Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas: Segunda Division Match Prediction
Real Oviedo
Las PalmasMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.35 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (6.5) 1.33 won
Match result
Real Oviedo 2:3 Las Palmas (0:2, 2:1)
In the Spain. Segunda Division match between Real Oviedo and Las Palmas, the home team lost with a final score of 2:3 (0:2, 2:1 by periods). Our prediction for this fixture was Handicap 1 (0), but the bet lost following the match result.
Our prediction: Handicap 1 (0) at 1.3 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.35 — the bet won.
Real Oviedo host Las Palmas at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere on 2 November in the 12th round of Segunda Division. Ninth-placed Oviedo have 18 points. A home win would widen the gap.
Oviedo: home defence versus recent exposure
Form and scoring patterns
Oviedo's last five matches produced two wins, a draw and two defeats. They scored and conceded in every game, including a 3:1 win over Eibar and a 2:2 draw at Almeria before the cup exit against Numancia.
Where the hosts are stronger
At home in the league, Oviedo have two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring five goals and conceding two. Across the league season, they have five clean sheets in 11 games; six matches went Over 2.5 goals and five featured BTTS. Carlos Dominguez has three goals in three appearances, the highest individual return for the hosts.
Availability and attacking options
Ilyas Chaira is out with a shoulder injury, Carlos Fernandez following arthroscopy, Juan Cruz with a strain and Chris Ramos with a cruciate ligament tear. Brandon Domingues and Estanis Pedrola are available again after knee surgery and a shoulder injury respectively. Their returns restore left-wing options, while two centre-forwards remain absent.
- Numanciaaway3:4
- UD Almeriaaway2:2
- AD Ceutaaway2:1
- Eibarhome3:1
- Eldenseaway1:4
Las Palmas: recovery meets a coaching change
Recent results and away performance
Las Palmas followed defeats to Mallorca and Castellon with wins over Real Sociedad II and RSD Alcala. Their last five produced two wins, one draw and two losses. On league trips, they have two wins and three defeats, with eight goals for and 11 against.
Attacking output and defensive costs
The visitors have scored 14 league goals but conceded 19. Seven of their 11 matches went Over 2.5, six featured BTTS and four ended with a clean sheet. The occasional shutouts have not prevented costly defensive games. Ivan Jaime has one goal and one assist in four appearances.
Fresh players for Sanchez's debut
Albert Sanchez takes charge for the first time here. Pezzolesi, Ivan Jaime and Jese were rested for the cup tie and are available. Viti Rozada is out following arthroscopy; S. Ruiz Alonso and E. Clemente Masa have meniscus tears. No confirmed starting XI or formation is available.
- RSD Alcaláaway3:1
- Real Sociedad IIhome1:0
- Castellonhome0:3
- Mallorcaaway1:3
- Real Valladolidhome2:2
Previous meetings favour neither side
The four official meetings across the five-year period produced one win each and two draws. Only six goals were scored, with three games staying Under 2.5 and two featuring BTTS. Both encounters at Oviedo ended level, 1:1 and 0:0, although the latest meeting was in April 2023.
- 09.04.2023Las Palmas0:1Real OviedoSpain. Segunda Division
- 06.12.2022Real Oviedo0:0Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
- 21.05.2022Las Palmas2:1Real OviedoSpain. Segunda Division
- 06.11.2021Real Oviedo1:1Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
- 10.04.2021Real Oviedo0:0Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
Recovery time and the new coach's priorities
Oviedo played their cup tie two days later than Las Palmas, leaving less recovery time; Enzo Cazorla has also made his first-team debut. Sanchez describes himself as attack-minded but has stressed conceding fewer goals and returning to basics. His defensive priority addresses Las Palmas' clearest weakness rather than signalling an immediate increase in attacking risk.
