Serie A match forecast: Udinese Calcio vs Roma
Udinese Calcio
RomaUdinese host Roma at Bluenergy Stadium in Udine on 31 October in Serie A’s tenth round. The hosts sit 17th with five points, level with 18th-placed Fiorentina; Roma are third, four points behind the joint leaders and one ahead of Como. The immediate stakes are breathing space near the relegation places for Udinese and contact with the title race for Roma.
Udinese: home attack stalls
Recent results and venue split
Udinese’s last four league matches produced one point and a 1–7 aggregate score: defeats against Torino, Lecce and Milan preceded a goalless draw at Parma. They have now gone three matches without scoring.
Where the balance breaks down
Across nine league fixtures, Udinese have scored nine goals and conceded 18, keeping just one clean sheet. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred five times, but that season-wide scoring profile contrasts with their recent attacking drought. The Parma draw stopped a run of three league defeats without resolving the shortage of goals.
Available attackers and defensive absences
Nicolò Zaniolo is available after injury and leads the attack. Defenders Oumar Solet and David Alaba are out with muscular and shin injuries respectively. Alessandro Zanoli, Vakoun Bayo and Idrissa Gueye are also unavailable; Bayo has a hamstring injury and Gueye an ankle problem. These absences reduce options in defence and attack.
- Parmaaway0:0
- Milanhome0:2
- Leccehome0:3
- Torinoaway1:2
- Pogon Szczecinaway1:1
Roma: scoring freely, conceding again
Unbeaten league progress
Roma have six wins and three draws from nine league games, scoring 23 goals and conceding eight. Their last five matches across all competitions yielded three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 16 goals scored and nine conceded. Most recently, a 3–3 draw at Napoli was followed by a 4–2 home victory over Cagliari.
Away strength and defensive variation
Two wins and two draws on the road, with nine goals for and three against, establish Roma’s stronger travelling record. Five league clean sheets show their defensive ceiling, although they conceded five times in their latest two fixtures. Six of nine league games cleared 2.5 goals, while BTTS occurred in four: high totals have not always required a contribution from the opposition.
Midfield and goalkeeper concerns
Lorenzo Pellegrini, Mile Svilar and Manu Koné are ruled out with thigh, finger and hamstring injuries respectively. Paulo Dybala is doubtful with a shin problem. Their absence or uncertain availability affects creativity, central midfield and the goalkeeper position.
- Cagliari Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway3:3
- Slovan Bratislavahome4:0
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
Recent meetings favour Roma
Roma won six of the nine official meetings over the past five years; Udinese won two and one ended level. Six of the eight listed encounters featured at least three goals. Yet the latest meeting, in February 2026, ended in a 1–0 Udinese home win, breaking Roma’s run of six consecutive victories in this fixture.
- 02.02.2026Udinese Calcio1:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 09.11.2025Roma2:0Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 26.01.2025Udinese Calcio1:2RomaItaly. Serie A
- 22.09.2024Roma3:0Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 25.04.2024Udinese Calcio1:2RomaItaly. Serie A
Runjaic retains backing
Kosta Runjaic still has the board’s confidence despite Udinese’s seven-match winless run. Roma have received approval for a new stadium, although that announcement offers no direct explanation of their prospects in Udine.
Our prediction: Roma to take the points
Our pick is W2 1.62. Roma’s unbeaten league start puts them third, while 17th-placed Udinese have lost four of five home games. The venue split is decisive: the hosts have scored just twice and conceded nine at home; Roma have scored nine and allowed three on their travels. That contrast favours the visitors even without assuming a clean sheet.
According to media reports, Udinese will be without defenders Oumar Solet and David Alaba, plus forwards Vakoun Bayo and Idrissa Gueye. Those absences weaken both their defensive options and their ability to change the attack. Roma have absences too, including Mile Svilar, Lorenzo Pellegrini and Manu Kone, so this is not a risk-free selection. Still, six wins in the last nine official meetings add support to the visitors’ advantage. Predicted score: 0–2.
Final verdict
W2 1.62 is the selection: Roma’s away scoring record targets a home defence missing two defenders, while Udinese’s limited attacking output reduces their margin for error.
FAQ
When does Udinese Calcio — Roma kick off?
The match starts on 31.10.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Bluenergy Stadium (Udine).
What is the prediction for Udinese Calcio — Roma?
Our pick is W2 at 1.62.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Udinese Calcio win — 18%, draw — 22%, Roma win — 61%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Parmaaway0:0
- Milanhome0:2
- Leccehome0:3
- Torinoaway1:2
- Pogon Szczecinaway1:1
- Cagliari Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway3:3
- Slovan Bratislavahome4:0
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 16 | Monza 1912 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese Calcio | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 02.02.2026Udinese Calcio1:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 09.11.2025Roma2:0Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 26.01.2025Udinese Calcio1:2RomaItaly. Serie A
- 22.09.2024Roma3:0Udinese CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 25.04.2024Udinese Calcio1:2RomaItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 31 October · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Bluenergy Stadium (Udine)
- Weather: 11° · precip. 0% · wind 1.4 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 30.10 17:10
Market separates the teams clearly
Roma are clear favourites in the 1X2 market, with an away-win probability of 62%. The draw stands at 21.5% and a home win at 16.5%. Over 2.5 goals carries a 58.4% assessment, while BTTS is priced as a narrower preference at 55%. None of these lines has moved noticeably over the last 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Current odds
- 1.62
- Odds at prediction
- 1.59
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
