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Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs Salavat Yulaev Ufa Forecast: KHL

Metallurg MagnitogorskMetallurg Magnitogorsk
10:00
21 October · New York
Salavat Yulaev UfaSalavat Yulaev Ufa
11.853%
X4.2822%
23.7825%
Our prediction
W1 1.8
our estimate 53% · market 53% Stake 100 $, potential win 80 $

Metallurg Magnitogorsk hosts Salavat Yulaev Ufa at Arena Metallurg in the Kontinental Hockey League on 21 October. Metallurg leads the Eastern Conference with 29 points; fifth-placed Salavat has 19. The ten-point gap separates the teams as they meet again after Metallurg’s home victory.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Metallurg MagnitogorskLast 5: 5 W, 0 D, 0 L

Metallurg Magnitogorsk: form, structure and squad

Five wins and a stable scoring output

Metallurg has won its last five games. It beat Admiral, Salavat and Avtomobilist at home, and Torpedo and Dinamo Minsk away. The hosts scored in every match and conceded in four.

Metallurg allowed no more than two goals in any game of that run. Its season totals stand at 58 goals for and 33 against after 18 games.

  • Admiral: three goals scored in a shutout win.

Changes behind the bench and in the lineup

Vladimir Vorobyov is acting as head coach after Andrei Razin’s departure. Egor Yakovlev has returned to action, while Egor Zelenov, Artem Minulin, Andrei Vokhmyanin and Mikhail Fyodorov have rejoined the squad. Dmitry Silantyev and Stepan Starkov were sent to the reserves.

Egor Zavragin has become the starting goaltender. Sergei Tolchinsky recently discussed his form after returning from injury.

Recent matches
  • Avtomobilist Yekaterinburghome4:2
  • Dinamo Minskaway3:1
  • Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway3:2
  • Salavat Yulaev Ufahome7:1
  • Admiral Vladivostokhome3:0
Salavat Yulaev Ufa
Salavat Yulaev UfaLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

Salavat Yulaev Ufa: defensive problems and travel load

Two wins in five and repeated concessions

Salavat has two wins and three losses in its last five games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. It allowed goals in every match, conceding at least three in three games, and scored in four.

The latest three away fixtures brought one win and two defeats: 4:3 against Amur, 1:7 against Metallurg and 0:2 against Admiral immediately before the trip to Magnitogorsk. Salavat has scored 52 goals and conceded 56 after 18 games.

Injuries and available information

Sergei Varlov is out injured, with his condition due to be clarified after examination. Danil Alalykin suffered an injury earlier in October but scored the overtime winner in that game. Salavat’s starting goaltender and full lineup are unconfirmed; its save percentage, power-play rate and penalty-killing rate are unavailable.

Recent matches
  • Admiral Vladivostokaway0:2
  • Amur Khabarovskaway4:3
  • Sibir Novosibirskhome2:4
  • Neftekhimikhome4:3
  • Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:7

Head-to-head pattern

Metallurg leads the official five-year series with seven wins and four defeats from 11 meetings, with no draws. It has won five of the latest eight games. The most recent four meetings finished 7:1, 4:3, 2:1 and 6:4 from Metallurg’s perspective, for a combined score of 19:9.

The latest eight official meetings averaged 7.1 total goals. The most recent meeting was played at Arena Metallurg.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins 9draws 0Salavat Yulaev Ufa wins 6
  • 09.10.2026Metallurg Magnitogorsk7:1Salavat Yulaev UfaKontinental Hockey League
  • 23.09.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa3:4Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League
  • 29.08.2026Metallurg Magnitogorsk3:2Salavat Yulaev UfaClub Friendlies
  • 11.03.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa1:2Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League
  • 13.02.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa4:3Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League

Team news and pre-match context

Metallurg’s winning run followed Razin’s departure. Salavat travels to Magnitogorsk after its defeat at Admiral.

