Frosinone Calcio vs Torino: Serie A Match Prediction
Frosinone Calcio
TorinoFrosinone host Torino at Stadio Benito Stirpe on November 1 in Serie A's tenth round. The hosts are sixth; Torino are ninth. A home win would extend that gap.
Frosinone: scoring power with defensive costs
Recent form and home advantage
Frosinone's last four league games brought a 0:3 defeat at Napoli, a 4:2 win over Sassuolo, a 4:4 draw at Atalanta and a 5:1 victory over Lecce. Including a friendly against Benevento, their five-match record is three wins, a draw and a defeat, with goals conceded in every match.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Four wins from five home league games, with 14 goals scored and six conceded.
- Over 2.5 goals in six of nine league fixtures; BTTS (both teams to score) in five.
- Two league clean sheets.
Personnel and availability
Antonio Raimondo leads the scorers with four goals in four appearances. Romano Schmid has two goals and an assist; Daniel Birligea has scored twice in two appearances. Florian Grillitsch is out with a muscle injury. Gabriele Bracaglia has four yellow cards and risks suspension but is not banned.
- Leccehome5:1
- Atalantaaway4:4
- Sassuolo Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway0:3
- Benevento Calciohome2:1
Torino: better away balance
A winning run interrupted
Torino followed a draw at Bologna with wins over Udinese, Parma and Monza before losing 1:3 to Como. They scored in all five matches. Their away league record is two wins, a draw and a defeat, with seven goals scored and four conceded.
Where the visitors carry a threat
- Torino have scored 14 league goals and conceded 14.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in seven of nine league games, a small sample.
- Giovanni Simeone has two goals and an assist; Che Adams has two goals; Rafik Belghali has one goal and two assists.
Absences across the defensive unit
Goalkeeper Franco Israel is out with a shoulder injury. Defenders Niccolo Fortini and Ricardo Rodriguez and midfielder Emir Ilhan are also unavailable. Rolando Mandragora is doubtful with a thigh problem.
- Comohome1:3
- Monza 1912home3:2
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
Recent meetings favoured caution
Frosinone are unbeaten in the three official meetings over the past five years, with one win and two draws. Their away Coppa Italia victory in November 2023 was followed by two goalless league draws. The latest was in April 2024, making them less relevant to the teams' current scoring patterns.
- 21.04.2024Torino0:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 10.12.2023Frosinone Calcio0:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 02.11.2023Torino1:2Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 10.03.2019Frosinone Calcio1:2TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 05.10.2018Torino3:2Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
A record start and unequal recovery time
Frosinone's 22 goals through nine rounds set a Serie A record for a returning promoted club. Their 17-point start matches a promoted-team benchmark last reached by Juventus in 2007/08. They played on Thursday, after Torino's latest fixture, leaving less recovery time.
Ignazio Abate's Torino have been pragmatic and effective against comparable or weaker opposition, but less successful against stronger sides. Frosinone sit above them.
Our pick: home advantage with draw protection
Our selection is Handicap 1 (0) 1.5. Frosinone have won four of five home league matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding six. That attacking output makes backing the hosts preferable to relying on a clean sheet. According to media reports, Torino will be without goalkeeper Franco Israel and defender Ricardo Rodriguez through injury, reducing their options.
The draw protection matters: Torino have lost just once in four away league fixtures, conceding only four goals. Frosinone also have less recovery time after playing on October 29, while Florian Grillitsch is unavailable. Those drawbacks argue against an unprotected home-win bet, even with the hosts' stronger scoring record at this venue. The predicted score is 2:1 to Frosinone.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.5 backs Frosinone's home attack while returning the stake if the match ends level. Torino's away resilience makes that safeguard preferable to taking the home win outright.
FAQ
When does Frosinone Calcio — Torino kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 09:00 (New York), Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone).
What is the prediction for Frosinone Calcio — Torino?
Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.5.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Frosinone Calcio win — 48%, draw — 25%, Torino win — 27%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Leccehome5:1
- Atalantaaway4:4
- Sassuolo Calciohome4:2
- Napoliaway0:3
- Benevento Calciohome2:1
- Comohome1:3
- Monza 1912home3:2
- Parmaaway3:0
- Udinese Calciohome2:1
- Bologna 1909away1:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna 1909 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Cagliari Calcio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 13 |
Head-to-head
- 21.04.2024Torino0:0Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 10.12.2023Frosinone Calcio0:0TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 02.11.2023Torino1:2Frosinone CalcioCoppa Italia
- 10.03.2019Frosinone Calcio1:2TorinoItaly. Serie A
- 05.10.2018Torino3:2Frosinone CalcioItaly. Serie A
About the match
- 1 November · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
- Weather: 13° · precip. 88% · wind 2.1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 01.11 04:30
A modest home lean, not a firm favourite
The 1X2 market assigns Frosinone a 44% chance of winning, Torino 31.5% and the draw 24.5%. The hosts are favourites but remain below an even chance. No meaningful odds movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
BTTS is the preferred bet at a 67.4% probability; Under 3.5 goals has a narrower edge at 54.2%.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.5
- Odds at prediction
- 1.64
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 58%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
