KHL Prediction: Spartak Moscow vs Admiral Vladivostok
Spartak Moscow
Admiral VladivostokSpartak Moscow host Admiral Vladivostok at Megasport Sport Palace on November 14. The hosts have 30 points from 26 games and sit fourth, level with Severstal despite playing one extra match. Admiral arrive with 25 points: the immediate stakes are points in the standings, while Spartak also need to halt a losing sequence.
Spartak: scoring cannot cover the defensive slide
Recent form and home performance
Spartak have lost four of their last five games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 21. Their three home fixtures in that stretch produced one win and two defeats, with nine goals scored and 11 allowed. The away losses were heavier in aggregate, with just two goals scored against 10 conceded.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- They scored in all five games, avoiding complete attacking shutdowns.
- Three of those fixtures finished above 5.5 goals.
- They conceded at least three goals in every match.
- The season goal difference remains positive at 69–60, contrasting with the recent defensive decline.
Personnel and tactical response
Ivan Fedotov returned to the squad against Amur after illness. Daniil Orlov's recovery timetable depends on rehabilitation. After surrendering a 2–0 lead in the latest defeat, Alexei Zhamnov criticised the flat opening and lack of emotion; protecting possession and leads is the immediate correction.
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:4
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway1:7
- Dinamo Minskhome5:3
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:4
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway1:3
Admiral: better results, uneven defensive returns
Five-game trajectory
Admiral have three wins and two losses in five games, scoring 17 goals and allowing 16. Their two away matches in that sample split into a win and a defeat, with six goals scored and seven conceded. The latest reverse at Barys followed a six-day interval between games, so it did not come on the second night of a back-to-back.
Where the balance shifts
- Admiral scored in all five fixtures, reaching four goals three times.
- The shutout against SKA was their only clean sheet.
- They conceded 13 goals across their other three most recent fixtures.
- Four of five matches exceeded 5.5 total goals.
Goaltending and special teams
Oleg Bratash credited the goalkeeper, player responsibility and special teams for the 4–0 win over SKA. That identifies a successful combination rather than a measured ongoing advantage.
- Barysaway2:4
- Baryshome5:4
- SKA Saint Petersburghome4:0
- Amur Khabarovskhome2:5
- Neftekhimikaway4:3
Head-to-head edge belongs to Moscow
Spartak have won seven of the 10 official meetings over five years, including the latest four. The eight listed encounters produced 54 goals, an average of 6.75, and both teams scored in every one. Seven exceeded 5.5 goals. Their most recent meeting ended 5–1 to Spartak, although the longer record includes an Admiral away win by 6–2.
- 16.10.2026Admiral Vladivostok1:5Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 26.02.2026Spartak Moscow6:3Admiral VladivostokKontinental Hockey League
- 17.10.2025Admiral Vladivostok3:4Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 18.11.2024Spartak Moscow6:1Admiral VladivostokKontinental Hockey League
- 21.10.2024Admiral Vladivostok4:3Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
Coaching reaction and the travel schedule
Bratash said he was satisfied with Admiral's performance, but not the result, after the loss at Barys. Both clubs last played on November 12, leaving one clear day before this fixture. Spartak remain in Moscow after a home game; Admiral must travel from their latest away venue.
Our first-period pick
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.33. Spartak's priority should be limiting early mistakes after two successive defeats. Alexei Zhamnov criticised the sluggish start against Amur and the loss of a 2:0 lead; a more controlled opening would address those failings rather than invite another exchange of chances.
Admiral have a defensive template in their 4:0 win over SKA: Oleg Bratash singled out goaltending, player responsibility and special teams. Applying that discipline away from home would suit this bet, although it is a tactical expectation, not a proven first-period trend. Ivan Fedotov has returned to the squad for the match against Amur after illness; Daniil Orlov's recovery timetable remains unknown. A possible first-period score is 0:0.
Betting conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.33 targets a cautious opening, not a low-scoring full match. This is a measured tactical pick rather than a strong statistical claim.
FAQ
When does Spartak Moscow — Admiral Vladivostok kick off?
The match starts on 14.11.2026 at 08:30 (New York), Megasport Sport Palace (Moscow).
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow — Admiral Vladivostok?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.33.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Spartak Moscow win — 57%, draw — 22%, Admiral Vladivostok win — 22%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:4
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway1:7
- Dinamo Minskhome5:3
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlhome1:4
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway1:3
- Barysaway2:4
- Baryshome5:4
- SKA Saint Petersburghome4:0
- Amur Khabarovskhome2:5
- Neftekhimikaway4:3
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | 24 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 65:56 | 31 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 26 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 69:60 | 30 |
| 5 | Severstal Cherepovets | 25 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 59:57 | 30 |
Head-to-head
- 16.10.2026Admiral Vladivostok1:5Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 26.02.2026Spartak Moscow6:3Admiral VladivostokKontinental Hockey League
- 17.10.2025Admiral Vladivostok3:4Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 18.11.2024Spartak Moscow6:1Admiral VladivostokKontinental Hockey League
- 21.10.2024Admiral Vladivostok4:3Spartak MoscowKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 14 November · 08:30 New York
- Venue: Megasport Sport Palace (Moscow)
Odds
Odds updated 13.11 08:40
Market favours the hosts, but expects restraint
Spartak are the regulation-time favourite at 56.9%; the draw and Admiral away win are each assessed at 21.6%. None of those lines has moved noticeably over 24 hours. The market preference therefore rests with the hosts despite Admiral's stronger recent win count.
Under 5.5 goals carries a 55.8% probability, contrasting with the high-scoring recent samples and head-to-head history. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 82.3%, so the market distinguishes shared scoring from a high total. Both goals markets have also remained stable over the past day.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.33
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
