Ukraine Premier League Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr vs Dynamo Kyiv
Polissya Zhytomyr
Dynamo KyivMatch result
Polissya Zhytomyr 3:1 Dynamo Kyiv (1:1, 2:0)
In the Ukraine Premier League, Polissya Zhytomyr defeated Dynamo Kyiv with a 3:1 scoreline. After a 1:1 draw in the first half, the hosts added two unanswered goals in the second period (2:0). Our prediction was Asian handicap 1 (0), and the bet won.
Our prediction: Handicap 1 (0) at 1.54 — the bet won.
Polissya Zhytomyr host Dynamo Kyiv at Tsentralnyi Stadion in the ninth round of the Ukraine Premier League. The hosts are second with 19 points from eight matches; Dynamo are third with 16 from seven. Both are chasing leaders Shakhtar Donetsk.
Polissya’s home strength and current rhythm
Polissya are unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins and a draw. They scored in every game before a 2:2 away draw with Bukovyna Chernivtsi. Their league record is 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 17 goals for and 7 against.
At home in the league, Polissya have won four of five matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Across all league fixtures, they average 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. BTTS (both teams to score) landed in 5 of 8 matches, as did Over on the usual total-goals line, though the sample is small.
Strengths, vulnerabilities and availability
Polissya have three clean sheets in eight league games, but conceded twice on their latest away trip. Bragaru has one league goal and Kravchenko N. has one assist.
- Bukovyna Chernivtsiaway2:2
- Kharkivaway2:1
- Kryvbashome1:0
- Levyy Bereg Kyivhome1:0
- Kudrivkahome2:0
Dynamo’s defensive series and away record
Dynamo have four consecutive wins and are unbeaten in five matches, with one draw and none conceded. Their latest result was a 1:0 home win over Karpaty Lviv, following away victories over Niva Vinnytsia and Zorya Luhansk. Their league record is 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded.
In three away league matches, Dynamo have two wins and one defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 4. They average 1.43 goals per league game; BTTS landed in only 2 of 7 fixtures, and they kept four clean sheets.
Squad balance before the visit
Ponomarenko has one league goal and Voloshyn one assist.
- Karpaty Lvivhome1:0
- Zorya Luhanskaway2:0
- Epicentrhome3:0
- Niva Vinnitsaaway1:0
- LNZhome0:0
What the previous meetings show
Dynamo have four wins, one draw and one defeat in the last six official meetings. Polissya’s only victory was a 3:2 home win in October 2023. The latest meeting, also at Polissya, ended in a 2:1 Dynamo win.
The six meetings include a 0:0 draw. Both teams scored in four of the six.
- 08.03.2026Polissya Zhytomyr1:2Dynamo KyivUkraine. Premier League
- 31.08.2025Dynamo Kyiv4:1Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
- 09.05.2025Polissya Zhytomyr0:0Dynamo KyivUkraine. Premier League
- 10.11.2024Dynamo Kyiv2:1Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
- 21.04.2024Dynamo Kyiv3:0Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
Team news and competitive motivation
Leandro Andrade will miss the match with a micro-injury. Boris Krushynskyi and Oleksandr Andrievskyi have recovered, returned to full training and are available.
Heorhii Bushchan cannot face Polissya under the terms of his loan agreement. Vitalii Buyalskyi and Mykola Mykhailenko are injured and unavailable. Mykola Shaparenko is doubtful after recovering from injury and missing the previous round. Ruslan Neshcheret has recovered, giving Dynamo another goalkeeper option.
Polissya are five points behind Shakhtar and three ahead of Dynamo, who have played one fewer match. A home win would strengthen Polissya’s hold on second place; an away win would bring Dynamo level on points with the hosts while retaining a game in hand.