Line-ups
Real Oviedo
Starting XI: 4. David Costas, 5. Youness Lachhab, 8. Mikel Goti Lopez, 13. Aaron Escandell, 15. Samuel Rodriguez de la Riva, 16. Aritz Aldasoro, 18. Victor Garcia Mingo, 20. Pablo Saenz Ezquerra, 22. Nacho Vidal, 23. Carlos Dominguez, 32. Enzo Nicolas Perez
Substitutes: 1. Miguel Narvaez, 3. Juan Cruz, 6. Daniel Villahermosa Martinez, 7. Ilias Chaira, 10. Alberto Reina, 11. Jacobo Gonzalez, 12. Daniel Calvo, 17. Estanislau Pedrola Fortuny, 21. David Jimenez Corredor, 24. Alexandru Mihai Isfan, 25. Jose Luis Morales, 28. Diego Menendez Secades
Coach: Julian Calero Fernandez
Las Palmas
Starting XI: 4. Alex Suarez, 10. Jese Rodriguez Ruiz, 11. Taisei Miyashiro, 12. Enzo Loiodice, 13. Jose Antonio Caro Diaz, 14. Manuel Fuster, 15. Juan Manuel Herzog Gonzalez, 20. Kirian Rodriguez Concepcion, 23. Andres Rodriguez Martinez, 24. Ivan Pajuelo, 25. Valentin Pezzolesi
Substitutes: 3. Nicholas Opoku, 7. Jefte Betancor, 9. Jeremia Recoba, 16. Mateo Acimovic, 21. Giovanni Bonfanti, 22. Alejandro Garcia Mejias, 26. Aboubacar Bassinga, 29. Elias Romero, 32. Rafael Cruz Suarez, 34. Sergio Viera, 35. Adrian Suarez Ortega, 44. Arturo Rodriguez Cosano
Coach: Albert Sanchez
Our pick: protection against a draw
Our bet is Handicap 1 (0) 1.3. Oviedo have conceded just 2 goals in 5 home league games, while Las Palmas have allowed 11 in 5 away fixtures. That contrast favours the hosts without requiring an outright-win bet: Oviedo have drawn twice at home, so retaining a refund if the scores finish level matters.
The hosts’ attacking options are reduced by the absences of Carlos Fernandez and Chris Ramos, although Brandon Dominguez and Estanis Pedrola are available again. Las Palmas are missing defenders Viti Rozada and E. Clemente Masa, leaving Albert Sanchez fewer options for repairing a defence that has conceded 19 goals in 11 league matches. With Oviedo carrying the heavier recovery burden after their cup tie, a narrow margin is more credible than a comfortable home win. Predicted score: 1:0.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.3 backs Oviedo’s stronger home defensive record while allowing for their depleted attack to stall. A home victory wins the bet; a draw returns the stake, and an away victory loses it.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Numanciaaway3:4
- UD Almeriaaway2:2
- AD Ceutaaway2:1
- Eibarhome3:1
- Eldenseaway1:4
- RSD Alcaláaway3:1
- Real Sociedad IIhome1:0
- Castellonhome0:3
- Mallorcaaway1:3
- Real Valladolidhome2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 15 | Celta Fortuna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:23 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 09.04.2023Las Palmas0:1Real OviedoSpain. Segunda Division
- 06.12.2022Real Oviedo0:0Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
- 21.05.2022Las Palmas2:1Real OviedoSpain. Segunda Division
- 06.11.2021Real Oviedo1:1Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
- 10.04.2021Real Oviedo0:0Las PalmasSpain. Segunda Division
About the match
- 2 November · 10:15 New York
- Venue: Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo), Ovʹyedo
Odds
odds before kick-off
Home favouritism, balanced goal expectations
The 1X2 market makes Oviedo favourites at 55.9%, with the draw at 24.5% and Las Palmas at 19.6%. Goal markets are much closer: Over has only a slight edge over Under, while BTTS is marginally preferred to neither side scoring. No notable line movement has occurred over the past 24 hours. The market separates the teams more clearly on the result than on the likely scoring pattern.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Odds
- 1.27
- Odds at prediction
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.3
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $