Neman vs Aviator Baranavichy: Belarus Extraliga Match Prediction
Neman
Aviator BaranavichyNeman host Aviator Baranavichy at Sport Ice Palace in Grodno on November 4. Three points separate the clubs after 19 Belarus Extraliga games: the hosts are eighth with 22 points, the visitors ninth with 19. Neman are also just one point behind seventh-placed Lida, making this a chance to advance rather than merely protect their position.
Neman: scoring surge after a tighter road run
Recent form and competitive strengths
Neman have won three of their last five games, scoring 17 goals and conceding 10. Their four away fixtures in that stretch produced two wins and two defeats; the only home game brought an 8:0 victory over this opponent on November 2.
- They scored in all five games, with at least two goals each time.
- Before the latest home fixture, they scored nine and conceded 10 across four road games.
- The season goal balance is 50:40, equivalent to 2.63 scored and 2.11 conceded per game.
Personnel and recovery
Forward German Poddubny has returned after a six-week absence caused by a tick bite and registered an assist against Yunost. Yaroslav Sergievsky has stressed that defensive flaws remain and that wins are needed to climb the standings. Coach Dmitry Kravchenko described the previous meeting as physically demanding.
- Aviator Baranavichyhome8:0
- Yunost Minskaway3:2
- Yunost Minskaway2:3
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:1
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:4
Aviator: defensive losses outweigh attacking output
Results and pressure points
Aviator have two wins and three defeats in their last five, with nine goals scored and 25 conceded. Four of those matches were at home, where they split the results evenly before travelling to Grodno.
- They conceded in every game of that sequence, allowing at least six goals in each defeat.
- Both wins finished 3:2, showing how much closer their successful games have been.
- Their 54 season goals exceed Neman's tally, but 73 conceded means an average of 3.84 against per game.
Defensive reinforcement and preparation
Aviator have claimed defenseman Daniil Misyul off waivers, although his participation and pairing are not confirmed. Coach Georgy Ryazantsev expects his players to learn from the latest defeat. Their movements between games are unspecified.
- Nemanaway0:8
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome2:7
- Gomelhome1:6
- Gomelhome3:2
Head-to-head record: Neman hold the advantage
Neman won nine of the 11 official meetings in the five-year record. Six were decided by a single goal: the historical advantage is substantial, but most of those individual contests were close.
The listed series ends with Neman's 4:0 cup win in August; the November league result is recorded separately in recent form. Treating those as distinct entries avoids counting the latest meeting twice.
- 05.08.2026Neman4:0Aviator BaranavichyBelarus Cup
- 11.02.2026Aviator Baranavichy2:3NemanBelarus. Extraliga
- 09.02.2026Aviator Baranavichy3:2NemanBelarus. Extraliga
- 06.11.2025Neman3:2Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 04.11.2025Neman5:3Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
Unconfirmed details limit the tactical assessment
That prevents attributing the scoring gap to goaltending or special teams rather than five-on-five play.
Our first-period prediction
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3. Neman kept Aviator scoreless here two days ago; the relevant takeaway is the visitors’ difficulty creating a scoring response, rather than the size of the defeat. A more guarded opening would suit Aviator after that loss, reducing the likelihood of an early exchange of goals.
Georgy Ryazantsev has urged his players to learn from the 0:8 defeat, while Neman coach Dmitry Kravchenko said that victory demanded considerable energy. Those comments favour an emphasis on positioning over an immediate end-to-end contest. Yaroslav Sergievsky also identified defensive errors despite the clean sheet, so Neman have reasons to tighten their play without the puck. A plausible first-period score is 1:0.
Betting verdict
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3 targets Aviator’s attacking difficulties and the case for a more restrained start. It does not require another full-game shutout: one side remaining scoreless through the opening period is enough.
FAQ
When does Neman — Aviator Baranavichy kick off?
The match starts on 04.11.2026 at 11:00 (New York), Sport Ice Palace (Grodno).
What is the prediction for Neman — Aviator Baranavichy?
Our pick is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Neman win — 66%, draw — 18%, Aviator Baranavichy win — 16%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Aviator Baranavichyhome8:0
- Yunost Minskaway3:2
- Yunost Minskaway2:3
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:1
- Slavutich Smolenskaway2:4
- Nemanaway0:8
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnahome2:7
- Gomelhome1:6
- Gomelhome3:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lida | 19 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 54:41 | 23 |
| 8 | Neman | 19 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 50:40 | 22 |
| 9 | Aviator Baranavichy | 19 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 54:73 | 19 |
| 10 | Vitebsk | 19 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 51:52 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 05.08.2026Neman4:0Aviator BaranavichyBelarus Cup
- 11.02.2026Aviator Baranavichy2:3NemanBelarus. Extraliga
- 09.02.2026Aviator Baranavichy3:2NemanBelarus. Extraliga
- 06.11.2025Neman3:2Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
- 04.11.2025Neman5:3Aviator BaranavichyBelarus. Extraliga
About the match
- 4 November · 11:00 New York
- Venue: Sport Ice Palace (Grodno)
Odds
Odds updated 04.11 00:30
Market assessment: clear home preference, closer total
The margin-free 1X2 assessment makes Neman the favourite at 66.5%, against 18% for a draw and 15.5% for Aviator. Those probabilities concern the three-way result, not an eventual winner including overtime. The line has shown no notable movement over the past 24 hours.
Under 5.5 goals has a narrower edge at 53.5%, versus 46.5% for Over, also unchanged. BTTS (both teams to score) is assessed at 79.8%; however, both opposing BTTS prices are reported as shortening. That two-sided movement does not establish a clear directional shift in confidence.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match