Line-ups
Polissya Zhytomyr
Starting XI: 1. Oleh Kudryk, 5. Eduard Sarapiy, 10. Vladyslav Veleten, 11. Leandro Andrade, 15. Bohdan Mykhaylychenko, 18. Oleksandr Andriyevskyi, 22. Andrusw Araujo, 31. Giorgi Maisuradze, 44. Sergiy Chobotenko, 45. Maksim Bragaru, 95. Igor Krasnopir
Substitutes: 4. Nykyta Kravchenko, 7. Alexander Nazarenko, 8. Ruslan Babenko, 9. Oleksandr Filippov, 14. Lindon Emerllahu, 16. Ilir Krasniqi, 19. Volodymyr Shepelev, 23. Yevhen Volynets, 27. Oleg Fedor, 55. Boris Krushynskyi, 77. Nazar Makarenko, 89. Mykola Gayduchyk
Coach: Ruslan Rotan
Dynamo Kyiv
Starting XI: 5. Oleksiy Sych, 6. Volodymyr Brazhko, 9. Nazar Voloshyn, 10. Mykola Shaparenko, 11. Matvey Ponomarenko, 15. Valentyn Rubchynskyi, 22. Vladyslav Kabayev, 32. Taras Mykhavko, 35. Ruslan Neshcheret, 44. Vladyslav Dubinchak, 94. Tomasz Kedziora
Substitutes: 7. Andrey Yarmolenko, 16. Shola Ogundana, 18. Oleksandr Tymchyk, 21. Justin Lonwijk, 34. Vladyslav Zakharchenko, 42. Keasse Paul Henri Bah, 43. Illia Olkhovyi, 47. Gustavo Prado, 66. Aliou Thiare, 91. Mykola Mykhailenko, 99. Pierre Mounguengue
Coach: Igor Kostyuk
Our prediction: protection against the draw
Our bet is Handicap 1 (0) 1.54. Polissya have won four of five home league matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding four. That home scoring rate supports backing the hosts, but Dynamo’s five consecutive clean sheets make draw protection preferable to an outright home win.
Dynamo will be without injured players Vitaliy Buyalskyi and Mykola Mykhailenko, while Mykola Shaparenko remains doubtful. Those absences reduce their options for creating chances and changing the midfield during the game. Polissya have Boris Krushynskyi and Oleksandr Andrievskyi available again, although Leandro Andrade is out. The table alone is not decisive; the stronger argument is their home output against a depleted visiting side. Predicted score: 1:0.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.54 backs Polissya’s home edge while returning the stake if Dynamo hold them to a draw. A home defeat remains the losing outcome, so this is protection against a stalemate, not a risk-free selection.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Bukovyna Chernivtsiaway2:2
- Kharkivaway2:1
- Kryvbashome1:0
- Levyy Bereg Kyivhome1:0
- Kudrivkahome2:0
- Karpaty Lvivhome1:0
- Zorya Luhanskaway2:0
- Epicentrhome3:0
- Niva Vinnitsaaway1:0
- LNZhome0:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Karpaty Lviv | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 15 |
Head-to-head
- 08.03.2026Polissya Zhytomyr1:2Dynamo KyivUkraine. Premier League
- 31.08.2025Dynamo Kyiv4:1Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
- 09.05.2025Polissya Zhytomyr0:0Dynamo KyivUkraine. Premier League
- 10.11.2024Dynamo Kyiv2:1Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
- 21.04.2024Dynamo Kyiv3:0Polissya ZhytomyrUkraine. Premier League
About the match
- 18 October · 06:00 New York
- Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and price movement
The 1X2 market assigns Polissya a 43.7% home-win probability, Dynamo a 28.2% away-win probability and the draw 28.1%. Home-win and draw odds are shortening, while away-win odds are drifting.
The Over/Under market slightly favours fewer than three goals, at 50.3% against 49.7% for the higher total. BTTS Yes is priced at a 54.1% probability with shortening odds; BTTS No is at 45.9% with drifting odds.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Odds
- 1.54
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 52%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.54
- Potential win
- 54 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.81
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +54 $
