NHL Match Prediction: Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars
Chicago Blackhawks
Dallas StarsChicago host Dallas at United Center on October 17 at 19:00 Eastern, with the teams adjacent in the Western Conference. The Stars are 12th with 7 points from 7 games; the Blackhawks are 13th with 6 from 8.
Chicago: scoring rises, defensive costs remain
Recent results and home-ice balance
The Blackhawks have won 3 of their last 5. Consecutive wins over Pittsburgh and Winnipeg did not reduce the defensive workload: Chicago allowed 3 in each. The lone road appearance ended in defeat to the Islanders.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Chicago scored in all 5 recent games, avoiding a complete offensive shutdown.
- They also conceded in all 5, so every result required offensive support.
- The conference record shows 32 goals allowed in 8 games.
Returns and unavailable players
Connor Bedard returned from a shoulder injury against Winnipeg, and Frank Nazar is back after serving a suspension. Andrew Mangiapane is out injured, Ryan Ellis is unavailable with a back injury, and Bowen Byram is questionable with an upper-body injury. Bedard’s availability restores an attacking option.
- Winnipeg Jetshome4:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:3
- Carolina Hurricaneshome2:5
- New York Islandersaway1:4
- St. Louis Blueshome4:2
Dallas: a tighter defensive baseline
Form and road performance
Dallas also have 3 wins and 2 losses across their last 5. The sequence opened with two shutouts, followed by defeats to Pittsburgh and Colorado before a 3–2 road win over the Avalanche. Away from home in this sample, the Stars won twice in 3 games with an 8–4 goal balance.
Where the recent record separates them
- Dallas scored in all 5 games, matching Chicago’s scoring frequency.
- Only 1 of those 5 games exceeded 5.5 goals.
- The last 3 produced just 6 Dallas goals after 9 in the opening 2.
- The season balance is positive at 16–13, despite a position below the conference’s leading group.
Absences reshape the available attack
Matt Duchene is out injured, Cameron Hughes is unavailable with an upper-body injury, and Wyatt Johnston will miss the game through illness. Oskar Back is questionable with an upper-body injury. Confirmed lines, tactical setups, starting goaltenders, save percentages and power-play or penalty-kill percentages are not supplied for either team.
- Colorado Avalancheaway3:2
- Colorado Avalanchehome2:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinsaway1:2
- Buffalo Sabresaway4:0
- San Jose Sharkshome5:0
Head-to-head: the long view differs from the latest games
Dallas won 10 of the 15 official meetings over five years, but the latest 8 were split evenly. Those 8 produced 50 goals, averaging 6.25, with 6 finishing above 5.5. The latest 3 each contained 7 goals; Chicago won the first 2 before Dallas took the March meeting 4–3. That scoring history contrasts with the Stars’ lower recent totals.
- 08.03.2026Dallas Stars4:3Chicago BlackhawksNHL
- 02.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks4:3Dallas StarsNHL
- 28.12.2025Dallas Stars3:4Chicago BlackhawksNHL
- 30.12.2024Chicago Blackhawks1:5Dallas StarsNHL
- 28.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks6:2Dallas StarsNHL
Schedule and pregame context
Dallas last played on October 14, leaving 2 clear days before this fixture; Chicago played on October 15 and have 1. The Stars must travel from Colorado to Chicago, while the Blackhawks remain at home after hosting Winnipeg. No expert opinions or further match-specific news are supplied.
Our pick
Our selection is 2X at 1.29. Dallas have won 10 of the 15 official meetings over the last five years. Chicago have conceded 32 goals in eight games this season, conceding in all five of their last five matches.
The Stars have conceded 13 goals in seven league games and kept two clean sheets in their last five. Their recent away results include a 4:0 win over Buffalo and a 3:2 win at Colorado. Chicago have scored in all five recent games; the double chance covers a draw or a Dallas win rather than requiring an outright away victory.
Connor Bedard is back for Chicago after his shoulder injury, and Frank Nazar has returned from suspension. Andrew Mangiapane and Ryan Ellis are ruled out, while Bowen Byram is questionable. Dallas will be without Matt Duchene, Wyatt Johnston and Cameron Hughes, with Oscar Back also doubtful. Those absences make a straight Dallas win less appealing despite the defensive gap. Expected score: 2:3.
Conclusion
2X is the preferred outcome at 1.29, with draw protection preferable to an outright Dallas win given the visitors’ absences.
FAQ
When does Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars kick off?
The match starts on 17.10.2026 at 19:00 (New York), United Center (Chicago).
What is the prediction for Chicago Blackhawks — Dallas Stars?
Our pick is 2X at 1.29.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Chicago Blackhawks win — 26%, draw — 22%, Dallas Stars win — 53%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Winnipeg Jetshome4:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinshome5:3
- Carolina Hurricaneshome2:5
- New York Islandersaway1:4
- St. Louis Blueshome4:2
- Colorado Avalancheaway3:2
- Colorado Avalanchehome2:3
- Pittsburgh Penguinsaway1:2
- Buffalo Sabresaway4:0
- San Jose Sharkshome5:0
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 7 |
| 12 | Dallas Stars | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:32 | 6 |
| 14 | Vancouver Canucks | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28:41 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 08.03.2026Dallas Stars4:3Chicago BlackhawksNHL
- 02.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks4:3Dallas StarsNHL
- 28.12.2025Dallas Stars3:4Chicago BlackhawksNHL
- 30.12.2024Chicago Blackhawks1:5Dallas StarsNHL
- 28.11.2024Chicago Blackhawks6:2Dallas StarsNHL
About the match
- 17 October · 19:00 New York
- Venue: United Center (Chicago)
Odds
Odds updated 17.10 12:10
Market preference and the totals divide
Dallas are the regulation-time favourite at 50.8%, against 28.6% for Chicago and 20.6% for a draw. Over the last 24 hours, the away-win line has shortened while the home-win and draw lines have drifted. That is a clear preference for Dallas, though their probability is only slightly above half.
The Over 5.5 probability is 53.9%, compared with 46.1% for Under, with neither line showing a notable move. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 86.1% and is also stable. The narrow totals split reflects competing recent patterns: Chicago’s high-event games against Dallas’s lower-scoring results.
Our prediction
- Market
- 2X
- Current odds
- 1.29
- Odds at prediction
- 1.35
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.35
- Potential win
- 35 $
- Status
- pending
