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Bucheon 1995 vs Gwangju: K League 1 Match Prediction

South Korea. K League 1· Tour 33 Finished
Bucheon 1995Bucheon 1995
0:3
(0:1, 0:2)
Full time
GwangjuGwangju
12.5338%
X3.3528%
22.7834%
Our prediction
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.41
Stake 100 $, potential win 41 $ odds at kick-off 1.41
lost
−100 $

More picks

  • 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.38 won

Match result

Bucheon 1995 0:3 Gwangju (0:1, 0:2)

In the South Korea. K League 1 fixture, Bucheon 1995 lost to Gwangju with a 0:3 final score (0:1, 0:2). The home side failed to get on the scoresheet throughout the game. Our prediction was Individual Total 1 Over (1), and because Bucheon 1995 scored zero goals, the bet lost.

Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.41 — the bet lost.

Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.38 — the bet won.

Bucheon 1995 host Gwangju at Bucheon (Bucheon) in round 33 of K League 1. The hosts are 11th with 32 points, two behind 10th-placed Gimcheon Sangmu. Gwangju are bottom with 18 points, 14 behind the team directly above them.

Bucheon 1995
Bucheon 1995Last 5: 0 W, 1 D, 4 L

Bucheon: home advantage without home consistency

Recent results and scoring pattern

Bucheon have taken one point from five matches, scoring four goals and conceding 10. A 2:1 defeat at Ulsan Hyundai extended their losing run to three. They conceded exactly twice in each of those five games, against Incheon United, Jeju SK, Gimcheon Sangmu, Gangwon and Ulsan.

Strengths and weaknesses

  • Bucheon have won only three of 17 home league games and drawn seven.
  • They have kept nine clean sheets in 32 league matches, compared with Gwangju's four.
  • Over 2.5 goals and BTTS (both teams to score) have each occurred in 14 of 32 games; neither has been the prevailing pattern.

Selection and suspension

Kim Seung-bin is suspended after being sent off in the previous match.

Recent matches
  • Ulsan Hyundaiaway1:2
  • Gangwonaway0:2
  • Gimcheon Sangmuhome0:2
  • Jeju SKhome2:2
  • Incheon Unitedaway1:2
Gwangju
GwangjuLast 5: 1 W, 2 D, 2 L

Gwangju: more goals, but little defensive relief

Attack has improved faster than results

Gwangju have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five, scoring nine goals and conceding 10. Their last three results were a 2:2 draw at Jeonbuk, a 4:3 win over Ulsan and a 3:2 defeat at Daejeon. They scored at least twice in each but conceded eight goals across those matches.

The away record and season balance

  • Gwangju are winless in 15 away league matches, with seven draws and eight defeats.
  • They have scored 11 away goals and conceded 35.
  • Their season averages are 0.84 goals scored and 2.16 conceded per match.
  • BTTS has occurred in 16 of 32 games and Over 2.5 goals in 17, less frequently than their recent scorelines suggest.

Scoring options and team availability

Moon Min-seo is among Gwangju's leading scorers with six goals, alongside Shin Chang-mu with five.

Recent matches
  • Daejeon Hana Citizenaway2:3
  • Ulsan Hyundaihome4:3
  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motorsaway2:2
  • Anyanghome1:1
  • Jeju SKhome0:1

Recent meetings contrast with the latest form

Gwangju have five wins to Bucheon's four, with one draw in 10 official meetings over five years. This season, Bucheon won 1:0 away in April before a 0:0 draw here in August. Those matches produced just one goal, unlike Gwangju's recent high-scoring fixtures. Five of the eight listed meetings featured BTTS, but neither of the latest two did.

Bucheon 1995 wins 4draws 3Gwangju wins 8
  • 08.08.2026Bucheon 19950:0GwangjuSouth Korea. K League 1
  • 11.04.2026Gwangju0:1Bucheon 1995South Korea. K League 1
  • 27.08.2025Bucheon 19951:2GwangjuSouth Korea Cup
  • 20.08.2025Gwangju2:0Bucheon 1995South Korea Cup
  • 19.06.2024Bucheon 19952:3GwangjuSouth Korea Cup

A pre-match milestone for the hosts

Bucheon will honour defender Baek Dong-gyu before kick-off following his 300th K League appearance.

