Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon: K League 1 Match Prediction
Ulsan Hyundai
GangwonMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.38 won
Match result
Ulsan Hyundai 2:1 Gangwon (0:1, 2:0)
In the South Korea K League 1 match, Ulsan Hyundai secured a 2:1 victory over Gangwon. After trailing 0:1 in the first half, Ulsan scored twice in the second half to turn the game around. Our prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1) won, as the home team successfully scored two goals during the match.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.4 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.38 — the bet won.
Ulsan Hyundai host Gangwon at Ulsan Munsu in round 34 of the K League 1 championship phase. The hosts are second with 51 points; the visitors are fifth with 48. With Seoul 16 points clear of Ulsan, this meeting has more immediate significance for the positions below the leaders.
Ulsan: scoring regularly, conceding too often
Recent results and home form
Ulsan have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 10. They followed a 4:3 defeat at Gwangju with a 2:1 win over Bucheon and a 2:2 draw against Pohang. The attack has kept producing, but none of those five matches finished with a clean sheet.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
Across the league season, Ulsan have scored 52 goals in 33 games, averaging 1.58 per match. Their home return is nine wins from 17, with 30 scored and 26 conceded: home advantage has not meant defensive control. BTTS has occurred in 23 league fixtures and Over 2.5 goals in 21. Just six clean sheets explain why their attacking output has delivered only a narrow advantage over the chasing teams.
Selection and availability
No confirmed team news, injuries, suspensions, probable lineup or formation are available for Ulsan, so specific selection changes cannot be assessed.
- Pohang Steelershome2:2
- Bucheon 1995home2:1
- Gwangjuaway3:4
- Anyangaway1:2
- Incheon Unitedhome2:1
Gangwon: a stronger defensive foundation
A compact recent scoring pattern
Gangwon have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. Their latest league outing was a 1:1 draw at Seoul, followed by a 1:0 continental win over Kuching on 29 October. That leaves a shorter recovery interval than Ulsan have had since 24 October.
Road resilience and limited attacking margin
Gangwon have lost only four of 16 league away games, recording six wins and six draws with a 20:16 goal balance. Their season-long defensive average is 0.91 conceded per match, supported by 14 clean sheets. Only 12 of 33 league fixtures have gone Over 2.5 goals, and 15 have featured BTTS. With 40 league goals scored, their results depend more heavily on restricting opponents than on winning high-scoring exchanges.
Squad information
No confirmed availability updates or expected starting XI are available for Gangwon; the tight schedule alone does not establish that rotation will occur.
- Kuchinghome1:0
- Seoulaway1:1
- Incheon Unitedhome1:1
- Phnom Penh Crownhome1:2
- Bucheon 1995home2:0
Recent meetings challenge the longer-term balance
Ulsan lead the five-year head-to-head record with eight wins to Gangwon’s five, alongside two draws. The three meetings in 2026 tell a different story: Ulsan won 3:1 in February, before Gangwon responded with 2:0 and 3:2 victories. Gangwon’s August win at this venue also shows that Ulsan’s historical edge has not translated into consistent recent control.
- 16.08.2026Ulsan Hyundai2:3GangwonSouth Korea. K League 1
- 17.05.2026Gangwon2:0Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
- 28.02.2026Ulsan Hyundai3:1GangwonSouth Korea. K League 1
- 27.07.2025Gangwon2:2Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
- 17.05.2025Gangwon1:1Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
No verified pre-match updates
No fresh match-specific news or expert comments are available.
