KHL Match Prediction: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Dynamo Moscow
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Dynamo MoscowLokomotiv Yaroslavl host Dynamo Moscow at Arena-2000 Lokomotiv in the Tarasov Division. Lokomotiv are second with 24 points from 17 games, two points behind CSKA Moscow. Dynamo are sixth with 17 points after 20 matches, nine points off the lead.
Lokomotiv: strong response needed at home
Recent form and scoring profile
Lokomotiv have won three of their last five. That run includes a shutout away at Ak Bars and six goals against Dinamo Minsk, but their latest home game ended in a 0:1 defeat to Neftekhimik. They scored in four of those five matches and conceded in four.
At home, a 6:1 win was followed by that scoreless defeat. Away, they lost 2:5 to Severstal Cherepovets.
Structure, personnel and key risks
Lokomotiv scored six goals twice during the recent run. Their defensive returns ranged from zero and one goal conceded to five and three, leaving substantial variation at both ends.
- Neftekhimikhome0:1
- Sochiaway6:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway2:5
- Dinamo Minskhome6:1
- Ak Bars Kazanaway2:0
Dynamo Moscow: volatile attack and vulnerable defence
Five-game trend
Dynamo have two wins and three losses in their last five. They scored four against both SKA and Torpedo but were shut out by CSKA. They found the net in four of five and conceded in every game, including the latest 2:3 home defeat to Sibir.
Available lineup information
Their attack has produced multi-goal performances, but the defence has offered no shutout protection during the recent run.
Puck management and defensive coverage are priorities against a side that has twice scored six in its recent matches.
- Sibir Novosibirskhome2:3
- Lada Togliattiaway2:1
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway4:5
- CSKA Moscowaway0:1
- SKA Saint Petersburghome4:3
Head-to-head balance and goal patterns
Across 15 official meetings over the last five years, Lokomotiv lead by nine wins to six, with no draws in the final results. Both teams scored 16 goals in the most recent eight meetings.
The latest meeting in Yaroslavl finished 3:1 to Lokomotiv. Other recent results at this venue were 2:1, 1:3, 0:2 and another 3:1: totals ranged from two to four goals.
- 24.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:1Dynamo MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 25.12.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2Dynamo MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 26.11.2025Dynamo Moscow1:0Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 20.10.2025Dynamo Moscow2:3Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 21.03.2025Dynamo Moscow1:4Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
Team news before the puck drop
- Alexander Radulov was placed on the injured list after leaving the Neftekhimik game and will miss this match.
- Denis Alekseev has returned to the lineup. Maxim Berezkin and Danil Romantsev remain injured.
- Alexander Polunin was expected to play following rotation.
- Nikita Tertyshny was removed from Dynamo’s injured list on 19 October and cleared for the forthcoming games.
No suspensions for either side or further Dynamo injuries are confirmed.
Our Prediction
Our pick is W1 1.66. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl enter this home game second in the Tarasov Division with 24 points from 17 matches, while Dynamo Moscow are sixth with 17 points from 20 games. The gap is also visible in the goal balance: Lokomotiv have scored 46 and conceded 32, compared with Dynamo’s 41 and 56. That defensive difference matters against a home side that recently beat Dinamo Minsk 6:1.
Lokomotiv have won three of their last five, including a 6:1 home victory over Dinamo Minsk and a 2:0 win at Ak Bars. Their latest 0:1 loss to Neftekhimik reduces confidence in the attack, especially after Alexander Radulov was placed on the injured list, while Maxim Berezkin and Danil Romantsev remain unavailable according to media reports. Still, Denis Alekseev is back, and Dynamo have lost three of five, conceding in all five. Lokomotiv also lead the five-year head-to-head series 9–6. The expected score is 3:1 to the hosts.
Conclusion
W1 1.66 is the selection. Lokomotiv’s higher position, 32 goals conceded against Dynamo’s 56, home advantage and stronger long-term head-to-head record outweigh the hosts’ attacking absences.
FAQ
When does Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow kick off?
The match starts on 23.10.2026 at 12:00 (New York), Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl).
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — Dynamo Moscow?
Our pick is W1 at 1.66.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win — 57%, draw — 23%, Dynamo Moscow win — 20%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Neftekhimikhome0:1
- Sochiaway6:3
- Severstal Cherepovetsaway2:5
- Dinamo Minskhome6:1
- Ak Bars Kazanaway2:0
- Sibir Novosibirskhome2:3
- Lada Togliattiaway2:1
- Torpedo Nizhny Novgorodaway4:5
- CSKA Moscowaway0:1
- SKA Saint Petersburghome4:3
Standings · Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 17 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 54:30 | 26 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 17 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 46:32 | 24 |
| 3 | Severstal Cherepovets | 18 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 45:39 | 24 |
| 8 | Dinamo Minsk | 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 46:58 | 18 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 20 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 41:56 | 17 |
| 10 | Lada Togliatti | 17 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 26:61 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 24.02.2026Lokomotiv Yaroslavl3:1Dynamo MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 25.12.2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2Dynamo MoscowKontinental Hockey League
- 26.11.2025Dynamo Moscow1:0Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 20.10.2025Dynamo Moscow2:3Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
- 21.03.2025Dynamo Moscow1:4Lokomotiv YaroslavlKontinental Hockey League
About the match
- 23 October · 12:00 New York
- Venue: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)
Odds
Odds updated 23.10 02:10
Market view and goal-line signals
Lokomotiv are the 1X2 favourites, with a home-win probability of 55.9%, compared with 22.2% for a draw and 22.0% for an away win. Neither the 1X2 nor total-goal lines have moved materially over the last 24 hours.
Under 5.5 is rated at 56.9%, against 43.2% for Over 5.5. BTTS (both teams to score) Yes stands at 83.5%, so the market favours goals from both sides without requiring a high total.
Under 5.5 is the preferred bet: recent meetings in Yaroslavl stayed below that line, while Radulov’s absence reduces Lokomotiv’s attacking options.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.66
- Odds at prediction
- 1.7
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 56%
- Market estimate
- 57%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.7
- Potential win
- 70 $
- Status
- pending