Line-ups

Bucheon 1995

Starting XI: 1. Hyung Geun Kim, 3. Patrick William, 4. Ye-geon Sung, 9. Park Jung In, 11. Jefferson Fernando Isidio, 13. Kim Min-Jun, 14. Jong-Woo Kim, 20. Hong Sung-wook, 26. An Tae-Hyun, 29. Dong-Gyu Baek, 83. Jo Seong-Joon

Substitutes: 6. Jeong Ho-Jin, 8. Yoon Bit-Garam, 10. Rodrigo Bassani Da Cruz, 23. Kazuki Takahashi, 24. Kim Dong-Hyun, 25. Yeo Bong-Hun, 31. Lee Sang-hyeon, 93. Lee Jae-Won, 99. Silva Gustavo Nescau

Coach: Hyun Young-Min

Gwangju

Starting XI: 4. Teun van Grunsven, 9. Seungun Ha, 10. Kyoung-Rok Choi, 17. Joao Pedro Reginaldo, 18. John Iredale, 21. Kim Jong-Seok, 22. Kwon Seong-yoon, 23. Dong-ha Kim, 39. Min Sang-Gi, 40. Shin Chang-Mu, 50. Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua

Substitutes: 1. Kyeong-Min Kim, 6. Ahn Young-Kyu, 8. Ju Se-Jong, 25. Yun-ho Kim, 33. Park Won-Jae, 37. Ri Yong-jik, 66. Bae Jin-woo, 70. Woo-jin Kim, 88. Kim Min-seok

Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

Our prediction

Bucheon 1995 face Gwangju at Bucheon with a chance to reduce the two-point gap to Gimcheon Sangmu in 10th place. The recommended bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.41. Two goals secure a full win, while one goal returns the stake. Bucheon have scored 18 times in 17 home league matches and found the net in three of their last five games.

Gwangju have conceded 69 goals in 32 league matches, including 35 in 15 away games. They allowed goals in all five recent fixtures and conceded three in their latest away match at Daejeon. Their defensive record includes only four clean sheets all season. Bucheon’s three-game losing run weakens the result market, but Gwangju’s away record supports two goals from the hosts. Kim Seung-bin is suspended after his previous red card. Probable score: Bucheon 1995 2:1 Gwangju.

Conclusion

The pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.41. Gwangju’s 69 conceded goals, including 35 away, and Bucheon’s 18 home goals in 17 matches support at least two goals from the hosts.

Chances by market estimate

Bucheon 199538%
Draw28%
Gwangju34%

Team form

Bucheon 1995
Bucheon 1995Last 5: 0 W, 1 D, 4 L
  • Ulsan Hyundaiaway1:2
  • Gangwonaway0:2
  • Gimcheon Sangmuhome0:2
  • Jeju SKhome2:2
  • Incheon Unitedaway1:2
Gwangju
GwangjuLast 5: 1 W, 2 D, 2 L
  • Daejeon Hana Citizenaway2:3
  • Ulsan Hyundaihome4:3
  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motorsaway2:2
  • Anyanghome1:1
  • Jeju SKhome0:1

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Gimcheon Sangmu33519933:4134
11Bucheon 1995337111532:4732
12Gwangju333121830:6921

Head-to-head

Bucheon 1995 wins 4draws 3Gwangju wins 8
  • 08.08.2026Bucheon 19950:0GwangjuSouth Korea. K League 1
  • 11.04.2026Gwangju0:1Bucheon 1995South Korea. K League 1
  • 27.08.2025Bucheon 19951:2GwangjuSouth Korea Cup
  • 20.08.2025Gwangju2:0Bucheon 1995South Korea Cup
  • 19.06.2024Bucheon 19952:3GwangjuSouth Korea Cup

About the match

  • 24 October · 01:00 New York
  • Venue: Bucheon (Bucheon)

Odds

Match result
W12.53
X3.35
W22.78
Double chance
1X1.44
121.33
2X1.52
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)3.14
Handicap 1 (0)1.85
Handicap 1 (1)1.09
Handicap 2 (-1)5.25
Handicap 2 (0)1.96
Handicap 2 (1)1.27
Totals
Total Over (2)1.38
Total Over (2.5)1.98
Total Over (3)2.36
Total Under (2)2.66
Total Under (2.5)1.83
Total Under (3)1.48
Team totals
Individual Total 1 Over (1)1.41
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.66
Both Teams To Score - No2.09

odds before kick-off

A modest home lean in a balanced goals market

Bucheon are the market favourite at 42.3%, ahead of Gwangju at 29.8% and the draw at 27.9%. The home-win assessment remains below a majority probability: Gwangju's away record favours the hosts, but Bucheon's recent defeats weaken that case.

Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 50.8%, leaving the goals market almost evenly split. BTTS has a stronger lean at 55.7%, above both teams' season-long frequencies. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.

Our prediction

Market
Individual Total 1 Over (1)
Odds
1.41
Confidence
Our estimate
65%
Market estimate
65%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.41
Potential win
41 $
Odds at kick-off
1.41
Status
lost
Profit
−100 $