Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild: NHL Match Prediction
Calgary Flames
Minnesota WildMatch result
Calgary Flames 2:1 Minnesota Wild (2:0, 0:0, 0:1)
The NHL match between the Calgary Flames and the Minnesota Wild ended in a 2:1 victory for Calgary. The period scores were 2:0, 0:0, and 0:1. Our prediction for this game was W2 (away win), meaning the bet lost.
Our prediction: W2 at 1.85 — the bet lost.
Calgary host Minnesota at Scotiabank Saddledome on October 22. The Flames are last in the Western Conference with 4 points from 8 games, while the Wild are fourth with 14 points from 10, two behind the conference lead. Calgary have a negative goal balance to repair; Minnesota arrive after a road defeat in Edmonton.
Calgary: home defence under pressure
Recent results and scoring
The Flames have won two of their last five, scoring 14 goals and conceding 21. Their latest result was a 3–2 home win over Carolina, following a 6–2 loss in Vegas. Across the three home games in that stretch, Calgary scored 8 and allowed 13; the two away games produced 6 for and 8 against.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Calgary scored in all five recent games, with at least two goals in each.
- They also conceded in all five, allowing four or more in three defeats.
- Their season totals of 17 goals for and 37 against show that the defensive problems extend beyond one result.
Personnel and deployment
Jonathan Huberdeau is out with a hip injury, while Samuel Honzek is on injured reserve with a lower-body injury. Ryan Huska changed the practice lines before the Carolina game, but those changes do not establish the combinations for this fixture. Dustin Wolf's starter status and save percentage are unavailable, as are confirmed lines, tactical deployment, and power-play and penalty-kill rates.
- Carolina Hurricaneshome3:2
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway2:6
- Anaheim Ducksaway4:2
- Anaheim Duckshome2:4
- Colorado Avalanchehome3:7
Minnesota: better results, thinner resources
Form and travel demands
The Wild have three wins in five, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. All three wins came at home; their two road games ended in defeats, with 5 scored and 9 allowed. Minnesota played in Edmonton on October 20 before travelling to Calgary. Neither side is on a back-to-back, but Calgary have the longer recovery window after being off since October 18.
Attacking output and defensive exposure
- Minnesota scored and conceded in each of their last five games.
- Four of those five finished above 5.5 goals.
- Their season balance of 31–25 is healthier than their recent break-even scoring record.
Injuries and available cover
Nick and Marcus Foligno, Filip Gustavsson, and Brock Faber are unavailable. Jared Spurgeon and Olli Maatta await clearance; Zach Bogosian has also missed a game through injury. Nico Sturm is expected back, while Justin Kirkland and Tyler Pitlick have been recalled. Kirill Kaprizov's health has been questioned, without confirmation of an absence. The starting goalie, save percentage, final lines, and special-teams rates are unavailable, limiting assessment of the replacement workload.
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome2:1
- St. Louis Blueshome5:4
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
- Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
Head-to-head: Calgary hold the longer edge
Calgary have won 9 of the 15 official meetings over five years. In the latest eight, the Flames lead 5–3, with 43 combined goals, an average of 5.375. Four matches finished above 5.5 goals. Calgary won all three home meetings in that eight-game sample, although Minnesota took the latest encounter 4–1 in January. Those home results contrast with the Flames' current defensive record.
- 30.01.2026Minnesota Wild4:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 05.12.2025Calgary Flames4:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 10.11.2025Minnesota Wild2:0Calgary FlamesNHL
- 12.04.2025Calgary Flames4:2Minnesota WildNHL
- 26.01.2025Minnesota Wild4:5Calgary FlamesNHL
Coaches focus on standards and attacking threats
Huska called Carolina a “benchmark team” after Calgary's latest win. John Hynes described Kaprizov as a threat that is very difficult to neutralise. Minnesota's younger players and line combinations have drawn praise amid the absences, but no independent expert assessment of this matchup is supplied.
Line-ups
Calgary Flames
Substitutes: 32. Dustin Wolf
Coach: Ryan Huska
Minnesota Wild
Substitutes: 31. Calvin Pickard
Coach: John Hynes
Our prediction
Our bet is W2 at 1.85. Minnesota Wild occupy fourth place in the Western Conference with 14 points from 10 games, while Calgary Flames are last with 4 points from 8. The home side has conceded 37 goals, the weakest defensive record in the listed standings. Calgary also lost three of its last five games, whereas Minnesota won three over the same span.
The gap is reinforced by the current attacking and defensive trends. The Flames scored 14 and conceded 21 across their last five, while the Wild scored 16 and conceded 16. According to media reports, Jonathan Huberdeau and Samuel Honzek will miss the game, reducing the hosts’ forward depth. Minnesota also have several absences, including Filip Gustavsson and Brock Faber, but their younger players and functioning line combinations have produced results despite the injuries. The market assigns the visitors 51.3% for the away win and has shortened that line during the last 24 hours.
Conclusion
W2 at 1.85 is the selection. Minnesota’s conference position, stronger recent record and Calgary’s 37 goals conceded in eight games outweigh the Wild’s weaker away results.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Carolina Hurricaneshome3:2
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway2:6
- Anaheim Ducksaway4:2
- Anaheim Duckshome2:4
- Colorado Avalanchehome3:7
- Edmonton Oilersaway3:4
- Columbus Blue Jacketshome2:1
- St. Louis Blueshome5:4
- Winnipeg Jetsaway2:5
- Vegas Golden Knightshome4:2
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Utah Mammoth | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 41:36 | 14 |
| 5 | Minnesota Wild | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 32:27 | 14 |
| 6 | Dallas Stars | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Chicago Blackhawks | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21:36 | 6 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:38 | 6 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 12 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 35:56 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 30.01.2026Minnesota Wild4:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 05.12.2025Calgary Flames4:1Minnesota WildNHL
- 10.11.2025Minnesota Wild2:0Calgary FlamesNHL
- 12.04.2025Calgary Flames4:2Minnesota WildNHL
- 26.01.2025Minnesota Wild4:5Calgary FlamesNHL
About the match
- 22 October · 21:00 New York
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market favours the visitors, totals move lower
Minnesota are favourites in regulation, and the away-win line has shortened over the past 24 hours; support for Calgary and the draw has weakened. That direction aligns with the standings, though the Wild's recent road results are weaker than their home returns.
The 5.5-goal market has moved towards Under despite a slight remaining preference for Over. BTTS (both teams to score) is strongly favoured, consistent with both clubs scoring and conceding throughout their recent five-game runs. Without confirmed goalies or save percentages, the goaltending contribution to the goals outlook cannot be assessed.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Odds
- 1.85
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 51%
- Market estimate
- 53%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.85
- Potential win
- 85 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.8
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
