Dallas Stars vs Montreal Canadiens: NHL Match Prediction
Dallas Stars
Montreal CanadiensMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.27 won
- Period 3: Not: Dallas Stars win and total over 1.5 1.35 won
Match result
Dallas Stars 2:5 Montreal Canadiens (1:3, 1:1, 0:1)
The NHL game between the Dallas Stars and the Montreal Canadiens ended in a 2:5 score, with period results of 1:3, 1:1, and 0:1. Our bet on "Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No" lost as both sides scored in the first period.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.41 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.27 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: Not: Dallas Stars win and total over 1.5 at 1.35 — the bet won.
Dallas Stars host Montreal Canadiens at American Airlines Center, with Dallas on fifteen points from twelve games and Montreal on sixteen. The Stars return after a heavy home defeat; the Canadiens arrive on a three-game winning streak.
Dallas Stars: strong run interrupted at home
Recent form and scoring profile
Dallas won four of its last five games. The run included home wins over Boston, Winnipeg and the Islanders and a shutout in Chicago, before a 1:5 home loss to New Jersey. The Stars scored in all five games and conceded in four.
Strengths, weaknesses and available personnel
- Attack: Dallas scored three or more goals in each of its last four wins, including six against the Islanders.
- Standings: the Stars sit five points behind Minnesota at the top of the table.
- Availability: Sam Steel and Radek Faksa are unavailable. Esa Lindell, Oscar Bäck and Matt Duchene are questionable, with lower-body, upper-body and lower-body injuries respectively.
- New Jersey Devilshome1:5
- New York Islandershome6:3
- Winnipeg Jetshome3:2
- Boston Bruinshome3:2
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:0
Montreal Canadiens: efficient road hockey and missing captain
Recent form and scoring profile
Montreal also won four of its last five games. After a 3:4 home loss to San Jose, the Canadiens won three straight road games: 4:1 in Chicago, 2:1 in Winnipeg and 2:0 in St. Louis.
Team balance and lineup impact
- Scoring: Montreal scored in all five recent games, including two goals in each of the last two, and conceded in four.
- Availability: captain Nick Suzuki is ruled out for two to four weeks with an upper-body injury, removing a central offensive and leadership presence.
- St. Louis Bluesaway2:0
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:1
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:1
- San Jose Sharkshome3:4
- Buffalo Sabreshome4:3
Head-to-head record favours Dallas overall
Dallas won six of the ten official meetings over the last five years and Montreal won four, with no draws. In the eight most recent listed meetings, Dallas leads five wins to three, with twenty-eight goals scored and twenty-one conceded. Those games averaged 6.125 total goals.
Dallas won 7:0 in November 2025; Montreal won the latest listed meeting 4:3 in January 2026. The last four listed meetings in Dallas produced two wins apiece, with the hosts scoring eleven goals and conceding thirteen.
- 04.01.2026Dallas Stars3:4Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 14.11.2025Montreal Canadiens0:7Dallas StarsNHL
- 17.01.2025Dallas Stars1:3Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 12.01.2025Montreal Canadiens1:2Dallas StarsNHL
- 10.02.2024Montreal Canadiens2:3Dallas StarsNHL
News, motivation and availability
Montreal is seeking to extend its winning run without its captain. Dallas has four players listed with injury questions and two confirmed absences, leaving its forward depth and defensive availability unsettled before puck drop.
No expert score prediction, confirmed starting-goaltender announcement or further lineup details are available. No suspensions have been reported. Montreal’s recent road defence contrasts with Dallas’s home-ice advantage and broader head-to-head lead.
Line-ups
Dallas Stars
Substitutes: 1. Casey DeSmith
Coach: Glen Gulutzan
Montreal Canadiens
Substitutes: 32. Jacob Fowler
Coach: Martin St. Louis
Our First-Period Pick
Our pick for Dallas against Montreal is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.41. Montreal conceded just two goals across its last three road games, finishing that stretch with a shutout. That defensive record supports a restrained opening, although it does not establish a first-period trend: period-by-period scores are unavailable.
According to media reports, Montreal will be without Nick Suzuki, while Dallas forwards Sam Steel and Radek Faksa are also out. Those absences reduce attacking options on both sides. After conceding five against New Jersey, Dallas has reason to prioritise defensive support rather than trade early chances. The market has also moved toward fewer goals, but its full-game prices cannot be treated as first-period probabilities. Our projected opening-period score is 0:0.
Betting Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.41 is our selection, supported chiefly by Montreal's recent road defending and the reported absences. The main risk is an early goal forcing the trailing side to accelerate before the first intermission.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- New Jersey Devilshome1:5
- New York Islandershome6:3
- Winnipeg Jetshome3:2
- Boston Bruinshome3:2
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:0
- St. Louis Bluesaway2:0
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:1
- Chicago Blackhawksaway4:1
- San Jose Sharkshome3:4
- Buffalo Sabreshome4:3
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Avalanche | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 54:42 | 15 |
| 7 | Dallas Stars | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 35:30 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Sharks | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 40:47 | 15 |
Head-to-head
- 04.01.2026Dallas Stars3:4Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 14.11.2025Montreal Canadiens0:7Dallas StarsNHL
- 17.01.2025Dallas Stars1:3Montreal CanadiensNHL
- 12.01.2025Montreal Canadiens1:2Dallas StarsNHL
- 10.02.2024Montreal Canadiens2:3Dallas StarsNHL
About the match
- 29 October · 20:00 New York
- Venue: American Airlines Center (Dallas)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal-line signals
Dallas is the market favourite, with a 46.6% home-win probability, against 22.5% for a draw and 30.9% for a Montreal win. Over the last twenty-four hours, the home-win line has moved toward Dallas and the away-win line has drifted against Montreal. The draw market is unchanged.
Over 5.5 has a narrow market preference at 54.6%, against 45.4% for Under 5.5, although movement is toward the Under. BTTS (both teams to score) “Yes” stands at 88.1%, but has weakened over the last twenty-four hours as “No” has strengthened.
The recent scoring records support BTTS, while Montreal’s road defence supports the movement toward Under 5.5 rather than a high-scoring game.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.41
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.41
- Potential win
- 41 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.41
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
