Calgary Flames — Detroit Red Wings NHL forecast
Calgary Flames
Detroit Red WingsMatch result
Calgary Flames 4:1 Detroit Red Wings (1:0, 3:1, 0:0)
In the NHL matchup, the Calgary Flames defeated the Detroit Red Wings with a 4:1 score, following period results of 1:0, 3:1, and 0:0. With five total goals scored in the game, our prediction for Total Over (5) resulted in the bet being void.
Our prediction: Total Over (5) at 1.48 — the bet was void.
Calgary Flames host Detroit Red Wings at Scotiabank Saddledome on 24 October. Calgary seeks a third straight win, while Detroit looks to strengthen its playoff push after ten games.
Calgary Flames: improving results, reduced attacking depth
Recent form and game profile
Calgary has won three of its last five. Both teams scored in all five games. At home, the Flames recorded two wins and one loss; away, they split two games.
Allowing six at Vegas exposed the defensive weakness: the Flames have needed to keep opponents below four goals to turn their scoring into results.
Roster and unavailable players
Samuel Honzek is injured and will not play. Jonathan Huberdeau is also on the injured list with no return timetable, reducing Calgary’s attacking depth.
Goaltender save percentages, power-play efficiency and penalty-kill efficiency are unavailable, preventing a numerical comparison of the teams in those areas.
- Minnesota Wildhome2:1
- Carolina Hurricaneshome3:2
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway2:6
- Anaheim Ducksaway4:2
- Anaheim Duckshome2:4
Detroit Red Wings: productive attack with a demanding road setting
Form, scoring and defensive balance
Detroit has three wins in its last five. Both teams scored in every game.
The Red Wings’ stronger attack has not eliminated its defensive exposure.
Squad news and schedule context
Dylan Larkin is awaiting a trade, while Simon Edvinsson and Nikita Nikinshin have unresolved contract situations. None is confirmed suspended or unavailable for this game. Detroit has no confirmed injuries, starting lineup, goaltender or power-play unit; penalty-kill figures are also unavailable.
Detroit played in Vancouver on 22 October before travelling to Calgary. The Flames played Minnesota at home on the same date. Both have the same interval between games, but Calgary avoids Detroit’s travel burden.
- Vancouver Canucksaway5:2
- Seattle Krakenaway3:4
- San Jose Sharkshome4:3
- Philadelphia Flyershome2:1
- New Jersey Devilshome4:5
Head-to-head record points strongly toward Detroit
Calgary has won one of the nine official meetings over the last five years; Detroit has won eight. Across the eight most recent listed games, Calgary scored eleven goals and conceded thirty-two, averaging well below two scored and four allowed per game. Detroit scored at least three in six of those eight meetings.
Calgary lost all four listed home meetings by margins of three, five, two and one goal. Home ice has not prevented Detroit from repeatedly exploiting the Flames’ defence.
- 16.03.2026Detroit Red Wings5:2Calgary FlamesNHL
- 11.12.2025Calgary Flames3:4Detroit Red WingsNHL
- 02.02.2025Calgary Flames1:3Detroit Red WingsNHL
- 28.11.2024Detroit Red Wings2:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 17.02.2024Calgary Flames0:5Detroit Red WingsNHL
News angle before the faceoff
Calgary’s latest win was 2-1 against Minnesota, with Yegor Sharangovich and Aydar Suniev scoring. Detroit arrives after scoring five in an away win over Vancouver, following a one-goal defeat at Seattle.
Line-ups
Calgary Flames
Substitutes: 32. Dustin Wolf
Coach: Ryan Huska
Detroit Red Wings
Substitutes: 35. Michal Postava
Coach: Todd McLellan
Forecast: Total Over (5)
Our pick is Total Over (5) 1.48. Both teams have scored and conceded in each of their last five games, so the baseline for an open match is strong. Both teams have scored in each of their last five games. The Flames have also found the net in five consecutive matches despite Jonathan Huberdeau being placed on the injured list; Samuel Honzek is unavailable as well.
The defensive numbers support the total: both teams have conceded in each of their last five games, and both teams regularly exchange scoring chances. Their recent head-to-head record is even more direct: the last eight meetings produced 43 total goals, with Detroit scoring 32 and Calgary 11. Detroit won eight of the nine official meetings over five years, but that trend points more clearly toward goals than toward a Calgary result.
Conclusion
Total Over (5) 1.48 is the selection. Five straight scoring games for each side, repeated defensive concessions, and a high-scoring recent series between the teams create enough support for at least six goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Minnesota Wildhome2:1
- Carolina Hurricaneshome3:2
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway2:6
- Anaheim Ducksaway4:2
- Anaheim Duckshome2:4
- Vancouver Canucksaway5:2
- Seattle Krakenaway3:4
- San Jose Sharkshome4:3
- Philadelphia Flyershome2:1
- New Jersey Devilshome4:5
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Anaheim Ducks | 11 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 32:37 | 10 |
| 13 | Calgary Flames | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23:39 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles Kings | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:32 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 16.03.2026Detroit Red Wings5:2Calgary FlamesNHL
- 11.12.2025Calgary Flames3:4Detroit Red WingsNHL
- 02.02.2025Calgary Flames1:3Detroit Red WingsNHL
- 28.11.2024Detroit Red Wings2:1Calgary FlamesNHL
- 17.02.2024Calgary Flames0:5Detroit Red WingsNHL
About the match
- 24 October · 22:00 New York
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal-line direction
Detroit is the 1X2 favourite, with an away-win probability of 45.4%, compared with 31.8% for Calgary and 22.8% for the draw. The away-win line is moving toward Detroit and the home-win line away from Calgary, favouring the visitors’ stronger season position, scoring output and head-to-head record over Calgary’s home ice.
Over 5.5 has a probability of 53.7%, against 46.3% for Under 5.5, although the line is moving toward the lower total. BTTS (both teams to score) Yes stands at 89.7% and is attracting further support.
BTTS Yes is the clearest betting direction given both teams’ recent scoring and concession patterns. The movement toward a lower total makes the Over 5.5 case less clear.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (5)
- Odds
- 1.48
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.48
- Potential win
- 48 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.48
- Status
- void
- Profit
- +0 $
