Khimik Novopolotsk — Lokomotiv Orsha match prediction: Belarus Extraliga
Khimik Novopolotsk
Lokomotiv OrshaMore picks
- Period 3: No draw 1.33 pending
- Period 3: Not: Khimik Novopolotsk win and total over 1.5 1.25 pending
Khimik Novopolotsk host Lokomotiv Orsha at Ice Palace Khimik, with both sides seeking points to stay within reach of the teams above them in the Belarus Extraliga. After 18 games each, Khimik are 14th with 7 points and Lokomotiv are 12th with 9. Both are already well behind the leader.
Khimik’s form and home profile
Khimik have one win and four defeats in their last five games. They lost eight in a row before beating HK Mogilev 2:1 away, then lost 3:4 to the same opponent. Their recent home results include 3:4 and 0:3 defeats against Metallurg Zhlobin. Across the last five overall, they scored in four games and conceded in all five.
Structure, strengths and available personnel
- Khimik scored at least three goals in two of those five matches.
- Against Mogilev on October 29, they recovered from 0:2 and took the lead in the 55th minute before losing.
- Ivan Guskov scored both goals in the win over Mogilev.
- HK Mogilevaway3:4
- HK Mogilevaway2:1
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome0:3
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome3:4
- Brestaway1:3
Lokomotiv’s defensive slide
Lokomotiv also have one win and four defeats in their last five. They are on a three-game losing run after defeats by Metallurg Zhlobin and Brest. Their latest result was a 1:5 home loss, following a 2:4 defeat against the same opponent.
Attack, mistakes and squad situation
- Lokomotiv scored in all five recent games and reached three goals in two of them.
- They conceded six in one match and four and five goals in their two most recent games.
- Their season totals are 38 goals scored and 72 conceded, a goal difference of -34 across 18 matches.
- The coach identified a serious defensive error as the turning point against Metallurg; another team assessment highlighted two unnecessary second-period goals.
Forward Bohdan Zozon called for concentration through every play, addressing the team's repeated breakdowns late in sequences. The final lineup and starting goaltender remain unconfirmed.
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome1:5
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome2:4
- Bresthome1:6
- Bresthome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnaaway3:5
Head-to-head balance
The official five-year record favours Khimik by eight wins to seven, with no draws in 15 meetings. Across the most recent eight, Khimik scored 31 goals and Lokomotiv 17. Khimik won the latest meeting 3:2 on August 18, 2026, and both home meetings in November 2025, scoring four and eight goals respectively.
Khimik scored three or more in five of those eight meetings, while Lokomotiv were held to two or fewer in six. The scoring has therefore been uneven despite the high combined totals.
- 18.08.2026Khimik Novopolotsk3:2Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus Cup
- 30.11.2025Khimik Novopolotsk8:2Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus. Extraliga
- 28.11.2025Khimik Novopolotsk4:3Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus. Extraliga
- 14.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha3:2Khimik NovopolotskBelarus. Extraliga
- 12.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha0:3Khimik NovopolotskBelarus. Extraliga
Team news and current motivation
Khimik’s win ended an eight-game losing streak. Their comeback against Mogilev also gave them a second consecutive match with three goals. Head coach Alexey Bondikov said illness and other absences had forced Khimik to use three lines against Metallurg. Which players remain unavailable is unconfirmed, as are any further injury or suspension updates.
Vadim Yerokha missed the October 28 game through rotation and was described as ready. Forward Nikolai Litvin missed the same match while serving a one-game suspension after a fight; that suspension has ended. Lokomotiv’s coaches pointed to missed chances rather than a complete attacking collapse. No further injuries or lineup changes are confirmed.
Line-ups
Khimik Novopolotsk
Substitutes: 20. Maxim Yevtukhovich
Lokomotiv Orsha
Substitutes: 31. Vladislav Karachun
Our prediction
Khimik Novopolotsk and Lokomotiv Orsha occupy 14th and 12th place with 7 and 9 points after 18 games, so both need points in the lower-table battle. The recommended selection is Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3. Khimik have scored 27 goals this season and Lokomotiv 38, while both teams have conceded 69 or more. That combination points to cautious opening phases rather than reliable early finishing.
Lokomotiv have lost three in a row, conceding 15 goals across the defeats by Brest and Metallurg Zhlobin, but their own comments indicate that the first period against Metallurg was played well. Khimik ended an eight-game losing run with a 2:1 win at Mogilev, yet their next match finished 3:4. Their recent defensive record remains fragile, while a slow start from either side is more likely than goals at both ends immediately. The projected score is 3:2, with Khimik leading 1:0 after the first period.
Conclusion
Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No 1.3 is supported by the teams’ modest league positions, Khimik’s 27 goals in 18 games and the indication that Lokomotiv played the first period well against Metallurg Zhlobin. Expect at least one side to remain scoreless during the opening period.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- HK Mogilevaway3:4
- HK Mogilevaway2:1
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome0:3
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome3:4
- Brestaway1:3
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome1:5
- Metallurg Zhlobinhome2:4
- Bresthome1:6
- Bresthome3:2
- Dinamo-Maladzyechnaaway3:5
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | HK Mogilev | 19 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 40:69 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Orsha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 38:72 | 9 |
| 13 | Yunost Minsk | 19 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 34:72 | 9 |
| 14 | Khimik Novopolotsk | 18 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 27:69 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 18.08.2026Khimik Novopolotsk3:2Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus Cup
- 30.11.2025Khimik Novopolotsk8:2Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus. Extraliga
- 28.11.2025Khimik Novopolotsk4:3Lokomotiv OrshaBelarus. Extraliga
- 14.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha3:2Khimik NovopolotskBelarus. Extraliga
- 12.09.2025Lokomotiv Orsha0:3Khimik NovopolotskBelarus. Extraliga
About the match
- 3 November · 10:30 New York
- Venue: Ice Palace Khimik (Novopolotsk)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal environment
Khimik are the market favourites, with an estimated home-win probability of 50.6%. Their position strengthened over the last 24 hours as the draw and away-win probabilities weakened. The head-to-head advantage supports that preference, but recent win totals do not separate the teams.
Over 4.5 is assessed at 56.5%, with no meaningful movement. BTTS (both teams to score) Yes stands at 81.6%, also unchanged. The 1X2 margin is 9.7%, limiting how precisely those probabilities should be interpreted.
BTTS Yes is the preferred bet: Lokomotiv have kept scoring despite their defeats, while neither defence has consistently restricted opponents.
Our prediction
- Market
- Period 1: Both Teams To Score - No
- Odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 70%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.3
- Potential win
- 30 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.3
- Status
- pending