Our pick for Magnitogorsk

Our bet is W1 1.8: Metallurg to win in regulation at Arena Metallurg. The hosts have scored at least three goals in each of their last five games, so the case rests on repeated attacking output rather than the recent 7:1 victory over Salavat alone. Across that stretch, Metallurg conceded just six goals; Ufa allowed 19 over its own last five matches. That gap favours the hosts without requiring another runaway score.

Salavat also faces a third away game in five days after visits to Khabarovsk and Vladivostok, while Metallurg last played at home on 18 October. The shorter turnaround leaves Ufa less recovery time before facing the conference leader. Egor Yakovlev’s return strengthens the hosts’ defensive options, whereas Sergei Varlov is sidelined for the visitors. Confirmed match-day lineups and further suspension details are unavailable. Predicted score: 4:2.

Final betting verdict

W1 1.8 is the selection: Metallurg’s scoring consistency and lighter immediate schedule favour a regulation win. The coaching change is a reason to keep confidence measured, not to demand a repeat of the previous margin.

FAQ

When does Metallurg Magnitogorsk — Salavat Yulaev Ufa kick off?

The match starts on 21.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk).

What is the prediction for Metallurg Magnitogorsk — Salavat Yulaev Ufa?

Our pick is W1 at 1.8.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Metallurg Magnitogorsk win — 53%, draw — 22%, Salavat Yulaev Ufa win — 25%.

Chances by market estimate

Metallurg Magnitogorsk53%
Draw22%
Salavat Yulaev Ufa25%

Team form

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Metallurg MagnitogorskLast 5: 5 W, 0 D, 0 L
  • Avtomobilist Yekaterinburghome4:2
  • Dinamo Minskaway3:1
  • Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway3:2
  • Salavat Yulaev Ufahome7:1
  • Admiral Vladivostokhome3:0
Salavat Yulaev Ufa
Salavat Yulaev UfaLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • Admiral Vladivostokaway0:2
  • Amur Khabarovskaway4:3
  • Sibir Novosibirskhome2:4
  • Neftekhimikhome4:3
  • Metallurg Magnitogorskaway1:7

Standings · Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Metallurg Magnitogorsk18110358:3329
2Barys1780761:4620
3Neftekhimik1780651:4420
4Amur Khabarovsk1790732:2819
5Salavat Yulaev Ufa1880852:5619
6Ak Bars Kazan1740741:3819

Head-to-head

Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins 9draws 0Salavat Yulaev Ufa wins 6
  • 09.10.2026Metallurg Magnitogorsk7:1Salavat Yulaev UfaKontinental Hockey League
  • 23.09.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa3:4Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League
  • 29.08.2026Metallurg Magnitogorsk3:2Salavat Yulaev UfaClub Friendlies
  • 11.03.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa1:2Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League
  • 13.02.2026Salavat Yulaev Ufa4:3Metallurg MagnitogorskKontinental Hockey League

About the match

  • 21 October · 10:00 New York
  • Venue: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)

Odds

Match result
W11.8
X4.28
W23.78
Double chance
1X1.29
121.24
2X2.04
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-2)2.9
Handicap 1 (-1.5)2.3
Handicap 1 (-1)2.05
Handicap 2 (1)1.69
Handicap 2 (1.5)1.62
Handicap 2 (2)1.36
Totals
Total Over (5)1.59
Total Over (5.5)1.95
Total Over (6)2.25
Total Under (5)2.2
Total Under (5.5)1.85
Total Under (6)1.57
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.1
Both Teams To Score - No6.2

Odds updated 20.10 10:20

Market view and goal lines

The 1X2 market makes Metallurg the home favourite, with a 52.8% win probability against 25.1% for Salavat and 22.1% for a draw. The line has shown no notable movement over the last 24 hours.

The total-goals market narrowly favours Under 5.5 at 51.3%, compared with 48.7% for Over 5.5. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 84.9%; that can coexist with a cautious total-goals line through scorelines such as 3:2 or 4:2, rather than a shutout.

Our prediction

Market
W1
Current odds
1.8
Confidence
Our estimate
53%
Market estimate
53%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.8
Potential win
80 $
Status
pending

More predictions for this tournament