Line-ups
Ulsan Hyundai
Starting XI: 2. Yoon Jong-gyu, 8. Hui-Gyun Lee, 10. Lee Dong-gyeong, 14. Jinhyun Lee, 15. Jung Seung-hyun, 19. Kim Young-gwon, 24. Lee Gyu Seong, 26. Hyun-taek Cho, 31. Hwang Byeong-geun, 38. Yong-Woo Park, 55. Thomas Oude Kotte
Substitutes: 6. Darijan Bojanic, 11. Erick Samuel Correa Farias, 13. Seong-min Ryu, 16. Woo-jin Park, 28. Jae-Ik Lee, 66. Milosz Trojak, 72. In-woo Back, 77. Sang-Min SimInjury, 99. Yago Cariello Ribeiro
Coach: Kim Hyun-seok
Gangwon
Starting XI: 1. Park Chung-Hyo, 4. Seo Min-Woo, 5. Abdelkarim Chaouche, 7. Kim Dae-Won, 10. Mo Jae-Hyun, 11. Young-jun Go, 13. Gi-hyuk Lee, 47. Min-ha Shin, 96. Byung-Chan Choi, 97. Youhyeon Lee, 99. Joon Hyuck Kang
Substitutes: 6. Dong-Hyeon Kim, 8. Seung-Won Lee, 9. Kim Geon-heui, 17. Lee Eun-ho, 24. Ho-Yeong Park, 33. Hong Chul, 39. Ji-ho Lee, 41. Kim Yoo-Sung, 77. Abdallah Hleihel
Coach: Kyung-ho Chung
Our Prediction
Ulsan Hyundai host Gangwon in the championship play-off, with the teams on 51 and 48 points. Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.4. The hosts have scored 52 goals in 33 league matches, including 30 in 17 home fixtures, and they have found the net in each of their last five games. That run produced 10 goals, although Ulsan also conceded in all five matches.
Gangwon’s defensive record is stronger overall, with 30 goals conceded in 33 rounds and 14 clean sheets, but the recent head-to-head trend at Ulsan Munsu supports the home side’s scoring line: Ulsan scored three goals across the last two home meetings, including a 3:1 win in February and a 2:3 defeat in August. Gangwon won the latest meeting 3:2, yet Ulsan still reached two goals. The market gives the hosts only a moderate 41% win probability, making a team-goals line more suitable than a 1X2 selection. No verified match-specific injury, suspension or lineup updates are available. The expected score is 2:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.4 is the preferred option. Ulsan’s five-match scoring streak and 30 home goals provide the clearest statistical route to at least two goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Pohang Steelershome2:2
- Bucheon 1995home2:1
- Gwangjuaway3:4
- Anyangaway1:2
- Incheon Unitedhome2:1
- Kuchinghome1:0
- Seoulaway1:1
- Incheon Unitedhome1:1
- Phnom Penh Crownhome1:2
- Bucheon 1995home2:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61:29 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 52:47 | 51 |
| 3 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53:41 | 50 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 43:33 | 49 |
| 5 | Gangwon | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40:30 | 48 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 43:35 | 46 |
Head-to-head
- 16.08.2026Ulsan Hyundai2:3GangwonSouth Korea. K League 1
- 17.05.2026Gangwon2:0Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
- 28.02.2026Ulsan Hyundai3:1GangwonSouth Korea. K League 1
- 27.07.2025Gangwon2:2Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
- 17.05.2025Gangwon1:1Ulsan HyundaiSouth Korea. K League 1
About the match
- 1 November · 01:00 New York
- Venue: Ulsan Munsu (Ulsan)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market gives Ulsan a modest edge
Ulsan are the 1X2 favourites, but their margin-free win probability is only 41%, compared with 30.9% for Gangwon and 28.2% for the draw. This is a limited preference rather than a strong home endorsement. The line has shown no notable movement over the past 24 hours.
The goals markets are similarly cautious: Over 2.5 has a 51.1% probability, while BTTS is assessed at 56.1%. The distinction fits the teams’ contrasting season profiles: Ulsan’s matches frequently involve goals at both ends, whereas Gangwon’s defensive record pulls expectations towards a lower total. Neither goals market has registered a notable shift over the same period.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.4
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 66%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.4
- Potential win
- 40 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.4
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +40 $