Spain Copa del Rey Prediction: Anaitasuna vs Deportivo Alaves
Anaitasuna
Deportivo AlavesMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1.5) 1.27 pending
Anaitasuna host Deportivo Alaves in Azkoitia in the first round of the Copa del Rey on November 3, with kick-off at 13:00 America/New_York time.
Anaitasuna: scoring momentum needs context
Recent results and the home-away split
Anaitasuna have three wins and two defeats across their five listed matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding nine. Their latest results were wins over Tedeon, 5:0 at home and 5:2 away. The earlier three fixtures date back to May 2024, so this sequence is not a continuous measure of current form.
Attacking output and defensive exposure
- They scored in all five games, with at least two goals in each of the last four.
- Both home fixtures ended in wins, with seven goals scored and one conceded.
- The three away fixtures produced one win and two defeats, with eight goals scored and eight conceded.
- They conceded in four of five matches; their only clean sheet came against Tedeon at home.
Personnel and tactical limits
The scoring record cannot be attributed to a particular striker or formation. Finishing against Tedeon does not establish how many chances Anaitasuna can create against top-flight opposition. Their tournament summary covers only one match, too few to establish scoring averages.
- Tedeonaway5:2
- Tedeonhome5:0
- Basconiaaway2:3
- Anorga KKEhome2:1
- Deportivo Alaves IIIaway1:3
Deportivo Alaves: higher-level opposition, weaker results
A difficult five-match sequence
Alaves have two draws and three defeats in their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding 11. Their latest outing was a 6:1 loss at Barcelona on October 31, three calendar days before this fixture. That defeat accounts for more than half their goals conceded in the sequence and distorts the overall defensive return.
Where the visitors have struggled
- Alaves scored exactly once in four consecutive games after a goalless draw at Athletic Bilbao.
- Their three away matches brought one draw, two defeats and a combined score of 2:8.
- BTTS (both teams to score) occurred in four of their last five matches; Bilbao was the sole exception.
- The two home games produced one point, with two goals scored and three conceded.
Selection and recovery considerations
The short recovery interval does not establish that Alaves will rotate. Their two-match tournament return of four goals scored and three conceded is too small to establish expectations for attacking efficiency or defensive control.
- Barcelonaaway1:6
- Malagahome1:1
- Celtaaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome1:2
- Athletic Bilbaoaway0:0
Team news and the limits of comparison
No fresh match facts were found. The results require different contexts: Anaitasuna’s recent wins came in cup competition, while Alaves’ winless sequence came against La Liga opposition.
Our Prediction
Anaitasuna welcome Deportivo Alaves in the first round of the Copa del Rey, with the tie played in Azkoitia. Our selection is Handicap 2 (-2.5) 1.37. The market assigns Alaves a 91.1% probability of victory, while Anaitasuna receive only 2.9%, reflecting the substantial gap between a Primera Division side and a lower-level opponent.
Anaitasuna’s two cup matches both came against Tedeon and provide limited evidence against elite opposition. Their wider five-match record is 3 wins and 2 defeats, with 15 goals scored and 9 conceded. Alaves are winless in five, yet that run came against La Liga teams; they drew 0:0 with Athletic Bilbao and scored in four of those matches. The 6:1 loss at Barcelona on October 31 is a poor immediate result, but it also underlines the much higher level of competition faced by the visitors. With no fresh injury, suspension or lineup information available, the class difference remains the central factor. A likely score is 0:3, which covers the handicap.
Conclusion
Handicap 2 (-2.5) 1.37 is the recommended selection. Anaitasuna’s cup scoring form deserves respect, but Alaves should create a decisive margin through superior individual quality and experience.
FAQ
When does Anaitasuna — Deportivo Alaves kick off?
The match starts on 03.11.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Anaitasuna (Azkoitia).
What is the prediction for Anaitasuna — Deportivo Alaves?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (-2.5) at 1.37.
Team form
- Tedeonaway5:2
- Tedeonhome5:0
- Basconiaaway2:3
- Anorga KKEhome2:1
- Deportivo Alaves IIIaway1:3
- Barcelonaaway1:6
- Malagahome1:1
- Celtaaway1:2
- Atletico Madridhome1:2
- Athletic Bilbaoaway0:0
About the match
- 3 November · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Anaitasuna (Azkoitia)
Odds
Odds updated 03.11 06:20
A strong favourite, but a divided goals market
The 1X2 market probabilities put Alaves at 91.1%, the draw at 6% and Anaitasuna at 2.9%. Alaves remain the market favourites despite the contrasting recent win records. No notable movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
The Over/Under 4.5 market is split at 50% on either side, while BTTS is assessed at 42.1% and BTTS No at 57.9%. The goals markets offer no comparably strong position: BTTS No is favoured over BTTS.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (-2.5)
- Current odds
- 1.37
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 66%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.37
- Potential win
- 37 $
- Status
- pending