KHL Match Prediction: Traktor Chelyabinsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
Traktor Chelyabinsk
Sibir NovosibirskTraktor host Sibir at Traktor Ice Arena in Chelyabinsk on October 26. Traktor are tenth with 16 points from 17 games; Sibir are eighth with 17 from 20.
Traktor: tighter defence, uneven scoring
Recent results and home balance
Traktor have two wins and three defeats in their last five games. They recorded a 3:1 home win over Ak Bars on October 23.
Strengths and weaknesses
Traktor scored in all five matches. Six goals came against Shanghai Dragons. Their season totals are 36 scored and 41 conceded.
Personnel and preparation
Defenceman Vladislav Valentsov and forwards Mikhail Grigorenko and Nikita Soshnikov returned to the lineup on October 12. Confirmed lines, current absences, starting-goaltender save percentages and power-play or penalty-kill rates are unavailable. Traktor have two clear days between games and remain at home after facing Ak Bars.
- Ak Bars Kazanhome3:1
- Avangard Omskaway1:2
- Neftekhimikaway2:3
- Shanghai Dragonsaway6:2
- Sibir Novosibirskhome1:2
Sibir: road scoring offset by defensive losses
Five-game trajectory
Sibir have two wins and three defeats in their last five outings, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their last two games ended in defeats at SKA and Metallurg, with four goals for and 11 against. They split the results evenly across four away matches in this sequence, conceding 15 goals.
Attacking threat and exposure
Sibir scored at least three goals in three of those four road games, but their season totals stand at 44 scored and 61 conceded through 20 games. Four of their last five fixtures reached at least five total goals.
Selection and travel demands
No confirmed Sibir lineup, injury or suspension update, goalkeeper save percentage, or special-teams conversion figures are available. This is their fourth consecutive away fixture, following Moscow, Saint Petersburg and Magnitogorsk. Only October 25 is clear after their latest game, leaving less recovery time than Traktor; travel arrangements are unspecified.
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:5
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:6
- Dynamo Moscowaway3:2
- Baryshome0:1
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway4:2
Head-to-head history favours the hosts
Traktor have won 12 of the 14 official meetings over five years. The latest eight produced six Traktor wins and 45 goals, with six reaching at least five. Sibir nevertheless won the most recent encounter 2:1 in Chelyabinsk on October 10.
- 10.10.2026Traktor Chelyabinsk1:2Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 31.01.2026Sibir Novosibirsk1:3Traktor ChelyabinskKontinental Hockey League
- 11.01.2026Traktor Chelyabinsk4:1Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 02.11.2025Traktor Chelyabinsk4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 25.10.2025Sibir Novosibirsk3:4Traktor ChelyabinskKontinental Hockey League
A reported dressing-room restriction
Journalist Dmitry Fedorov said Evgeny Kuznetsov had been barred from entering Traktor's dressing room. This does not establish his match eligibility or a suspension; no match-specific expert assessment is available.
Our pick for Chelyabinsk
Our selection is W1 at 1.9. Traktor’s 12 wins in 14 meetings with Sibir support the home side, but the stronger immediate argument is the visitors’ defending: 11 goals conceded across two consecutive away defeats. Traktor enter this fixture after beating Ak Bars 3:1 at home, a result that favours backing them to exploit those defensive problems rather than relying on past meetings alone.
Vladislav Valentsov, Mikhail Grigorenko and Nikita Soshnikov have returned after illness or injury, restoring options in defence and attack. No confirmed match-day lineup is available. Sibir’s 2:1 win here earlier this month is a warning against treating the hosts as certain winners; the selection requires Traktor to turn their improved home performance into a regulation-time result. Predicted score: 3:1.
Final betting verdict
W1 at 1.9 is the pick: Sibir’s recent defensive losses make the home side preferable, while the draw remains the principal risk to a regulation-time bet.
FAQ
When does Traktor Chelyabinsk — Sibir Novosibirsk kick off?
The match starts on 26.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Traktor Ice Arena (Chelyabinsk).
What is the prediction for Traktor Chelyabinsk — Sibir Novosibirsk?
Our pick is W1 at 1.9.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Traktor Chelyabinsk win — 50%, draw — 23%, Sibir Novosibirsk win — 28%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Ak Bars Kazanhome3:1
- Avangard Omskaway1:2
- Neftekhimikaway2:3
- Shanghai Dragonsaway6:2
- Sibir Novosibirskhome1:2
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:5
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:6
- Dynamo Moscowaway3:2
- Baryshome0:1
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway4:2
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 18 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 47:46 | 18 |
| 8 | Sibir Novosibirsk | 20 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 44:61 | 17 |
| 9 | Admiral Vladivostok | 18 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 43:51 | 17 |
| 10 | Traktor Chelyabinsk | 17 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 36:41 | 16 |
| 11 | Avangard Omsk | 16 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 30:40 | 16 |
Head-to-head
- 10.10.2026Traktor Chelyabinsk1:2Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 31.01.2026Sibir Novosibirsk1:3Traktor ChelyabinskKontinental Hockey League
- 11.01.2026Traktor Chelyabinsk4:1Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 02.11.2025Traktor Chelyabinsk4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 25.10.2025Sibir Novosibirsk3:4Traktor ChelyabinskKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 26 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Traktor Ice Arena (Chelyabinsk)
Odds
Odds updated 25.10 10:10
Market preference without a decisive majority
Traktor are the regulation-time favourites at 49.9%, compared with 27.6% for Sibir and 22.6% for a draw. The 1X2 line has shown no notable movement over 24 hours.
Over 4.5 goals carries a 55.8% market probability, with that line also stable. BTTS (both teams to score) stands at 77.7%, although movement has been towards at least one team failing to score. Both clubs conceded in every game of their respective five-match runs.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.9
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 50%
- Market estimate
- 50%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.9
- Potential win
- 90 $
- Status
- pending
