Прогноз Unione Venezia — Internazionale Milano в Serie A
Unione Venezia
Internazionale MilanoUnione Venezia host Internazionale Milano at Pier Luigi Penzo in the ninth round of Serie A. The match contrasts the league’s bottom side with the leader: Venezia have collected three points, while Inter have twenty-two and remain level with Lazio at the top. The home team need points to reduce a nineteen-point gap, whereas Inter are protecting first place after an unbeaten league start.
Venezia: fragile results with one recent defensive response
Venezia’s last five matches brought one win, no draws and four defeats. They lost to Fiorentina, Lazio, Atalanta and Genoa, while the only success was a clean-sheet win over Napoli. They scored in three of those five games and conceded in four. The latest result, a defeat away to Genoa, again ended without a Venezia goal.
The league record is one win and seven defeats from eight matches, with six goals for and seventeen against. At home, Venezia have won one of four, scoring three and conceding eight. Their season rate is 0.75 goals per match against 2.13 conceded, and they have kept a clean sheet once. The figures point to a side that can defend compactly in isolated matches but struggles to sustain that level.
Team profile and personnel
- The strongest recent signal is the 1:0 home win over Napoli, but it is surrounded by four defeats.
- Venezia have scored in three of their last five, yet produced no goal in the latest away match.
- Antoine Hainaut and Akor Jerome Adams have one league goal each; Simon Sohm has one assist.
- A. Adorante, B. Franjić, M. Šverko and Pasquale Mazzocchi are unavailable; T. Correia is doubtful. Gianluca Busio is ready after recovering from a strain.
Davide Nicola was appointed on 14 October, so the team is still operating under a recently changed coaching regime. Busio is available again after recovering from a strain.
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
- Laziohome0:2
- Fiorentinahome2:4
Inter: leading attack and a busy schedule
Inter have won seven and drawn one of their eight league matches, scoring twenty-three and conceding ten. Away from home they are unbeaten in three fixtures, with six goals scored and three allowed. In all competitions they have won four of the last five, scoring in every match, and are currently on a three-match winning run. Their latest game ended in a 2:1 home victory over Fiorentina.
The league attack averages 2.88 goals per match, while both teams scored in six of eight fixtures and total goals exceeded two in seven. Inter have kept two clean sheets, so their main advantage is attacking volume rather than a consistently closed defence. Marcus Thuram leads the listed scorers with three goals, while Carlos Augusto has one goal and one assist, and Petar Sučić has one goal.
Squad availability and tactical variables
- Lautaro Martínez is out while recovering from a hamstring injury.
- Benjamin Pavard, Curtis Jones, John Stones and Luis Enrique are also unavailable through injury.
- Christian Chivu is expected to rotate because of the dense calendar.
- Inter’s recent sequence includes a home European defeat, followed by league and European victories.
Inter have several players unavailable, but the league output remains substantially higher than Venezia’s.
- Fiorentinahome2:1
- Shakhtar Donetskhome1:0
- Bologna 1909away3:1
- Club Bruggehome3:4
- Parmahome3:0
Head-to-head record favors the visitors
Venezia have lost all five official meetings with Inter over the last five years. Inter won the two most recent encounters by 5:1 in the Coppa Italia and 1:0 in Serie A, while the earlier league meetings also ended with Inter victories.
The head-to-head pattern is therefore consistent with the current table: Inter have controlled the fixture and usually limited Venezia’s scoring. It is a small sample, but there has been no draw and no Venezia win in the listed period.
- 03.12.2025Internazionale Milano5:1Unione VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 12.01.2025Unione Venezia0:1Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 03.11.2024Internazionale Milano1:0Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 22.01.2022Internazionale Milano2:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 27.11.2021Unione Venezia0:2Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
Team news before kickoff
According to media reports, Inter have completed their final preparations and held a morning training session before the match. The principal sporting issue is rotation: Chivu must manage a crowded schedule while replacing Martínez and several other injured players. According to media reports, Venezia will be without Adorante, Franjić, Šverko and Mazzocchi, with Correia doubtful; Busio has returned to availability.
The coaching change in Venice and Inter’s rotation plan are the main contextual factors beyond the recent results.
Our Prediction
Venezia host Inter at Pier Luigi Penzo with a 19-point gap between the bottom club and the league leader. The home side has conceded 17 goals in eight Serie A matches, including 8 in four home fixtures. Inter has scored 23 times in the same number of games, averaging 2.88 goals per match, and has found the net in all five of its latest matches.
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) for 1.3. Inter have won seven of eight league games, while Venezia have lost seven and conceded more than two goals per match on average. The visitors have also scored six goals in three away fixtures, and the head-to-head record is perfect: five Inter wins in the last five meetings. Lautaro Martínez is unavailable, while rotation is expected because of the schedule, but Inter’s recent attacking output remains sufficient for two goals. A likely score is 0:2.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) is supported by Inter’s 23 goals in eight league matches, Venezia’s 17 conceded and the visitors’ five-game winning head-to-head record. The expected outcome is at least two Inter goals.
FAQ
When does Unione Venezia — Internazionale Milano kick off?
The match starts on 28.10.2026 at 13:30 (New York), Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice).
What is the prediction for Unione Venezia — Internazionale Milano?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Unione Venezia win — 12%, draw — 17%, Internazionale Milano win — 71%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
- Laziohome0:2
- Fiorentinahome2:4
- Fiorentinahome2:1
- Shakhtar Donetskhome1:0
- Bologna 1909away3:1
- Club Bruggehome3:4
- Parmahome3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Internazionale Milano | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 20 | Unione Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 03.12.2025Internazionale Milano5:1Unione VeneziaCoppa Italia
- 12.01.2025Unione Venezia0:1Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
- 03.11.2024Internazionale Milano1:0Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 22.01.2022Internazionale Milano2:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 27.11.2021Unione Venezia0:2Internazionale MilanoItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 28 October · 13:30 New York
- Venue: Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice)
- Weather: 15° · precip. 0% · wind 1.1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 28.10 03:20
Market view and goal expectations
The market makes Inter the clear favorite, assigning a 72.2% probability to an away win, against 16.1% for a draw and 11.7% for a Venezia victory. The line has shown no noticeable movement over the last twenty-four hours, indicating that the absence of Martínez and the expected rotation have not materially changed the assessment.
The goals market is close to balanced around the high-goal line: the over side is priced by probability at 50.7%, while the under side stands at 49.3%. BTTS Yes is favored at 59.6%, reflecting Inter’s record of scoring in all of their last five matches and Venezia’s defensive concessions in four of five. No Elo figures are supplied, so the strength comparison rests on the standings and results: Inter are first, Venezia twentieth.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Odds at prediction
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Status
- pending
