NHL prediction: Colorado Avalanche vs New Jersey Devils
Colorado Avalanche
New Jersey DevilsColorado Avalanche and New Jersey Devils meet in an NHL game at Rogers Place in Edmonton, with both teams carrying clear early-season pressure. Colorado sits seventh in the Western Conference with 13 points from 12 matches, while New Jersey has 14 points and occupies third place. The Devils won the previous meeting 4:3.
Colorado Avalanche: attacking output against defensive instability
Recent form and home profile
Colorado has won two of its last five games and lost three. The Avalanche scored in all five matches, but also allowed goals in every one: the defensive range stretched from two conceded against Pittsburgh to six against Nashville. At home, Colorado defeated Pittsburgh 5:2 and Tampa Bay 6:3; away, it lost to Philadelphia, New Jersey and Nashville. The split is sharp: home scoring has been strong, while road defending has collapsed.
Strengths, risks and available personnel
- The penalty discipline is a direct concern: Jared Bednar said the team failed to avoid penalties and looked heavier and slower in the latest match.
- Nicolas Roy has already missed six consecutive games with a lower-body injury, while Zachary L’Heureux is on injured reserve with an upper-body injury.
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:6
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome6:3
- New Jersey Devilsaway3:4
- Philadelphia Flyersaway2:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:2
New Jersey Devils: stronger sequence and repeatable scoring
Momentum entering the rematch
New Jersey has won four of its last five and is on a three-game winning streak. The Devils found the net in every match. Their latest result was a controlled 3:1 home win over Los Angeles, preceded by victories over Anaheim and Colorado. The only defeat came in Washington, where New Jersey lost 2:4. The team has allowed goals in all five matches, so its recent defensive improvement has not produced a shutout profile.
Matchup advantages and roster notes
- New Jersey averages 4.0 goals in the last five, with a seven-goal performance against the Rangers as the peak.
- The Devils already scored four against Colorado in the previous meeting, including the winning goal in a 4:3 game.
- Four wins in five matches give New Jersey the cleaner recent results and a stronger points position.
- Luke Evangelista missed travel to Washington because of illness; no further status update is supplied in the available facts.
Connor Hellebuyck’s debut for New Jersey was confirmed by Sheldon Keefe for the Dallas road game on the previous day. The facts do not state whether he will start in Edmonton, nor do they include his save percentage or the confirmed Devils lineup. That uncertainty matters because the market expects goals from both attacks, while goaltending could alter the game’s ceiling.
- Dallas Starsaway5:1
- Los Angeles Kingshome3:1
- Anaheim Duckshome4:1
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:4
Head-to-head pattern favors New Jersey recently
Across the last ten official meetings, Colorado has four wins and New Jersey six. The latest eight contain 45 goals in total, with both teams scoring freely in the most recent encounters: New Jersey won 4:3 on 20 October and also won 4:3 in October the previous year. Colorado’s best recent home results were 6:3 and 5:1, but the Devils have won the last two meetings and scored four in each.
The head-to-head average across those eight listed games is 5.6 goals. The sequence includes low-scoring exceptions, such as New Jersey’s 1:0 win, yet the current series is shaped more by open exchanges than by sustained defensive control.
- 20.10.2026New Jersey Devils4:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 26.10.2025New Jersey Devils4:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 27.02.2025Colorado Avalanche5:1New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 09.12.2024New Jersey Devils0:4Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 07.02.2024New Jersey Devils5:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
Team news and coaching signals
According to sportnet.live, Colorado remains without Nicolas Roy and Zachary L’Heureux, reducing available forward depth. Bednar’s comments after the Nashville defeat focused on sluggish movement and avoidable penalties, issues that directly expose Colorado against a New Jersey side averaging four goals in its last five.
According to nhl.ru, Luke Evangelista was absent because of illness, while allhockey.ru reported that Sheldon Keefe confirmed Connor Hellebuyck’s debut against Dallas. The supplied facts contain no expert betting opinions, no confirmed starting goalies for this match and no further injury or suspension information.
Our forecast
Our bet is Total Over (5) 1.39. The Avalanche scored in all five, but conceded in all five as well, including 6 against Nashville and 4 against New Jersey in the previous meeting.
New Jersey’s recent sequence points in the same direction: the Devils scored 7, 2, 4, 4 and 3 goals across their last five, while allowing goals in each game. The latest head-to-head ended 4:3. Colorado’s missing forwards Nicolas Roy and Zachary L’Heureux reduce depth, while Jared Bednar has criticized sluggish movement and avoidable penalties. Those issues increase the chance of further defensive breakdowns rather than a controlled low-scoring game. The market gives both teams an 89% probability of scoring, while the Over 5.5 side is assessed at 57.2%.
Expected score: Colorado Avalanche 3:4 New Jersey Devils.
Conclusion
Total Over (5) 1.39 is supported by five consecutive high-total games involving Colorado and goals in every recent match for both teams. A total of six or more goals is the target.
FAQ
When does Colorado Avalanche — New Jersey Devils kick off?
The match starts on 28.10.2026 at 21:00 (New York), Rogers Place (Edmonton).
What is the prediction for Colorado Avalanche — New Jersey Devils?
Our pick is Total Over (5) at 1.39.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Colorado Avalanche win — 45%, draw — 22%, New Jersey Devils win — 33%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:6
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome6:3
- New Jersey Devilsaway3:4
- Philadelphia Flyersaway2:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:2
- Dallas Starsaway5:1
- Los Angeles Kingshome3:1
- Anaheim Duckshome4:1
- Colorado Avalanchehome4:3
- Washington Capitalsaway2:4
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Seattle Kraken | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 45:42 | 15 |
| 7 | Colorado Avalanche | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 49:40 | 13 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 34:39 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 20.10.2026New Jersey Devils4:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 26.10.2025New Jersey Devils4:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 27.02.2025Colorado Avalanche5:1New Jersey DevilsNHL
- 09.12.2024New Jersey Devils0:4Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 07.02.2024New Jersey Devils5:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
About the match
- 28 October · 21:00 New York
- Venue: Rogers Place (Edmonton)
Odds
Odds updated 28.10 18:10
Market view: home edge, goals and a narrow confidence gap
In the 1X2 market, Colorado is the favorite with a 50% estimated probability, while New Jersey is assigned 28.2% and the draw 21.8%. The home-win line has shortened during the last day, whereas both the draw and away lines have drifted upward. That movement gives more weight to Colorado’s venue status despite the Devils’ superior recent record.
The goals market leans to Over 5.5 at 57.2%, although that line has moved upward, signaling slightly reduced confidence in a high total. Under 5.5 has 42.8% and has shortened. The strongest market position is BTTS Yes at 88.8%, with the line moving toward that outcome. Colorado’s goals in all five recent games, New Jersey’s identical scoring streak and the latest 4:3 meeting support the market’s expectation that both attacks will contribute.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (5)
- Current odds
- 1.39
- Odds at prediction
- 1.41
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.41
- Potential win
- 41 $
- Status
- pending
