Прогноз Roma — Cagliari Calcio на матч Serie A
Roma
Cagliari CalcioMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.29 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (3.5) 1.33 won
Match result
Roma 4:2 Cagliari Calcio (2:1, 2:1)
Roma defeated Cagliari Calcio with a 4:2 scoreline in Italy. Serie A. Both the first and second halves finished 2:1. Our prediction for this match was Individual Total 1 Over (1.5), and the bet won as the home team scored four goals.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.45 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.29 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (3.5) at 1.33 — the bet won.
Roma host Cagliari at the Olimpico on 27 October in Serie A’s ninth round. Roma are third with 18 points, four behind the joint leaders; Cagliari are ninth on 13. Roma are unbeaten in the league, while Cagliari have lost their last two matches.
Roma: scoring power with defensive contrasts
Recent form and home performance
Roma’s last five matches produced two wins, two draws and one defeat. After losing 3:4 to Real Madrid, they beat Genoa and Slovan Bratislava before drawing 3:3 at Napoli. Their league home record is three wins and a draw, with an aggregate score of 10:3; both of their latest league away matches ended level.
Strengths and vulnerabilities
- Roma average 2.38 goals per league match, their clearest attacking strength.
- Five clean sheets in eight league games show that their defence has usually restricted opponents.
- Over 2.5 goals occurred in five league matches, while BTTS landed in only three.
- Roma conceded in two of their last five fixtures.
Availability and selection
Mile Svilar is unavailable through injury. Paulo Dybala could return but is not confirmed. Konstantinos Koulierakis has rejoined the squad. Leonardo Balerdi Rossa has two league goals; Santiago Castro has a goal and an assist. No confirmed starting XI, formation or suspension information is supplied.
- Napoliaway3:3
- Slovan Bratislavahome4:0
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
- Comoaway0:0
Cagliari: away results meet a scoring slump
Results and attacking output
Cagliari’s last five games brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. Victories at Atalanta and Udinese preceded a draw with Juventus, but losses to Monza and Bologna left them without a goal in two matches.
Where the balance lies
- Three wins from four away league games make Cagliari’s travelling record stronger than their overall position suggests.
- Four goals scored and five conceded away show the narrow attacking margin behind those results.
- Only two of eight league games exceeded 2.5 goals, and just two featured BTTS.
- Three league clean sheets contrast with goals conceded in each of the latest two defeats.
Returns and absences
Harry Winks is out with lumbago; Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi remain absent with cruciate ligament injuries. Yaël Trepy has resumed group training and will be called up, while Yerry Mina is ready to return and is likely to start. Daniel Maldini has one league goal and Paul Mendy one assist. A full likely XI and formation are not supplied.
- Bologna 1909home0:2
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
Previous meetings favour the hosts
Roma have won six of the eight official meetings over five years, with one draw and one defeat. All four meetings in Rome ended in home wins without a Cagliari goal; the latest was 2:0 in February.
- 09.02.2026Roma2:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 07.12.2025Cagliari Calcio1:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2025Roma1:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 18.08.2024Cagliari Calcio0:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 05.02.2024Roma4:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
Coaches stress initiative and balance
Gian Piero Gasperini has called for continued improvement, describing an atmosphere that encourages courage and activity. Fabio Pisacane has stressed balance. Pre-match commentary expects Roma to press forward early and calls for greater aggression from Cagliari. The tactical tension is between that urgency and maintaining defensive structure.
Line-ups
Roma
Starting XI: 3. Konstantinos Koulierakis, 4. Bryan Cristante, 5. Evan Ndicka, 9. Santiago Castro, 15. Marten de Roon, 18. Matias Soule, 20. Nahuel Molina, 23. Gianluca Mancini, 61. Niccolo Pisilli, 77. Emanuele Lulli, 95. Pierluigi Gollini
Substitutes: 2. Devyne Rensch, 14. Donyell Malen, 22. Mario Hermoso, 26. Leonardo Balerdi Rossa, 32. Devis Stiven Vasquez Llach, 43. Wesley Vinicius Franca Lima, 63. Alessandro Di Nunzio, 70. Giorgio De Marzi, 78. Mandjou Camara, 86. Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho, 87. Daniele Ghilardi
Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini
Cagliari Calcio
Starting XI: 1. Elia Caprile, 2. Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas, 4. Alessandro Romano, 8. Michel Adopo, 14. Alessandro Deiola, 15. Juan Martin Rodriguez Camejo, 18. M'Bala Nzola, 26. Yerry Mina, 28. Yukinari Sugawara, 33. Adam Obert, 39. Alieu Fadera
Substitutes: 9. Kevin Omoruyi, 10. Jacopo Fazzini, 12. Alen Sherri, 19. Yael Trepy, 20. Riccardo Ciervo, 21. Roberto Gagliardini, 22. Raphael Kofler, 23. Boris Radunovic, 24. Giuseppe Aurelio, 27. Joseph Liteta, 31. Paul Mendy, 32. Ivan Sulev, 70. Daniel Maldini, 79. Yanis Massolin
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Our pick: Roma to score twice
Roma’s attacking output at the Olimpico is the basis for Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.45. The hosts have scored 19 goals in eight Serie A rounds, including 10 in four home games. This bet targets their scoring rather than requiring a clean sheet or a particular winning margin.
Cagliari have conceded four goals and two goals in their last two league matches. According to media reports, Harry Winks is unavailable with lumbago, removing a midfield option as the visitors try to protect their defence. Yerry Mina’s expected return could help, but two Roma goals remain a realistic target. Paulo Dybala’s involvement is uncertain, so the selection does not depend on his return. Predicted score: 2:0.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.45 is our selection, with Roma’s home scoring rate matching the required threshold. Cagliari’s recent defensive losses strengthen the case, though Mina’s return is a reason not to treat it as a certainty.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Napoliaway3:3
- Slovan Bratislavahome4:0
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
- Comoaway0:0
- Bologna 1909home0:2
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Cagliari Calcio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna 1909 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 09.02.2026Roma2:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 07.12.2025Cagliari Calcio1:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2025Roma1:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 18.08.2024Cagliari Calcio0:0RomaItaly. Serie A
- 05.02.2024Roma4:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 27 October · 15:45 New York
- Venue: Olimpico (Rome), Rim
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market confidence centres on Roma
The margin-free 1X2 market assessment gives Roma a 71.3% chance, the draw 18.7% and Cagliari 10.1%. Over the past 24 hours, the home-win line has shortened, while the draw and away-win lines have drifted.
Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 57.5% and has also shortened. BTTS remains almost evenly divided, with No at 52.3% and Yes at 47.7%, without meaningful movement. The market is more confident about Roma than about both teams contributing to the score.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Odds
- 1.45
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.45
- Potential win
- 45 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.52
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +45 $