Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna: Copa del Rey Match Prediction
Atletico Calatayud
OsasunaAtletico Calatayud host Osasuna at Municipal San Inigo in the opening round of the Copa del Rey. Osasuna, a La Liga team, are the visitors. Atletico must reproduce its recent cup progress, while Osasuna seek a response after another away defeat.
Atletico Calatayud: recent cup momentum at home
Atletico Calatayud have won their last two matches, beating Club Deportivo Baztan 2:0 at home and 2:1 away. Their last four matches produced 2 wins and 2 losses, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. They scored in 3 and conceded in 3 of those games. Earlier cup meetings with Atletic Sant Just ended in a 0:3 away defeat and a 1:4 home loss.
What the home side can offer
- Home production: 2 goals against Club Deportivo Baztan in the latest home match.
- Current trend: two consecutive wins after two consecutive defeats.
- Attacking reliability: goals in 3 of the last 4 matches.
- Defensive risk: 8 goals conceded across those 4 fixtures and no clean sheet in the season sample.
Atletico have 1 win from 1 tournament match, with 2 goals for and 1 against. The sample is too short to establish a stable level, but they scored twice in their latest home match. The gap in squad depth and league status is the main obstacle, especially if Atletico defend for long periods.
Line-up and availability
No confirmed starting line-up, key-player information, injury report or suspension details were found for Atletico Calatayud. The available information does not support naming a likely formation or individual absences.
- Club Deportivo Baztanaway2:1
- Club Deportivo Baztanhome2:0
- Atletic Sant Justhome1:4
- Atletic Sant Justaway0:3
Osasuna: stronger class, unstable away output
Osasuna arrive after a 0:2 away defeat to Sevilla, their third loss in the last five matches. The sequence contains 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 5 goals scored and 12 conceded. They scored in 3 and conceded in 4 of those matches. Their away results include a 0:4 defeat against Atletico Madrid and a 2:5 defeat against Real Betis.
Why the favourite is not without risk
- Class advantage: Osasuna come from La Liga and face a club from a lower competitive level.
- Recent away results: their latest away matches ended 0:4, 2:5 and 0:2.
- Defensive volatility: 12 goals conceded in the last 5 games.
- Positive reference point: the 2:0 home win over Racing de Santander produced a clean sheet.
Osasuna’s season cup record is 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 5 goals for and 7 against. Their away tournament record is identical: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, 5 scored and 7 conceded. The cup and recent league samples are small, but both show that Osasuna’s league advantage has not consistently produced controlled away performances.
Squad situation
No fresh confirmed information was found on Osasuna’s starting eleven, injuries or suspensions. Rotation is possible in a first-round cup tie, but the available information does not identify which positions could change or which regulars might be rested.
- Sevillaaway0:2
- Racing de Santanderhome2:0
- Real Betisaway2:5
- Rayo Vallecanohome1:1
- Atletico Madridaway0:4
Pre-match information and expert view
No fresh facts related to the match were found. There is no verified personnel angle to add to the comparison. Kick-off conditions are mild, dry and calm: 17°C, no rain and light wind, so the forecast should not materially hinder passing or finishing.
Our Forecast
Osasuna are priced as the clear class difference in this first-round tie: the market gives them a 92.3% win probability, while Atletico Calatayud receive only 1.9%. The visitors compete in La Liga, and the hosts have conceded 8 goals across their last four matches. Atletico Calatayud have won their last two cup games, but those results came against Club Deportivo Baztan; the step up in opposition is substantial.
Osasuna’s recent form is uneven, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last five matches, yet their attacking ceiling remains higher. They scored 5 goals in their three tournament matches, and the market gives only 30.5% to BTTS, indicating an expectation that Atletico Calatayud may struggle to contribute. With no fresh verified team-news, injuries or suspension information available, the strongest case remains the difference in squad quality. Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (3.5) 1.44. A likely score is 0:4.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (3.5) 1.44 is supported by Osasuna’s superior level and the wide 1X2 market split. The expected match script is sustained pressure from the visitors and at least four Osasuna goals.
FAQ
When does Atletico Calatayud — Osasuna kick off?
The match starts on 29.10.2026 at 14:00 (New York), Municipal San Inigo (Calatayud).
What is the prediction for Atletico Calatayud — Osasuna?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (3.5) at 1.44.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Atletico Calatayud win — 4%, draw — 9%, Osasuna win — 87%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Club Deportivo Baztanaway2:1
- Club Deportivo Baztanhome2:0
- Atletic Sant Justhome1:4
- Atletic Sant Justaway0:3
- Sevillaaway0:2
- Racing de Santanderhome2:0
- Real Betisaway2:5
- Rayo Vallecanohome1:1
- Atletico Madridaway0:4
About the match
- 29 October · 14:00 New York
- Venue: Municipal San Inigo (Calatayud)
- Weather: 18° · precip. 0% · wind 2.1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 29.10 06:00
Market structure and implied expectations
The market assigns 92.3% to an Osasuna win, 5.8% to a draw and 1.9% to an Atletico Calatayud win. The 1X2 market shows a wide separation between the three outcomes. The away-win line is shortening, while the home-win and draw lines are moving in the opposite direction.
The totals market is nearly balanced around 4.5 goals: Over is assessed at 50.5% and Under at 49.5%. The movement favours Under. The BTTS market is clearer: “No” carries 69.5% and is shortening, while “Yes” stands at 30.5% and is drifting. That view includes Osasuna’s recent away results of 0:4 against Atletico Madrid and 2:5 against Real Betis, as well as Atletico’s limited tournament sample.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (3.5)
- Current odds
- 1.44
- Odds at prediction
- 1.48
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
