NHL Prediction: Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames Match Preview
Colorado Avalanche
Calgary FlamesMore picks
- Period 2: No draw 1.27 won
Match result
Colorado Avalanche 5:2 Calgary Flames (1:0, 3:1, 1:1)
The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Calgary Flames with a final score of 5:2 in the NHL. The breakdown by periods was 1:0 in the first, 3:1 in the second, and 1:1 in the third. Our prediction of Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No proved accurate, and the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.42 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 2: No draw at 1.27 — the bet won.
Colorado host Calgary at Ball Arena in Denver on October 31 at 22:00 America/New_York. The Avalanche have 15 points from 13 games, six behind Western Conference leaders Minnesota. Calgary have 10 from 12 and a chance to close the gap to a conference rival.
Colorado: home scoring offsets defensive leaks
Recent form and venue split
The Avalanche have two wins and three losses in their last five games. Both wins came at home; all three defeats came on the road. Their latest result was a 5:2 win over New Jersey after defeat in Nashville.
Strengths, weaknesses and scoring pace
Colorado have scored 54 goals in 13 league games and conceded 42. They scored and conceded in all five recent outings. Their home wins have depended on scoring rather than shutting opponents out.
Availability and preparation
Defenseman Josh Manson is out with a lower-body injury. Captain Gabriel Landeskog reached a club-record 1572 regular-season hits. Jared Bednar declined a video review after the Nashville loss, calling the performance level unacceptable.
Colorado last played on October 28.
- New Jersey Devilshome5:2
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:6
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome6:3
- New Jersey Devilsaway3:4
- Philadelphia Flyersaway2:3
Calgary: winning run meets a road setback
Four home wins, then a shutout defeat
The Flames won four of their last five games. All four victories came at home. Their only road game in that sequence ended in a 4:0 loss at Edmonton, leaving their away form short of their home results.
Season balance and goal totals
Calgary's season totals are 28 goals for and 45 against across 12 games: averages of 2.33 scored and 3.75 conceded. Only one of their last five matches exceeded six combined goals. Their recent home defending has improved on that season-long concession rate.
Forward options and travel
Glen Gulutzan indicated that Sam Steel was likely back in the lineup after an undisclosed injury; David Perron is not ready for his season debut. Calgary also last played on October 28, leaving two clear days between games, but must travel from Edmonton to Denver.
Confirmed line combinations, starting goalies, save percentages and power-play or penalty-kill rates are unavailable for either team.
- Seattle Krakenhome6:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway0:4
- Toronto Maple Leafshome5:2
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:1
- Minnesota Wildhome2:1
Head-to-head record strongly favors Colorado
The Avalanche have won 13 of 15 official meetings over five years. Across the eight listed encounters, they outscored Calgary 38:16, averaging 6.75 combined goals. Only three of those eight exceeded six goals, so several large scores lifted the average. The latest meeting ended 7:3 to Colorado in Calgary on October 8.
- 09.10.2026Calgary Flames3:7Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 15.04.2026Calgary Flames1:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 10.04.2026Colorado Avalanche3:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 31.03.2026Colorado Avalanche9:2Calgary FlamesNHL
- 01.04.2025Colorado Avalanche2:3Calgary FlamesNHL
Pre-game comments and remaining gaps
No independent expert opinions, confirmed tactical changes or additional suspension updates are available for this matchup.
Line-ups
Colorado Avalanche
Coach: Jared Bednar
Calgary Flames
Coach: Ryan Huska
Our pick
At Ball Arena, our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.42. The first-period angle is supported by Calgary’s sharp attacking drop-off in its latest away appearance: the Flames lost 0:4 to Edmonton and failed to score. Their recent record is strong overall, with 4 wins in 5 games, but all four victories came at home, while the only road match ended in a shutout. That venue split is more relevant here than the aggregate results.
Colorado should control the opening stages through home-ice pressure. The Avalanche have won both of their last two games in Denver, and they have scored in all five recent matches. Their defensive record is less reliable—42 goals conceded in 13 games and goals allowed in each of the last five—but Calgary’s away attack is the weaker component of this matchup. Colorado also won 13 of the 15 official meetings over the past five years, including the latest encounter 7:3. The expected score after the first period is 1:0 to Colorado.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.42 is the preferred selection. Calgary’s zero-goal away showing and Colorado’s home advantage point toward at least one team remaining scoreless in the opening period.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- New Jersey Devilshome5:2
- Nashville Predatorsaway2:6
- Tampa Bay Lightninghome6:3
- New Jersey Devilsaway3:4
- Philadelphia Flyersaway2:3
- Seattle Krakenhome6:2
- Edmonton Oilersaway0:4
- Toronto Maple Leafshome5:2
- Detroit Red Wingshome4:1
- Minnesota Wildhome2:1
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Utah Mammoth | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 51:46 | 18 |
| 5 | Colorado Avalanche | 14 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 59:44 | 17 |
| 6 | Dallas Stars | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 38:31 | 17 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 15 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 41:52 | 15 |
| 11 | Calgary Flames | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36:52 | 12 |
| 12 | Anaheim Ducks | 13 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 43:50 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 09.10.2026Calgary Flames3:7Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 15.04.2026Calgary Flames1:3Colorado AvalancheNHL
- 10.04.2026Colorado Avalanche3:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 31.03.2026Colorado Avalanche9:2Calgary FlamesNHL
- 01.04.2025Colorado Avalanche2:3Calgary FlamesNHL
About the match
- 31 October · 22:00 New York
- Venue: Ball Arena (Denver)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market confidence and the totals tension
Colorado are clear favorites in regulation: the margin-free home-win probability is 66.8%, versus 17.4% for a draw and 15.8% for Calgary. Over the last 24 hours, the line has strengthened toward the hosts and moved away from the other two outcomes.
Under 6.5 goals has a 54.6% probability, despite movement toward Over. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 83.9%, but movement has favored at least one team failing to score.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.4
- Odds at prediction
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.4
- Potential win
- 40 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.41
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +40 $
