Torino vs Monza 1912: Serie A Match Prediction
Torino
Monza 1912More picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.38 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (3.5) 1.44 won
Match result
Torino 3:2 Monza 1912 (1:0, 2:2)
In the Italy Serie A match, Torino played against Monza 1912. The game ended with a final score of 3:2, with period scores of 1:0 and 2:2. Our prediction for this fixture was Individual Total 1 Over (1), and the bet won.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.42 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.38 — the bet won.
Torino host Monza at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino on 23 October in Serie A’s eighth round. The hosts sit tenth with 10 points, while their visitors are fourteenth. Monza can draw level on points; Torino are pursuing a third consecutive league victory.
Torino: improving results, uneven home returns
Recent form and scoring patterns
Torino’s last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat. They followed a draw at Bologna with victories over Udinese and Parma. Their home league record is less convincing: one win and two defeats, with three goals scored and five conceded. Recent progress therefore needs separating from their results in Turin.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Ten points from the last five league matches show the improvement under Ignazio Abate.
- Torino have scored in four of those five games, but also conceded in four.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in five of seven league fixtures.
- Only one league clean sheet limits confidence in their defensive control.
Attackers and availability
Giovanni Simeone scored twice at Parma, with Che Adams adding the other goal. Pietro Pellegri is rebuilding fitness after injury and has spent two matches on the bench. Riccardo Rodriguez, Emirhan Ilkhan, Niccolo Fortini and Franco Israel are unavailable through injury.
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
- Romahome0:2
- Fiorentinaaway2:1
Monza: attacking output masks away problems
Results need a competition filter
Monza’s last five games produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, although two fixtures were friendlies. Their latest league sequence was a win over Sassuolo, defeat at Lazio and a four-goal victory over Cagliari. Away in Serie A, they have recorded no wins, one draw and three defeats, scoring five and conceding 11.
Where the balance breaks down
- Monza average 1.86 goals per league match, exceeding Torino’s 1.43.
- They concede 2.14 per match, compared with the hosts’ 1.29.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in six of seven league fixtures.
- One clean sheet in seven leaves little margin for an attacking off-day.
Juric’s options and absentees
Gustavo Varela scored twice against Cagliari; Eddy Kouadio and Jay Robinson also scored. Ivan Juric must manage without suspended Lorenzo Lucchesi and injured Patrick Ciurria, Jan Ziolkowski, Ivan Kouadio Maye, Idrissa Toure and Matteo Pessina.
- Cagliari Calciohome4:0
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
- Cremonesehome2:3
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:1
Low-scoring meetings, with a recent reversal
Across seven official meetings in the last five years, Torino have three wins to Monza’s one, alongside three draws. Yet Monza won the latest encounter, a September Coppa Italia tie in Turin, by a single unanswered goal. That result contrasts with Torino’s broader advantage in this fixture.
- 01.09.2026Torino0:1Monza 1912Coppa Italia
- 02.03.2025Monza 19120:2TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 24.11.2024Torino1:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 30.03.2024Torino1:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 11.11.2023Monza 19121:1TorinoItaly. Serie A
A familiar opponent for Juric
Juric faces his former club for the second time this season, having taken charge of Monza in July. Both teams last played on 19 October, so neither has an extra recovery day. Dry conditions, a temperature of 11°C and light wind are forecast. No separate expert assessments have been supplied.
Line-ups
Torino
Starting XI: 8. Rolando Mandragora, 10. Nikola Vlasic, 15. Pietro Comuzzo, 18. Giovanni Simeone, 19. Che Adams, 20. Lucas Perri, 23. Saul Coco, 28. Kian Fitz-Jim, 44. Ardian Ismajli, 45. Rafik Belghali, 77. Alessio Cacciamani
Substitutes: 2. Nathan Patterson, 3. Cristiano Biraghi, 5. Eray Cumart, 7. Zakaria Aboukhlal, 9. Pietro Pellegri, 11. Gaetano Oristanio, 17. Sandro Kulenovic, 21. Daniel Santos Braganca, 22. Cesare Casadei, 26. Diego Mascardi, 66. Gvidas Gineitis, 76. Lapo Siviero, 91. Duvan Zapata
Coach: Ignazio Abate
Monza 1912
Starting XI: 1. Noel Tornqvist, 2. Saba Goglichidze, 3. Lorenzo Lucchesi, 7. Ricardo Mangas, 8. Manga Foe Ondoa, 9. Gustavo Miguel Varela, 14. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, 19. Samuele Birindelli, 44. Andrea Carboni, 46. Jay Robinson, 47. Dany Mota
Substitutes: 6. Valentin Antov, 10. Patrick Cutrone, 11. Omari Forson, 16. Cyril Ngonge, 20. Demba Thiam, 21. Leonardo Colombo, 22. Oscar Zeballos, 24. Adam Bakoune, 26. Patrick Ciurria, 27. Idrissa Toure, 28. Andrea Colpani, 43. Aljaz Strajnar, 60. Eddy Kouadio, 80. Mathis Mout, 90. Michael Folorunsho
Coach: Ivan Juric
Our scoring pick
Torino’s attack is the focus of our bet: Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.42. Five goals in their previous two league games make two home goals a credible target. Giovanni Simeone scored twice against Parma, with Che Adams adding the other goal, so the recent improvement has contributions from both forwards.
Monza have conceded 15 goals in seven league fixtures, including 11 across four away games. Lorenzo Lucchesi is suspended and Jan Ziolkowski is injured, reducing their defensive options. The caution is Torino’s return of just three goals in three home league matches: this is a measured scoring pick, not a forecast of a rout. Unlike a home-win bet, it does not depend on Torino containing a visiting attack that has scored 13 league goals. Our projected score is 2-1.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.42 targets Monza’s away defensive weakness without requiring a Torino victory. Two or more home goals win the bet; exactly one returns the stake, while a Torino blank loses it.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
- Romahome0:2
- Fiorentinaaway2:1
- Cagliari Calciohome4:0
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
- Cremonesehome2:3
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cagliari Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza 1912 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 01.09.2026Torino0:1Monza 1912Coppa Italia
- 02.03.2025Monza 19120:2TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 24.11.2024Torino1:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 30.03.2024Torino1:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 11.11.2023Monza 19121:1TorinoItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 23 October · 14:45 New York
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino), Turin
Odds
odds before kick-off
A modest home preference, not a clear consensus
The 1X2 market makes Torino favourites, but their 44.6% win probability remains below half. The draw stands at 27.5% and an away win at 27.9%, leaving substantial room for either alternative. No notable movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
Under 2.5 goals has a narrow market edge at 51.1%, while BTTS is assessed at 53.5%. That restrained goals outlook contrasts with both clubs’ early-season scoring patterns, but aligns more closely with their head-to-head history. Seven league matches per team remain a small sample.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.42
- Potential win
- 42 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.32
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +42 $