Torino vs Como: Serie A Match Prediction
Torino
ComoMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.29 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4) 1.33 won
Match result
Torino 1:3 Como (1:0, 0:3)
In Italy Serie A, Torino faced Como in a match that ended with a 1:3 score. The home side led 1:0 after the first period, but the visitors turned the game around with a 0:3 performance in the second half. Following this result, our prediction for Handicap 2 (0) won.
Our prediction: Handicap 2 (0) at 1.32 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.29 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (4) at 1.33 — the bet won.
Torino host Como at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Tour 9 of Serie A. Como are fifth with 17 points, four ahead of eighth-placed Torino on 13. Both teams have won three consecutive matches.
Torino: improving results with a thin defensive margin
Torino have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6. Their winning run includes Udinese, Parma and Monza, with the latest result a 3:2 home victory. They scored in four of those five matches and conceded in four.
In the league, Torino have scored 13 goals and conceded 11. Their home record is two wins and two defeats, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded in four fixtures.
Structure, threats and absences
- Torino average 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per league match, with one clean sheet in eight.
- BTTS landed in six of their eight league games, and six finished Over the main goal line.
- Giovanni Simeone has 2 goals and 1 assist in 3 appearances; Rafik Belghali has 1 goal and 2 assists in 3 matches.
Chi Adams is building match fitness after injury. Pietro Pellegri has returned to the squad and was among the substitutes for two matches. The formation and full starting lineup remain unconfirmed.
- Monza 1912home3:2
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
- Romahome0:2
Como: higher table position and a stronger away profile
Como have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 5. A 3:1 away win at Fiorentina was followed by home victories over Manchester United and Sassuolo. They scored in four of the five matches and kept a clean sheet in the latest one.
Their league record is 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 14 goals scored and 7 conceded.
Balance between attack and control
Como’s away league record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded. They average 1.75 goals scored per match, higher than Torino, and 0.88 conceded. BTTS landed in five of eight league matches, while four finished Over the main goal line.
- Anastasios Douvikas leads Como’s scorers with 3 goals in 3 league appearances.
- Nico Paz has 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 appearances.
- Mattia Liberali has 1 goal in his league appearance.
Como’s complete starting lineup and tactical shape remain unconfirmed.
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
- Romahome0:0
Head-to-head record favors the visitors
The teams have met four times over the last five years: Torino won once and Como three times, with no draws. Torino’s only victory was 1:0 at home in October 2024. Como then won 1:0 away before recording 5:1 and 6:0 victories in the next two meetings.
Como have outscored Torino 12–1 across the last three encounters, though the overall sample remains small.
- 24.01.2026Como6:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 24.11.2025Torino1:5ComoItaly. Serie A
- 13.04.2025Como1:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 25.10.2024Torino1:0ComoItaly. Serie A
- 23.02.2004Torino1:0ComoSerie B
Team news and the competitive context
Torino have five injury absences: Ricardo Rodriguez and Niccolò Fortini in defence, Emirhan İlkhan and Rolando Mandragora in midfield, and goalkeeper Franco Israel. Those absences affect three areas of a side already conceding more goals at home than it scores.
Nico Paz is confirmed to start for Como, while Assane Diao is out with a thigh muscle strain. Cesc Fàbregas rotated his squad before this fixture following their recent Champions League schedule and has named Serie A as the team’s main priority.
Line-ups
Torino
Starting XI: 10. Nikola Vlasic, 15. Pietro Comuzzo, 18. Giovanni Simeone, 19. Che Adams, 20. Lucas Perri, 21. Daniel Santos Braganca, 23. Saul Coco, 28. Kian Fitz-Jim, 44. Ardian Ismajli, 45. Rafik Belghali, 77. Alessio Cacciamani
Substitutes: 2. Nathan Patterson, 3. Cristiano Biraghi, 5. Eray Cumart, 6. Emirhan Ilkhan, 7. Zakaria Aboukhlal, 9. Pietro Pellegri, 11. Gaetano Oristanio, 17. Sandro Kulenovic, 22. Cesare Casadei, 26. Diego Mascardi, 66. Gvidas Gineitis, 76. Lapo Siviero, 91. Duvan Zapata
Coach: Ignazio Abate
Como
Starting XI: 2. Marc-Oliver Kempf, 3. Alex Valle, 4. Jacobo Naveros, 5. Maximo Perrone, 6. Luis Milla, 7. Lucas Da Cunha, 8. Maxence Caqueret, 9. Anastasios Douvikas, 10. Nicolas Paz Martinez, 27. Yan Couto, 97. Robert Sanchez
Substitutes: 1. Jean Butez, 13. Alberto Dossena, 15. Adrian Lahdo, 16. Kaiki Bruno da Silva, 18. Edoardo Goldaniga, 20. Martin Baturina, 21. Samuele Ricci, 22. Mauro Vigorito, 42. Jayden Addai, 53. Willy Kambwala, 54. Matteo PapaccioliInjury
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
Our forecast
Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.32. Como enter the match fifth with 17 points from eight rounds, while Torino are eighth on 13. The visitors have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 5. Their away league record is also solid: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored.
Torino have won their last three matches, but their home league record is only 2 wins and 2 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. The defensive absences are significant: Ricardo Rodriguez and Niccolò Fortini are unavailable, while Emirhan İlkhan, Rolando Mandragora and goalkeeper Franco Israel are also out. Como can field leader Nico Paz from the start, and the squad has been rotated to preserve freshness. According to media reports, Cesc Fàbregas considers Serie A the team’s main priority. Como have also won the last three meetings, including 5:1 and 6:0 victories. The expected score is 1:2; a draw returns the stake.
Conclusion
Handicap 2 (0) at 1.32 is supported by Como’s higher league position, stronger away results, recent head-to-head advantage and Torino’s weakened defensive and midfield lines. The push protection on a draw makes the visitors’ side preferable.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Monza 1912home3:2
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
- Romahome0:2
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
- Romahome0:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari Calcio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 24.01.2026Como6:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 24.11.2025Torino1:5ComoItaly. Serie A
- 13.04.2025Como1:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 25.10.2024Torino1:0ComoItaly. Serie A
- 23.02.2004Torino1:0ComoSerie B
About the match
- 27 October · 15:45 New York
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino), Turin
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and implied probabilities
The 1X2 market favors Como, assigning the away win a 54.1% probability, compared with 20.6% for a Torino home win and 25.3% for the draw. There has been no notable movement during the last twenty-four hours.
Over 2.5 goals carries an implied probability of 56%, while BTTS Yes stands at 57.1%. Torino’s scoring and conceding patterns support that direction, but Como’s lower concession rate limits the case for a high total.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.32
- Potential win
- 32 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.31
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +32 $
