Sibir Novosibirsk vs Ak Bars Kazan: KHL Match Prediction
Sibir Novosibirsk
Ak Bars KazanSibir host Ak Bars at Sibir-Arena on November 4, with the clubs separated by five points in the Eastern Conference. The hosts sit tenth with 19 points from 23 games; Kazan are fourth with 24, one ahead of Amur despite having played two more matches.
Sibir: home improvement has limits
Recent results and scoring balance
Sibir have lost four of their last five. Back in Novosibirsk, they beat Metallurg 5–2 before losing 1–3 to Neftekhimik.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Sibir scored in all five games but managed only one goal in three of them.
- They conceded at least twice in every match.
- The season balance is 51–68, with 15 more goals conceded than Kazan across the same number of games.
Personnel and special teams
Taylor Beck and Fyodor Gordeev have been placed on waivers, while Kuznetsov has left the club; all three are unavailable. Confirmed lines, tactical formations, starting goalies, save percentages, power-play rates and penalty-kill rates are not supplied for either side.
- Neftekhimikhome1:3
- Metallurg Magnitogorskhome5:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:2
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:5
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:6
Ak Bars: a shorter turnaround
Form and travel
Kazan have two wins and three losses in five games. Their two away fixtures yielded a 1–3 defeat at Traktor and a 2–1 win in Ufa. After losing 3–4 at home to SKA on November 2, they face Sibir in Novosibirsk on November 4.
Where the balance shifts
- Ak Bars scored three goals in each of their last two games, following a shutout loss to Avangard.
- Andrei Stas has one goal in 23 appearances, while Egor Sokolov's scoring drought has reduced his ice-time role.
Selection updates
Ilya Safonov is close to returning but is not confirmed back. Alexei Pustozyorov returned after missing three games, and Alexander Ivanov was listed as the seventh defender. Mitch Miller missed SKA through health problems, while Timur Bilyalov was again outside the lineup. Alexei Marchenko is listed as unavailable amid the captaincy change; no formal suspension is specified.
- SKA Saint Petersburghome3:4
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:1
- Avangard Omskhome0:4
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway2:1
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:3
Recent meetings favour Kazan
Sibir lead the five-year series by eight wins to seven, but Ak Bars have won six of the latest eight meetings, including the last three. The two encounters this season finished 4–3 in Kazan and 3–2 in Novosibirsk.
All eight listed meetings exceeded 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring every time and 50 goals overall. That contrasts with recent league form: only three of Sibir's last five and one of Kazan's last five cleared that total. The head-to-head scoring pattern is stronger than either team's current sequence.
- 24.09.2026Sibir Novosibirsk2:3Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 05.09.2026Ak Bars Kazan4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 07.03.2026Ak Bars Kazan6:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 02.02.2026Sibir Novosibirsk3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 24.01.2026Ak Bars Kazan2:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
Coaches explain the recent decisions
Yaroslav Lyuzенkov described Sibir's Metallurg victory as a good team win and said a one-goal difference decided the Neftekhimik defeat. Anvar Gatiyatulin attributed Albert Yarullin's appointment as Ak Bars captain to a changed roster and his suitability for the role; reports linked Marchenko losing the captaincy to missing a team dinner.
Our first-period pick
Our bet is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3. Sibir scored just once in three of their last five games, while Ak Bars managed only three goals across their two recent away fixtures. Those attacking limits favour a bet that requires only one side to finish the opening period without scoring, rather than a low total across the entire match.
Taylor Beck's absence reduces Sibir's forward options, while Andrei Stas has one goal in 23 appearances for Kazan. Confirmed starting lineups are unavailable. There are no first-period scoring splits to establish a direct trend, and both teams scored in all eight listed meetings, so this is a cautious preference rather than a high-confidence selection. A possible first-period score is 0–0; later goals would not affect the bet.
Final assessment
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3 is our choice because it targets the limited opening window rather than asking either defence to hold out all night. The main risk is an early exchange of goals, especially given Sibir's defensive record.
FAQ
When does Sibir Novosibirsk — Ak Bars Kazan kick off?
The match starts on 04.11.2026 at 05:30 (New York), Sibir-Arena (Novosibirsk).
What is the prediction for Sibir Novosibirsk — Ak Bars Kazan?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Sibir Novosibirsk win — 35%, draw — 23%, Ak Bars Kazan win — 42%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Neftekhimikhome1:3
- Metallurg Magnitogorskhome5:2
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:2
- Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:5
- SKA Saint Petersburgaway3:6
- SKA Saint Petersburghome3:4
- Amur Khabarovskhome3:1
- Avangard Omskhome0:4
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaaway2:1
- Traktor Chelyabinskaway1:3
Standings · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Barys | 21 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 71:57 | 25 |
| 4 | Ak Bars Kazan | 23 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 51:53 | 24 |
| 5 | Amur Khabarovsk | 21 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 42:35 | 23 |
| 9 | Admiral Vladivostok | 21 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 52:60 | 21 |
| 10 | Sibir Novosibirsk | 23 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 51:68 | 19 |
| 11 | Traktor Chelyabinsk | 21 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 43:53 | 19 |
Head-to-head
- 24.09.2026Sibir Novosibirsk2:3Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 05.09.2026Ak Bars Kazan4:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 07.03.2026Ak Bars Kazan6:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
- 02.02.2026Sibir Novosibirsk3:2Ak Bars KazanKontinental Hockey League
- 24.01.2026Ak Bars Kazan2:3Sibir NovosibirskKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 4 November · 05:30 New York
- Venue: Sibir-Arena (Novosibirsk)
Odds
Odds updated 03.11 06:20
A narrow away lean, with totals moving
Ak Bars are the modest 1X2 favourites rather than a commanding market choice. The regulation draw remains a separate outcome, so that preference should not be confused with an outright winner assessment. The result market has shown no notable movement over 24 hours.
The Over/Under market has moved towards Over 4.5 goals, with the Under weakening. BTTS (both teams to score) remains strongly favoured and unchanged. No Asian handicap movement is supplied; the observable shift concerns scoring, not a widening advantage for Ak Bars.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
