Serie A Match Prediction: Como vs Unione Venezia
Como
Unione VeneziaComo host Unione Venezia at Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A’s tenth round on November 1. The hosts sit fourth, five points behind leaders Inter; Venezia are bottom. The immediate stakes are Como’s place near the top and Venezia’s attempt to close the gap at the foot of the table.
Como: momentum built on regular scoring
Recent form and home record
Cesc Fabregas’s side have won four consecutive matches across all competitions, most recently beating Torino 3:1 away. Their last five outings included a 4:1 home win over Manchester United. In the league, Como have six wins, two draws and one defeat; at home they remain unbeaten after three matches, with four goals scored and just one conceded.
Attacking strength, fewer clean sheets
Como average 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded in Serie A. They have scored in every one of their last five matches, but conceded in four. BTTS has landed in six of nine league games, Over 2.5 in five, and only two have ended with a clean sheet. The home defensive record is stronger than the overall clean-sheet count, although three fixtures are too few to establish a firm pattern.
Personnel and availability
Moise Kean is unavailable after shin surgery, with recovery expected to take around five weeks. Anastasios Douvikas leads Como’s listed league scorers with three goals in four appearances; Nicolas Paz Martinez has two goals and two assists in three.
- Torinoaway3:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
Venezia: away defeats and limited output
A narrow win amid four losses
Venezia’s last five matches brought one victory and four defeats. The 1:0 win over Napoli was followed by losses at Genoa and at home to Inter, without scoring in either. Their league record stands at one win and eight defeats, while all four away fixtures have been lost, with a combined goal tally of three for and nine against.
Where the numbers expose the weakness
The visitors average 0.67 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per league match. They have kept one clean sheet, while BTTS and Over 2.5 have each occurred in three of nine games. Their low scoring rate has therefore limited totals despite the defensive losses: conceding regularly has not automatically produced high-scoring matches.
Two possible returns
Gianluca Busio has recovered from injury and could return to the starting lineup. Armel Bella-Kotchap is back in training and also competing to start, while Thierry Correia remains doubtful with a muscle problem. These are possible selections rather than a confirmed XI.
- Internazionale Milanohome0:2
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
- Laziohome0:2
Head-to-head: balanced results, home advantage
The six official meetings over the past five years produced two wins apiece and two draws. Both Serie A encounters ended level, 2:2 and 1:1, and four of the six meetings featured goals from both teams. That history offers Venezia encouragement, but predates the current gap in league performance.
- 08.03.2025Como1:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 08.12.2024Unione Venezia2:2ComoItaly. Serie A
- 03.03.2024Como2:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie B
- 20.08.2023Unione Venezia3:0ComoItaly. Serie B
- 01.04.2023Unione Venezia3:2ComoItaly. Serie B
Match news beyond the team sheets
Como defender Jacobo Ramon is attracting interest from several Premier League clubs. No expert match assessment or confirmed transfer development accompanies that report.
Our pick: Como to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.28. Como have scored 17 goals in nine league games and at least twice in each of their last five matches across all competitions. That scoring pattern makes the hosts’ goal total preferable to a bet dependent on Venezia contributing.
Venezia have conceded 19 goals in nine rounds, with nine allowed across four away defeats: 2.25 per trip. Como’s home league return of four goals in three games is the main caution, so their recent scoring pace should not be treated as a guarantee. According to media reports, Moise Kean is out following shin surgery, while Venezia defender Armel Bella-Kotchap has returned to training. Confirmed starting line-ups are unavailable. Even with those qualifications, the visitors’ away defensive record supports the two-goal target. Predicted score: 2:0.
Final call
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.28 is our selection: it targets Como’s attack without requiring a clean sheet or a high-scoring contribution from Venezia.
FAQ
When does Como — Unione Venezia kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 06:30 (New York), Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como).
What is the prediction for Como — Unione Venezia?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.28.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Como win — 73%, draw — 16%, Unione Venezia win — 10%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Torinoaway3:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
- Internazionale Milanohome0:2
- Genoaaway0:1
- Napolihome1:0
- Atalantaaway1:3
- Laziohome0:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Unione Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 08.03.2025Como1:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie A
- 08.12.2024Unione Venezia2:2ComoItaly. Serie A
- 03.03.2024Como2:1Unione VeneziaItaly. Serie B
- 20.08.2023Unione Venezia3:0ComoItaly. Serie B
- 01.04.2023Unione Venezia3:2ComoItaly. Serie B
About the match
- 1 November · 06:30 New York
- Venue: Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), Komo
- Weather: 12° · precip. 8% · wind 2.4 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 07:40
Market: strong home favouritism, closer goal markets
Como are clear favourites in 1X2, with a margin-free market probability of 73.4%; the draw stands at 16.2% and an away win at 10.4%. There has been no notable movement over the past 24 hours.
The goal markets are less decisive: Under 3.5 carries 52.6%, while BTTS is assessed at 55.4%. Those lines are also unchanged. The contrast is between confidence in the hosts’ result and a much narrower judgement on total goals and whether Venezia contribute to the scoring.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.28
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
