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NHL prediction: Minnesota Wild vs Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL
Minnesota WildMinnesota Wild
18:00
18 October · New York
Columbus Blue JacketsColumbus Blue Jackets
11.8850%
X4.3622%
23.4228%
Our prediction
W1 1.88
our estimate 51% · market 50% Stake 100 $, potential win 88 $

Minnesota Wild host Columbus Blue Jackets at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul on October 18. Minnesota is fifth in the Western Conference with 11 points from eight games, three points behind the leader; Columbus sits 15th with four points.

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota WildLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L

Minnesota Wild: productive attack with a vulnerable defensive layer

Recent form and home profile

Minnesota has won three of its last five games. The Wild scored in every game and conceded in each, including four against St. Louis in their latest home outing.

Across eight games this season, Minnesota has scored 26 goals and allowed 20. Goals conceded have ranged from one against Florida to five against Winnipeg.

Strengths, weaknesses and lineup status

Minnesota’s scoring has covered for defensive concessions, particularly at home.

Kaprizov missed practice through illness but is expected to play, while Hughes rested and should also be available. Marcus Foligno, Nick Foligno, Spurgeon and Maatta are not expected to dress; Sturm will miss the game and must clear concussion-protocol checks before returning to skating, according to media reports. These absences reduce Minnesota’s defensive and checking options, while Kaprizov’s expected availability preserves its main attacking threat.

Recent matches
  • St. Louis Blueshome5:4
  • Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
  • Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
  • Florida Panthersaway4:1
  • Tampa Bay Lightningaway2:3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue JacketsLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

Columbus Blue Jackets: open games and a weakened defensive group

Results, scoring rhythm and road concerns

Columbus has won two of its last five games and lost three. The Blue Jackets scored in every game, but their current two-game losing run brought 12 goals against: five at St. Louis and seven at home to Florida.

Four of those five games were at home, where Columbus recorded two wins and two losses. Its only away game in that stretch ended in a 3:5 defeat by St. Louis.

Personnel balance and tactical pressure

Columbus has produced three or more goals in recent games, but repeated breakdowns behind the puck have undermined that output. Save percentage, power-play efficiency and penalty-kill efficiency are unavailable.

MacDonald is out with a lower-body injury, while Fabbro has an upper-body injury, Provorov a lower-body injury and Lundestrom an Achilles injury, according to media reports. Three unavailable defensemen limit matchup and penalty-killing options; Lundestrom’s absence removes a center.

Recent matches
  • Florida Panthershome3:7
  • St. Louis Bluesaway3:5
  • Pittsburgh Penguinshome3:2
  • Utah Mammothhome1:4
  • Buffalo Sabreshome6:3

Head-to-head record favors Minnesota

Minnesota has won seven of the ten official meetings over the last five years, with Columbus winning three. Across the eight recent meetings, the teams averaged 6.25 total goals; Minnesota scored at least three in six and won six, including the latest encounter, a 5:2 away victory in December 2025.

Columbus won 5:4 and 7:4 on two recent visits to Minnesota, while the Wild’s other victories included 3:1, 3:2 and 5:2 scorelines. Minnesota’s historical advantage has not prevented high-scoring home defeats.

Minnesota Wild wins 11draws 0Columbus Blue Jackets wins 4
  • 19.12.2025Columbus Blue Jackets2:5Minnesota WildNHL
  • 12.10.2025Minnesota Wild4:7Columbus Blue JacketsNHL
  • 19.10.2024Columbus Blue Jackets1:3Minnesota WildNHL
  • 11.10.2024Minnesota Wild3:2Columbus Blue JacketsNHL
  • 07.01.2024Columbus Blue Jackets3:4Minnesota WildNHL

News affecting the game plan

No full starting lineup or starting goaltender has been confirmed for either team. Without goaltending announcements, the effect of the defensive absences remains difficult to separate from the likely performance in net.

