Copa del Rey Prediction: Sestao River Club vs Espanyol Preview
Sestao River Club
EspanyolSestao River Club host Espanyol at Estadio Las Llanas on 27 October for a place in the second round of the Copa del Rey. Both last played on 24 October, leaving the same short turnaround.
Sestao bring defensive momentum
Recent results and home form
Sestao are unbeaten in five matches, with four wins, one draw and a combined score of 7–2. Their latest three fixtures were victories against Salamanca UDS, Marino de Luanco and Arosa. Their three home games brought two wins and a draw, with four goals scored and one conceded. Their two away appearances produced wins at Gernika and Marino.
Strengths and limits of the recent run
Sestao kept three clean sheets and scored in four of those five matches, exceeding one goal only twice. Under 2.5 goals occurred three times and BTTS (both teams to score) twice. Those results came against Segunda Division RFEF and Federation Cup opponents, rather than top-flight attackers.
Selection and preparation
No squad news, injuries, suspensions, likely lineup or formation have been confirmed for Sestao. Their latest result was a 1–0 home win over Arosa. League positions and comparative team-strength figures are unavailable.
- Arosahome1:0
- Marino de Luancoaway1:0
- Salamanca UDShome3:1
- Gimnastica de Torrelavegahome0:0
- Gernikaaway2:1
Espanyol face a test of execution
A winless sequence at home and away
Espanyol have one draw and four defeats from their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding nine. They lost to Rayo Vallecano, Elche, Atletico Madrid and Racing de Santander, and drew at Malaga. Their three away games returned one point and a 3–5 aggregate; both home fixtures ended in defeat, with one goal scored and four conceded.
Scoring persists, protection does not
Espanyol scored in four of those five appearances but kept no clean sheets. BTTS occurred four times and Over 2.5 goals three times. Against Racing, they opened the scoring before losing 2–1.
Limited rotation is the stated approach
Manolo Gonzalez has said he will not rotate heavily for the cup tie, citing mistakes from previous years. Individual starters remain unconfirmed, as do named absentees, suspensions and the probable formation.
- Racing de Santanderaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
- Elchehome1:3
- Rayo Vallecanoaway1:2
Pressure on Gonzalez shapes the backdrop
Gonzalez acknowledged that his position is under threat and dismissal is possible. He questioned why his players abandoned their original plan and stopped pressing after taking the lead against Racing. His tactical concern is maintaining pressure after scoring rather than retreating. He also appealed for supporters to back the team regardless of the coach.
Our Forecast
Espanyol arrive at Estadio Las Llanas after four defeats and one draw in their last five matches, conceding 9 goals. In the 2:1 loss to Racing de Santander, they took the lead before abandoning their pressing plan and losing control. Manolo González has admitted that his position is under threat and intends to avoid heavy rotation in the Copa del Rey. A near-strongest lineup gives Espanyol enough attacking quality to exploit Sestao’s lower-division level.
Sestao have won four of their last five, but conceded in two of those matches and scored three goals while conceding one against Salamanca UDS. Espanyol scored in four of their last five fixtures despite their results. The visitors should create enough chances to score twice. Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.52. Expected score: 1:2.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) is the selection, with Espanyol’s attacking resources, near-strongest lineup and González’s position under threat outweighing Sestao’s recent form.
FAQ
When does Sestao River Club — Espanyol kick off?
The match starts on 27.10.2026 at 14:00 (New York), Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao).
What is the prediction for Sestao River Club — Espanyol?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.52.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Sestao River Club win — 14%, draw — 22%, Espanyol win — 64%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Arosahome1:0
- Marino de Luancoaway1:0
- Salamanca UDShome3:1
- Gimnastica de Torrelavegahome0:0
- Gernikaaway2:1
- Racing de Santanderaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
- Elchehome1:3
- Rayo Vallecanoaway1:2
About the match
- 27 October · 14:00 New York
- Venue: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)
- Weather: 18° · precip. 13% · wind 2.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 27.10 06:10
Espanyol remain favourites as confidence softens
The margin-free 1X2 assessment gives Espanyol a 64.9% chance of an away win. Over the past 24 hours, support has shifted towards Sestao and the draw, while the away-win odds have drifted.
Over 2.5 goals retains a slight majority at 55.3%, despite movement towards Under. BTTS is almost evenly balanced, with modest support moving towards both teams scoring.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.52
- Odds at prediction
- 1.48
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.48
- Potential win
- 48 $
- Status
- pending
