The team is eight points behind division-leading Carolina with 12 games played, while Minnesota leads its division with 20 points. There are no further expert opinions, confirmed absences or suspension announcements.
Line-ups
Minnesota Wild
Substitutes: 31. Calvin Pickard
Coach: John Hynes
New York Islanders
Substitutes: 40. Semyon Varlamov
Coach: Peter DeBoer
Our Forecast
Minnesota Wild host New York Islanders after three consecutive wins, scoring 12 goals across victories over Seattle, Vancouver and Utah. New York also has three wins in its last five games, but the Islanders conceded 15 goals in that sequence, including six on the road against Dallas. The market gives Minnesota a 49.6% home-win probability, while the away side is rated at 27.9%.
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.39. The opening period should be more controlled than the full-game scoring trends suggest: Minnesota has home advantage, a three-game winning run and a stronger recent defensive profile, while New York’s road defence has shown clear volatility. Minnesota has won eight of the last ten meetings, and Kirill Kaprizov has recorded points in three straight games, with 23 points in 14 season matches. Quinn Hughes also returned with a goal and an assist, improving the Wild’s transition play. The likeliest first-period score is 1:0 to Minnesota.
Final Selection
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.39 is the preferred outcome. Minnesota’s home momentum and New York’s uneven road defence support a cautious opening in which at least one team fails to score before the first intermission.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Utah Mammothaway3:1
- Vancouver Canucksaway4:2
- Seattle Krakenaway5:1
- Calgary Flamesaway1:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
- Nashville Predatorsaway4:3
- Dallas Starsaway3:6
- Los Angeles Kingshome2:3
- Anaheim Duckshome3:2
- Toronto Maple Leafsaway4:1
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild | 15 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 47:35 | 21 |
| 2 | Edmonton Oilers | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 56:43 | 20 |
Head-to-head
- 11.01.2026Minnesota Wild3:4New York IslandersNHL
- 08.11.2025New York Islanders2:5Minnesota WildNHL
- 04.04.2025New York Islanders3:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 09.02.2025Minnesota Wild6:3New York IslandersNHL
- 15.01.2024Minnesota Wild5:0New York IslandersNHL
About the match
- 29 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal-line direction
The 1X2 market makes Minnesota the favourite, assigning the home win a 49.6% probability, compared with 27.9% for New York and 22.5% for a draw. The home-win line is shortening, while the away-win line is drifting, so market confidence is moving toward the Wild. The draw line is also shortening, indicating continued market weight on a close game rather than a decisive Minnesota result.
On the goal line, Over 5.5 carries 51.9% and is moving outward, while Under 5.5 carries 48.1% and is shortening. The market therefore sees a near-even total with a slight initial lean toward six or more goals, but recent defensive concessions from both teams make the direction sensitive to confirmed goaltender news. BTTS “Yes” is assessed at 87.4%, though that line is also drifting; “No” is only 12.7% and is shortening. The market’s central message is broad scoring participation, tempered by reduced confidence in the higher total after the latest movement.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.38
- Odds at prediction
- 1.39
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.38
- Potential win
- 38 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.38
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