Our prediction

Our pick is W1 1.88 in regulation time. Minnesota has the stronger competitive position: 11 points from eight games against Columbus’ four, while the Wild have won three of their last five and scored in all five. Minnesota has scored in all five of its last games, which can expose Columbus’ current defensive problems.

According to media reports, Columbus will be without MacDonald, Fabbro, Provorov and Lundestrom, leaving a weakened defensive group after 12 goals conceded across its two-match losing streak. Minnesota also has absences, including Foligno, Spurgeon, Sturm and Määttä, but Kaprizov and Hughes are expected to be available. The head-to-head edge is clear: seven Minnesota wins in the last ten meetings, with at least three Wild goals in six of the last eight. The likely score is 4:2 to Minnesota.

Conclusion

W1 1.88 is supported by Minnesota’s home scoring, the 7–3 advantage in recent head-to-head wins and Columbus’ depleted defense.

Our prediction
W1 1.88
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FAQ

When does Minnesota Wild — Columbus Blue Jackets kick off?

The match starts on 18.10.2026 at 18:00 (New York), Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul).

What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild — Columbus Blue Jackets?

Our pick is W1 at 1.88.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Minnesota Wild win — 50%, draw — 22%, Columbus Blue Jackets win — 28%.

Chances by market estimate

Minnesota Wild50%
Draw22%
Columbus Blue Jackets28%

Team form

Minnesota Wild
Minnesota WildLast 5: 3 W, 0 D, 2 L
  • St. Louis Blueshome5:4
  • Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
  • Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
  • Florida Panthersaway4:1
  • Tampa Bay Lightningaway2:3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue JacketsLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • Florida Panthershome3:7
  • St. Louis Bluesaway3:5
  • Pittsburgh Penguinshome3:2
  • Utah Mammothhome1:4
  • Buffalo Sabreshome6:3

Standings · Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Colorado Avalanche850236:2411
5Minnesota Wild850226:2011
6Seattle Kraken840232:2311

Head-to-head

Minnesota Wild wins 11draws 0Columbus Blue Jackets wins 4
  • 19.12.2025Columbus Blue Jackets2:5Minnesota WildNHL
  • 12.10.2025Minnesota Wild4:7Columbus Blue JacketsNHL
  • 19.10.2024Columbus Blue Jackets1:3Minnesota WildNHL
  • 11.10.2024Minnesota Wild3:2Columbus Blue JacketsNHL
  • 07.01.2024Columbus Blue Jackets3:4Minnesota WildNHL

About the match

  • 18 October · 18:00 New York
  • Venue: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul)

Odds

Match result
W11.88
X4.36
W23.42
Double chance
1X1.33
121.23
2X1.94
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-2)2.67
Handicap 1 (-1.5)2.26
Handicap 1 (-1)2.06
Handicap 2 (1)1.77
Handicap 2 (1.5)1.64
Handicap 2 (2)1.42
Totals
Total Over (5)1.4
Total Over (5.5)1.66
Total Over (6)1.89
Total Under (5)2.81
Total Under (5.5)2.22
Total Under (6)1.85
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.06
Both Teams To Score - No7.2

Odds updated 17.10 18:10

Market view and goal-line signals

The 1X2 market assigns Minnesota a 50.5% implied probability, the draw 21.8% and Columbus 27.8%. Movement favors the home win and runs against the away win. Minnesota’s defensive absences and Columbus’s scoring output temper that home preference.

Over 5.5 goals carries a 57.2% probability against 42.8% for Under, although movement favors Under. BTTS (both teams to score) is priced at an 87.2% probability, with movement also toward the opposite side.

The teams’ combined 36 goals conceded across their respective last five games favor Over 5.5 as the betting angle, despite the movement toward Under.

Our prediction

Market
W1
Current odds
1.88
Confidence
Our estimate
51%
Market estimate
50%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.88
Potential win
88 $
Status
pending

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More predictions for this tournament

Our predictionW1 · 1.88
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