NHL Match Prediction: Dallas Stars vs New Jersey Devils
Dallas Stars
New Jersey DevilsMatch result
Dallas Stars 1:5 New Jersey Devils (0:1, 1:3, 0:1)
The New Jersey Devils defeated the Dallas Stars with a final score of 5:1 in an NHL game. The period scores were 0:1, 1:3, and 0:1. Thanks to a total of six goals scored during the match, our prediction for Total Over (5.5) won.
Our prediction: Total Over (5.5) at 1.84 — the bet won.
Dallas hosts New Jersey at American Airlines Center on October 27, with puck drop at 20:00 Eastern. The Stars have 15 points; the Devils have 14 from 11 games and trail Carolina by six points in their division. Both teams have scored in every game of their respective five-match runs.
Dallas: winning run meets lineup disruption
Recent form and home scoring
The Stars have won five straight, scoring 19 goals and conceding nine. Their last three games were home victories over Boston, Winnipeg and the Islanders, with a combined 12–7 score. The latest, a 6–3 win, was their highest-scoring performance of the stretch. The preceding two road wins produced seven goals for and two against.
Strengths and pressure points
Dallas scored at least three goals in all five games but kept only one shutout. Each home victory included at least two goals conceded, leaving the attack to secure the winning margins. Three of the five games finished with exactly five total goals; only the Islanders game exceeded that figure.
The Stars last played on October 25 and remain at home.
Availability and special teams
Radek Faksa and Sam Steel are out; Esa Lindell, Oskar Back and Matt Duchene are questionable. David Perron is practising but has yet to debut, while Dylan Hryckowian and Matthew Seminoff have been recalled.
- New York Islandershome6:3
- Winnipeg Jetshome3:2
- Boston Bruinshome3:2
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:0
- Colorado Avalancheaway3:2
New Jersey: improved defensive results before the trip
Recent results and venue split
The Devils have four wins in five games, scoring 20 goals and conceding ten. Their current three-game winning sequence produced an 11–5 aggregate. They won all four home fixtures in that stretch; their sole road appearance ended in a 4–2 defeat at Washington, leaving just one recent away game to assess.
Scoring range and recovery time
New Jersey conceded once in each of its last two games but has no shutout across the five-match stretch. Three games went Over 5.5 total goals and two went Under.
The Devils last played on October 24, giving them one more calendar day between games than Dallas, though they must travel from New Jersey to Texas.
Absences and the crease
Luke Evangelista and Connor Brown are unavailable; Seamus Casey, Nick Bjugstad and Johnathan Kovacevic are questionable. Connor Hellebuyck joined his first Devils practice after the trade on October 16, but is not confirmed as this game's starter.
- Los Angeles Kingshome3:1
- Anaheim Duckshome4:1
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:4
- New York Rangershome7:1
Head-to-head: overall edge, uneven home results
Dallas leads the ten official meetings over five years by six wins to four. The eight listed scorelines average 6.5 total goals, with five going Over 5.5 and both teams scoring in seven. Dallas lost three of the four listed meetings in Texas, including the most recent encounter, a 6–4 defeat in March.
- 25.03.2026Dallas Stars4:6New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 04.12.2025New Jersey Devils0:3Dallas StarsNHL
- 05.03.2025Dallas Stars4:3New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 22.02.2025New Jersey Devils2:4Dallas StarsNHL
- 15.03.2024Dallas Stars2:6New Jersey DevilsNHL
Expert commentary remains limited
No named expert assessment or match-specific tactical comments are available.
Line-ups
Dallas Stars
Substitutes: 29. Jake Oettinger
Coach: Glen Gulutzan
New Jersey Devils
Substitutes: 34. Jake Allen
Coach: Sheldon Keefe
Our Forecast
Dallas Stars and New Jersey Devils arrive in Dallas with attacking form strong enough to support our bet — Total Over (5.5) at 1.84. Dallas have won five straight games and scored at least three goals in each of them, including 19 goals across the run. New Jersey have won four of their last five, scoring 20 times, while both teams found the net in all five of the Devils’ most recent games.
The head-to-head record also points toward an open contest: five of the last eight listed meetings went over 5.5 goals, and both teams scored in seven. Those eight games produced an average of 6.5 total goals. Dallas’ lineup has several uncertainties, with Radek Faksa and Sam Steel unavailable and Esa Lindell, Oscar Bäck and Matt Duchene questionable; New Jersey also have confirmed absences and three players listed as doubtful. That creates risk in defensive rotations, while the market gives both teams a very high chance to score. The predicted score is Dallas Stars 4:3 New Jersey Devils.
Conclusion
Total Over (5.5) 1.84 is the selection. Recent scoring rates, the head-to-head average of 6.5 total goals and defensive personnel uncertainty make six total goals a realistic target.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- New York Islandershome6:3
- Winnipeg Jetshome3:2
- Boston Bruinshome3:2
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:0
- Colorado Avalancheaway3:2
- Los Angeles Kingshome3:1
- Anaheim Duckshome4:1
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:4
- New York Rangershome7:1
Standings · Central Division
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild | 14 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 44:31 | 20 |
| 2 | Utah Mammoth | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 47:43 | 16 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 33:25 | 15 |
| 4 | Colorado Avalanche | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 54:42 | 15 |
| 5 | Nashville Predators | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 34:39 | 13 |
| 6 | St. Louis Blues | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 35:37 | 11 |
| 7 | Winnipeg Jets | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 28:36 | 11 |
| 8 | Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 26:44 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 25.03.2026Dallas Stars4:6New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 04.12.2025New Jersey Devils0:3Dallas StarsNHL
- 05.03.2025Dallas Stars4:3New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 22.02.2025New Jersey Devils2:4Dallas StarsNHL
- 15.03.2024Dallas Stars2:6New Jersey DevilsNHL
About the match
- 27 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market: a narrow home lean is weakening
Dallas is the favourite at 41.2%, against 35.5% for New Jersey and 23.4% for the draw. Over the last 24 hours, home-win odds have drifted while away-win and draw odds have shortened, narrowing the market's preference for Dallas.
Over 5.5 stands at 51.6%, though odds movement favours Under. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 88.1% and has shortened: the market is more confident in both teams scoring than in the total exceeding 5.5.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (5.5)
- Odds
- 1.84
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 52%
- Market estimate
- 50%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.84
- Potential win
- 84 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.89
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +84 $
