Como vs Sassuolo Calcio: Serie A Match Prediction
Como
Sassuolo CalcioMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4) 1.29 pending
Como host Sassuolo Calcio at Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A’s eighth round. Como are fifth with 14 points, while Sassuolo sit 13th with 8. The hosts are five points behind the leaders and are protecting a strong start; Sassuolo need to stop a slide that has produced one point across their last three league rounds.
Como: strong recent response, but a short squad
Form, home profile and performance balance
Como’s last five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. The sequence ended with a 4:1 home win over Manchester United after a 3:1 away victory at Fiorentina, giving the team two consecutive wins. Before that, Como lost 0:2 at Frosinone, drew 0:0 with Roma and lost 2:3 at Feyenoord. In Serie A, they have scored 12 and conceded 7 in seven matches; both teams scored in five of those games.
The home league sample is limited to two matches, but it contains one win and one draw, with Como scoring twice and conceding once. Their table position reflects a productive attack and a relatively controlled defence.
Strengths, vulnerabilities and availability
- Como average 1.71 goals scored per league match and 1 conceded.
- They have scored in three of their last five matches.
- A clean sheet has arrived only once in seven league matches, while both teams scored in five.
- Moise Kean is doubtful; Trevor Chalobah, Leny Yoro, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Gonzalo Borges, Shaqil van Persie, Caraballo, Assane Diao, Jesus Rodriguez and Reiss Nelson are listed as unavailable. Mattia Liberali is also doubtful.
Nicolas Paz Martinez leads the listed Como performers with one goal and one assist in two league appearances. Mattia Liberali has one goal in one appearance, while Anastasios Douvikas has one in two. Addai, Goldaniga and Lahdo have returned to training and are available.
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
- Romahome0:0
- Frosinone Calcioaway0:2
Sassuolo: reliable scoring, persistent defensive leakage
Recent results and away pattern
Sassuolo’s last five matches produced one win, two draws and two defeats. They found the net in every game and also conceded in every game. Their latest result was a 2:4 away loss at Frosinone. Earlier came a 2:2 draw at Bologna, a 3:2 home victory over Juventus, a 1:2 defeat at Monza and a 1:1 draw with Milan.
The league record is two wins, two draws and three defeats, with 12 goals for and 14 against. Sassuolo have scored in all seven league matches, but the defensive record is the weakest side of the comparison: two goals conceded per match and no clean sheet. Away from home they have no wins, one draw and three defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 10.
Key qualities and squad losses
- Both teams scored in all seven league matches involving Sassuolo.
- Six of seven league games went over two and a half goals.
- Domenico Berardi, Cas Odenthal and Kristian Thorstvedt have one league goal each in two appearances.
- Defender Fedde Leysen, midfielders Daniel Boloca and Ismael Kone, and Jay Idzes are listed as unavailable.
The absences affect the defensive and central-midfield structure at a time when Sassuolo already concede two goals per league match. Alberto Aquilani is the head coach.
- Frosinone Calcioaway2:4
- Milanhome1:1
- Monza 1912away1:2
- Juventushome3:2
- Bologna 1909away2:2
Head-to-head record favours the home side
There have been three official meetings over the last five years. Como won two and Sassuolo won one, with no draws. Both Como victories came at Sinigaglia: 3:0 in the Coppa Italia and 2:0 in Serie A. Sassuolo’s only success was a 2:1 home win in April.
The sample is small, but it combines a clear venue advantage with a low concession total for Como. The latest meeting was decided by a narrow margin, so the earlier clean-sheet wins should be treated as context rather than a direct scoreline template.
- 17.04.2026Sassuolo Calcio2:1ComoItaly. Serie A
- 28.11.2025Como2:0Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 24.09.2025Como3:0Sassuolo CalcioCoppa Italia
Team news and motivation before kick-off
Cesc Fabregas has called the league Como’s main priority and said the squad must move calmly after the Manchester United win. He also indicated that only 15 players were available for that Champions League match, which makes the injury list relevant despite the positive momentum. Nico Paz scored twice and added an assist in that victory, while Jacobo Ramon also scored.
Sassuolo are regarded as unstable after collecting one point in their last three league rounds, and their defensive record is among the poorest in Serie A. The 2:4 defeat at Frosinone reinforced that concern.
Our pick: Como to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.4. Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals in seven league matches without keeping a clean sheet. Away from home, they have allowed 10 in four games: those concessions make Como’s scoring total the focus rather than the match result.
The visitors are missing defender Fedde Leysen and Jay Idzes, plus holding midfielder Daniel Boloca through injury, reducing their options both in defence and directly ahead of it. Como have won two consecutive matches, with Nico Paz contributing two goals and an assist against Manchester United. There is a counterweight: the hosts have scored only twice in two home league games, while Moise Kean and Mattia Liberali are doubtful. The home sample is small, though, and Sassuolo’s away concessions offer a stronger argument for two Como goals. A 2:1 home win is the projected score.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.4 targets Sassuolo’s depleted defensive unit without requiring Como to keep a clean sheet or win the match.
FAQ
When does Como — Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 09:00 (New York), Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como).
What is the prediction for Como — Sassuolo Calcio?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.4.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Como win — 65%, draw — 20%, Sassuolo Calcio win — 15%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
- Feyenoordaway2:3
- Romahome0:0
- Frosinone Calcioaway0:2
- Frosinone Calcioaway2:4
- Milanhome1:1
- Monza 1912away1:2
- Juventushome3:2
- Bologna 1909away2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo Calcio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza 1912 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 17.04.2026Sassuolo Calcio2:1ComoItaly. Serie A
- 28.11.2025Como2:0Sassuolo CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 24.09.2025Como3:0Sassuolo CalcioCoppa Italia
About the match
- 24 October · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), Komo
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 1.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 24.10 03:10
Market view and goal lines
The market makes Como the clear favourite, assigning a 64.6% probability to a home win, compared with 20.4% for a draw and 15.1% for an away win. The line has shown no noticeable movement over the last 24 hours, so the assessment is stable rather than reacting to late price changes.
The goal market is more balanced: Under 3.5 goals is marginally favoured at 54.5%, while Over 3.5 stands at 45.6%. At the same time, “both teams to score” is rated at 59.6%. That combination reflects the central tension in the numbers: Sassuolo score consistently and concede heavily, while Como’s recent home results include both a goalless draw and a four-goal performance.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.4
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 67%
- Market estimate
- 66%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.4
- Potential win
- 40 $
- Status
- pending
