NHL Match Preview and Prediction: Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators
Anaheim Ducks
Ottawa SenatorsMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.25 won
- Period 3: Not: Anaheim Ducks win and total over 1.5 1.25 lost
Match result
Anaheim Ducks 6:3 Ottawa Senators (0:3, 3:0, 3:0)
The NHL match between the Anaheim Ducks and the Ottawa Senators ended in a 6:3 victory for Anaheim. After losing the first period 0:3, Anaheim made a strong comeback with 3:0 in the second period and 3:0 in the third. Nine total goals meant that our bet on Total Over (6) won.
Our prediction: Total Over (6) at 1.65 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: No draw at 1.25 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Period 3: Not: Anaheim Ducks win and total over 1.5 at 1.25 — the bet lost.
Anaheim hosts Ottawa at Honda Center on November 1 at 20:00 Eastern. Both teams are on two-game losing runs. Ottawa has 19 points from 15 games, two behind Atlantic leader Boston. Anaheim has 11 points and is listed 12th in the Atlantic Division.
Anaheim: scoring without defensive cover
Recent results and venue split
The Ducks have one win in five games. Returning home has increased scoring without reducing defensive damage.
Strengths and pressure points
- Anaheim has scored in all five games.
- Defensive difficulties leave little margin for their attack.
Personnel and special teams
Troy Terry is on long-term injured reserve with a hip injury, while Ian Moore remains out without a return date. Nikita Klepov has been assigned to Saginaw in the OHL. Leo Carlsson has 18 points, including 14 assists, in 13 games. His reported conversion of three of four power-play opportunities is an individual figure, not the team's power-play rate.
- Buffalo Sabreshome6:7
- Vancouver Canuckshome5:6
- Philadelphia Flyersaway5:4
- New Jersey Devilsaway1:4
- New York Islandersaway2:3
Ottawa: road defence under pressure
Form and travel pattern
Ottawa has two wins and three losses in its last five. Three home games produced two wins and a 14–11 goal balance. The Senators then lost in Vegas and Los Angeles, scoring six and allowing ten. The visit to Anaheim continues a western road sequence rather than requiring a fresh cross-country trip.
Attacking output and defensive costs
- The Senators scored in all five games, reaching five or more on three occasions.
- They allowed at least four goals in each of their last four outings.
- Their season goal balance is 49–45, tighter than the recent five-game average of 8.2 combined goals.
Absences and lineup questions
Hayden Hodgson is unavailable following a two-game boarding suspension. Warren Foegele is out long term with a knee injury, and Artem Zub is also unavailable while recovering. No confirmed combinations, starting goalie, save percentage or team power-play and penalty-kill percentages are supplied, so these absences cannot be assigned a measured special-teams effect.
- San Jose Sharksaway5:1
- Los Angeles Kingsaway5:6
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway1:4
- New York Rangershome7:4
- San Jose Sharkshome2:6
Head-to-head scoring runs below recent form
The ten meetings over five years are split evenly, with five wins apiece. Ottawa won the latest three, conceding only three goals across them. The eight detailed encounters averaged 4.6 combined goals, and only one exceeded 6.5. That record contrasts with the teams' current high-scoring stretches.
- 14.03.2026Ottawa Senators2:0Anaheim DucksNHL
- 21.11.2025Anaheim Ducks2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 12.12.2024Ottawa Senators5:1Anaheim DucksNHL
- 02.12.2024Anaheim Ducks4:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 07.03.2024Anaheim Ducks2:1Ottawa SenatorsNHL
Public messaging and recovery time
Travis Green described Ottawa as focused and determined, while Shane Pinto spoke positively about the dressing room after difficult stretches. Both comments date from October 19, before the latest defeats, so they are not fresh reactions to this matchup. Both teams last played on October 29, leaving two clear days without a game; neither enters on a back-to-back. No independent expert assessment is supplied.
Line-ups
Anaheim Ducks
Substitutes: 1. Lukas Dostal
Coach: Joel Quenneville
Ottawa Senators
Substitutes: 30. Samuel Ersson
Coach: Travis Green
Our pick: goals over the result
Our bet for Anaheim against Ottawa at Honda Center is Total Over (6) 1.65. The Ducks’ last two home games ended 5–6 and 6–7, while the Senators arrive after a 5–6 loss in Los Angeles. Those results show why strong attacking output need not translate into wins: neither side has been protecting its own net.
Both teams scored and conceded in all five of their previous games. That makes contributions from both attacks a firmer basis for this pick than relying on either side to win. Missing defenders Ian Moore and Artem Zub further reduce the options for tightening up, although Troy Terry’s absence weakens Anaheim’s attack. The main caution is the lower-scoring recent head-to-head record; the current defensive problems carry more weight here. A projected score of 4–3 to Ottawa fits the selection without requiring another double-digit total.
Six is the key threshold
Total Over (6) 1.65 is our choice. That protection matters when backing two productive but defensively vulnerable teams.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Buffalo Sabreshome6:7
- Vancouver Canuckshome5:6
- Philadelphia Flyersaway5:4
- New Jersey Devilsaway1:4
- New York Islandersaway2:3
- San Jose Sharksaway5:1
- Los Angeles Kingsaway5:6
- Vegas Golden Knightsaway1:4
- New York Rangershome7:4
- San Jose Sharkshome2:6
Standings · Pacific Division
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers | 15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 64:44 | 24 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 53:44 | 19 |
| 3 | Seattle Kraken | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 52:52 | 17 |
| 4 | San Jose Sharks | 15 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 41:52 | 15 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 14 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 49:53 | 13 |
| 6 | Calgary Flames | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36:52 | 12 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Kings | 13 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 36:45 | 10 |
| 8 | Vancouver Canucks | 16 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 47:72 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 14.03.2026Ottawa Senators2:0Anaheim DucksNHL
- 21.11.2025Anaheim Ducks2:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 12.12.2024Ottawa Senators5:1Anaheim DucksNHL
- 02.12.2024Anaheim Ducks4:3Ottawa SenatorsNHL
- 07.03.2024Anaheim Ducks2:1Ottawa SenatorsNHL
About the match
- 1 November · 20:00 New York
- Venue: Honda Center (Anaheim)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A narrow away lean, with support shifting
Ottawa is the slight regulation-time favourite at 40.8%, against Anaheim's 37.2% and a 22.1% draw probability. Over the last 24 hours, support has moved toward the hosts and away from Ottawa and the draw. This describes the 1X2 market, not the chance of winning after overtime or a shootout.
Under 6.5 holds a narrow 51.9% market assessment, compared with 48.1% for Over. Movement has favoured Over, indicating a shift toward higher scoring despite the lower-scoring head-to-head record. Without confirmed goalies or save percentages, the goaltending comparison cannot resolve that tension.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (6)
- Odds
- 1.63
- Odds at prediction
- 1.65
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 57%
- Market estimate
- 56%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.63
- Potential win
- 63 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.66
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +63 $
