Sirius vs Elfsborg: Allsvenskan Match Prediction
Sirius
ElfsborgMatch result
Sirius 2:2 Elfsborg (0:1, 2:1)
The Sweden Allsvenskan match between Sirius and Elfsborg ended in a 2:2 draw, with periods ending 0:1 and 2:1. Our prediction for the game was Handicap 1 (0). Because the match finished in a draw, the bet was void.
Our prediction: Handicap 1 (0) at 1.56 — the bet was void.
Sirius host Elfsborg at Studenternas in Uppsala in round 24 of the Allsvenskan. The leaders have 54 points, a seven-point advantage over Djurgardens and a match in hand. Fourth-placed Elfsborg are three points behind Hammarby and one ahead of Hacken, with a 14-point gap to Sirius.
Sirius: league momentum built on tighter defending
Recent results and home performance
Sirius have four wins and a draw from their last five outings, scoring seven goals and conceding two. The draw came in a friendly against Brondby; all four league fixtures ended in victories, most recently 1:0 at GAIS. Three of those league wins came away, while their latest home appearance ended 2:0 against Degerfors.
Attacking output and defensive balance
- Sirius have seven wins, two draws and two defeats at home, scoring 25 goals across 11 matches.
- They average 2.3 goals per game this season but have conceded 15 at home.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of 23 league games and BTTS in 13. Sirius have kept eight clean sheets.
Availability and selection
Otso Liimatta is doubtful through injury. No probable starting XI, formation or confirmed suspension information is available, leaving any selection or tactical change unconfirmed.
- GAISaway1:0
- Brondbyaway1:1
- Orgryteaway2:1
- Degerforshome2:0
- Vasteras SKaway1:0
Elfsborg: stronger defensive numbers than away results
Recent response and travel record
Elfsborg beat Halmstads 4:0 in their latest match after a friendly defeat against Hacken. Their last five games produced three wins and two losses, with eight goals scored and four conceded. The two league away fixtures in that stretch were a 1:2 loss at Brommapojkarna and a 2:1 victory at Djurgardens.
Where the visitors compete
- Elfsborg concede 0.96 goals per league match, a lower average than Sirius despite sitting three places below them.
- Their away record is four wins, four draws and three defeats, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded.
- Only 11 of 23 league matches went Over 2.5 goals, while BTTS occurred in 14. They have kept eight clean sheets.
Injuries and lineup questions
Per Frick, Marcus Rohden and Lukas Hagg Johansson will miss the match through injury, while Simon Olsson is doubtful. No probable lineup, formation or confirmed suspension details are available, and replacements remain unconfirmed.
- Halmstadshome4:0
- Hackenhome0:1
- Djurgardensaway2:1
- Kalmarhome1:0
- Brommapojkarnaaway1:2
Recent meetings have reversed the historical edge
Elfsborg lead the five-year official head-to-head by six wins to five, with no draws across 11 meetings. Sirius have won the latest three, scoring nine goals and conceding two. That run includes a cup victory and July's 3:1 league win away from home.
The eight listed meetings produced 33 goals, with six going Over 2.5 and five featuring BTTS. Sirius scored four in each of the two most recent meetings at Studenternas, both in earlier seasons.
- 19.07.2026Elfsborg1:3SiriusSweden. Allsvenskan
- 08.03.2026Elfsborg1:2SiriusSwedish Cup
- 26.10.2025Sirius4:0ElfsborgSweden. Allsvenskan
- 23.04.2025Elfsborg4:3SiriusSweden. Allsvenskan
- 06.10.2024Sirius4:1ElfsborgSweden. Allsvenskan
Match conditions and preparation
Kickoff conditions are forecast at 8°C with no rain and wind of 2.5 m/s. Sirius last played on October 10, two days before Elfsborg's latest fixture. No additional match-specific news or expert opinions are available.
Line-ups
Sirius
Starting XI: 2. Mohamed Soumah, 4. Tobias Anker, 5. Henrik Castegren, 6. Marcus Lindberg, 7. Joakim Persson, 10. Melker Heier, 11. Isak Bjerkebo, 22. Oscar Krusnell, 24. Viktor Svensson, 29. Ake Andersson, 34. David Celic
Substitutes: 1. Ismael Diarra Diawara, 15. Simon Sandberg, 16. Osto Liimatta, 17. Neo Jonsson, 18. Adam Vikman, 20. Victor Ekstrom, 21. Charlie Nilden, 25. Odera Samuel Adindu, 30. Zalan Vancsa
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
Elfsborg
Starting XI: 4. Thomas Isherwood, 6. Rasmus Wikstrom, 10. Simon Olsson, 16. Alexander Jensen, 18. Julius Magnusson, 19. Julius Beck, 21. Leo Ostman, 23. Niklas Hult, 25. Ari Sigurpalsson, 29. Momoh Kamara, 31. Isak Pettersson
Substitutes: 3. Jonathan Esenga, 5. Ossian Nordvall, 8. Sebastian Holmen, 9. Arber Zeneli, 11. Taylor Silverholt, 12. Theo Sander, 15. Simon Hedlund, 17. Per Frick, 22. Dion Krasniqi
Coach: Bjorn Hamberg
Our pick: protection against the draw
Sirius can strengthen their title position against Elfsborg at Studenternas, and our pick is Handicap 1 (0) 1.56. Their 17 wins in 23 league matches and 14-point advantage over the visitors favour the hosts. Five unbeaten outings and victories in the last three meetings add support, but the draw refund is valuable against opponents who have drawn four of 11 away league games.
The personnel balance also favours Sirius: Per Frick, Marcus Rohden and Lukas Hagg Johansson are ruled out for Elfsborg, while Simon Olsson is doubtful. Otso Liimatta is doubtful for the hosts; confirmed lineups are unavailable. Elfsborg have conceded just 13 goals on their league travels, so this is a case for protecting the stake rather than requiring a winning margin. A 2:1 Sirius win is our projected score.
Final betting view
Handicap 1 (0) 1.56 backs Sirius to turn their stronger season into a home victory, with the stake returned if Elfsborg hold them to a draw.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- GAISaway1:0
- Brondbyaway1:1
- Orgryteaway2:1
- Degerforshome2:0
- Vasteras SKaway1:0
- Halmstadshome4:0
- Hackenhome0:1
- Djurgardensaway2:1
- Kalmarhome1:0
- Brommapojkarnaaway1:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 55:30 | 55 |
| 2 | Djurgardens | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 50:21 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 50:21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hacken | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 43:30 | 42 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 41 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:36 | 38 |
Head-to-head
- 19.07.2026Elfsborg1:3SiriusSweden. Allsvenskan
- 08.03.2026Elfsborg1:2SiriusSwedish Cup
- 26.10.2025Sirius4:0ElfsborgSweden. Allsvenskan
- 23.04.2025Elfsborg4:3SiriusSweden. Allsvenskan
- 06.10.2024Sirius4:1ElfsborgSweden. Allsvenskan
About the match
- 18 October · 08:00 New York
- Venue: Studenternas (Uppsala)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market makes Sirius a measured favourite
The 1X2 market puts Sirius at 43.7%, Elfsborg at 29.5% and the draw at 26.8%: the hosts are favourites, but below a majority probability.
Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54.6% and BTTS at 58.6%, making BTTS the stronger market preference. Neither exceeds 60%, and none of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Odds
- 1.56
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.56
- Potential win
- 56 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.53
- Status
- void
- Profit
- +0 $
