Monza 1912 vs Cagliari Calcio: Serie A Match Prediction
Monza 1912
Cagliari CalcioMatch result
Monza 1912 4:0 Cagliari Calcio (1:0, 3:0)
In Italy. Serie A, Monza 1912 faced Cagliari Calcio and won with a final score of 4:0, with the periods ending 1:0 and 3:0. Our betting prediction for this match was Total Over (2). With four goals scored in total, the bet won.
Our prediction: Total Over (2) at 1.53 — the bet won.
Monza host Cagliari at Brianteo in Serie A’s seventh round on 19 October. The hosts are 16th with 4 points; the visitors are fourth with 13. Monza are seeking distance from the lower places, while Cagliari aim to protect their position near the top. Dry conditions and 20°C should impose no weather-related restrictions.
Monza: scoring without defensive protection
Recent results and home performance
Monza’s last five matches produced one win, one draw and three defeats. Friendlies limit comparisons with league form. They lost their latest match 3:1 at Lazio after beating Sassuolo 2:1 at home in the league. Their two home league fixtures have yielded one victory and one defeat, with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Attacking output versus defensive exposure
Monza have scored 9 league goals and conceded 15, averaging 1.5 and 2.5 per match respectively. BTTS has landed in all six fixtures, five have finished Over 2.5 goals, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. Their scoring has not offset their defensive losses, though six matches are too few to establish a lasting goals trend.
Absences narrow Juric’s options
Ivan Juric is without injured Ceballos, Maye, Toure, Pessina and Zulkowski, while Lucchesi is suspended. Pessina and Zulkowski have resumed running; Toure may return to group training next week. None is available for this match.
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
- Cremonesehome2:3
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:1
- Lecceaway2:3
Cagliari: away results built on few concessions
A productive run before the trip
Cagliari’s last five outings brought three wins, one draw and one defeat. After losing to Hellas Verona in the cup, they beat Lecce, Atalanta and Udinese in the league before drawing 1:1 with Juventus. They have won all three Serie A away matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1.
Efficiency rather than heavy scoring
Cagliari’s league record is four wins, one draw and one defeat, despite averaging only 1 goal per game. They concede 0.5 per match and have kept three clean sheets. BTTS has occurred in two of six games, with Over 2.5 in only one. Their defensive record contrasts with Monza’s, but the short schedule limits longer-term conclusions.
Unavailable players and a touchline absence
Idrissi and Felici remain out with cruciate ligament injuries. Trepi continues individual training and will not be called up. Pisacane is suspended for the match. He has said that two strikers suit this opponent.
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
- Leccehome1:0
- Hellas Veronahome1:2
Recent meetings favour the visitors
Cagliari have won two of the four official meetings over the past five years, with one Monza win and one draw. Cagliari won both meetings in 2025: 2:1 away and 3:0 at home.
- 30.03.2025Cagliari Calcio3:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 05.01.2025Monza 19121:2Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2024Monza 19121:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 26.11.2023Cagliari Calcio1:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 11.03.2001Monza 19121:0Cagliari CalcioSerie B
Coaching messages before kick-off
Juric has expressed optimism but says Monza still have substantial work to do.
Line-ups
Monza 1912
Starting XI: 1. Noel Tornqvist, 2. Saba Goglichidze, 7. Ricardo Mangas, 8. Manga Foe Ondoa, 9. Gustavo Miguel Varela, 14. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, 19. Samuele Birindelli, 44. Andrea Carboni, 46. Jay Robinson, 47. Dany Mota, 60. Eddy Kouadio
Substitutes: 6. Valentin Antov, 10. Patrick Cutrone, 11. Omari Forson, 16. Cyril Ngonge, 20. Demba Thiam, 21. Leonardo Colombo, 24. Adam Bakoune, 26. Patrick Ciurria, 28. Andrea Colpani, 43. Aljaz Strajnar, 80. Mathis Mout, 90. Michael Folorunsho
Coach: Ivan Juric
Cagliari Calcio
Starting XI: 1. Elia Caprile, 2. Jose Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas, 4. Alessandro Romano, 6. Harry Winks, 8. Michel Adopo, 15. Juan Martin Rodriguez Camejo, 18. M'Bala Nzola, 26. Yerry Mina, 31. Paul Mendy, 33. Adam Obert, 70. Daniel Maldini
Substitutes: 9. Kevin Omoruyi, 10. Jacopo Fazzini, 12. Alen Sherri, 14. Alessandro Deiola, 20. Riccardo Ciervo, 21. Roberto Gagliardini, 22. Raphael Kofler, 23. Boris Radunovic, 24. Giuseppe Aurelio, 27. Joseph Liteta, 28. Yukinari Sugawara, 32. Ivan Sulev, 39. Alieu Fadera, 79. Yanis Massolin
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Our Forecast
Our selection is Over (2) 1.53. Monza have scored and conceded in all six league rounds, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. Their last five matches also featured BTTS. Cagliari have conceded only three goals in six league fixtures.
Cagliari have scored in each of their last five matches, including against Juventus, Atalanta and Udinese. Their away league record is three wins from three, with four goals scored and one conceded. Monza’s two home league matches have produced four goals for and four against.
Monza are without Seballos, Maje, Toure, Pessina and Zulkowski, while Lukchesi is suspended. Cagliari will miss Idrissi, Trepy and Felici. Pisacane is also suspended, though he has indicated that a two-striker setup suits this fixture.
Three or more goals deliver a full win; exactly two return the stake. Expected score: 1:2.
Conclusion
Over (2) 1.53 is the choice: both teams’ scoring runs support a three-goal target, with a push if the match finishes with two goals.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
- Cremonesehome2:3
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:1
- Lecceaway2:3
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
- Leccehome1:0
- Hellas Veronahome1:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza 1912 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 30.03.2025Cagliari Calcio3:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 05.01.2025Monza 19121:2Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 16.03.2024Monza 19121:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 26.11.2023Cagliari Calcio1:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 11.03.2001Monza 19121:0Cagliari CalcioSerie B
About the match
- 19 October · 12:30 New York
- Venue: Brianteo (Monza)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A modest home preference in a balanced market
Monza’s 1X2 win probability is 39.5%, with the draw and Cagliari each at 30.3%. The home preference is narrow. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Under 2.5 goals has a 54.2% probability, while BTTS is marginally favoured at 52.3%. Neither goals market offers a decisive preference between Monza’s high-scoring fixtures and Cagliari’s low-concession games.
Our prediction
- Market
- Total Over (2)
- Odds
- 1.53
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.53
- Potential win
- 53 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.52
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +53 $