Cagliari Calcio vs Bologna 1909 Match Prediction in Serie A
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909More picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (0.5) 1.27 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4) 1.25 pending
Cagliari host Bologna at Unipol Domus on 24 October in Serie A’s eighth round. The hosts sit seventh with 13 points, while the visitors are 15th with five. Cagliari are level on points with sixth-placed Frosinone; Bologna have just a one-point cushion over Udinese below them.
Cagliari: results ahead of scoring output
Recent form and home balance
Cagliari’s last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with five goals scored and six conceded. Victories over Lecce, Atalanta and Udinese preceded a draw with Juventus and a 0:4 loss at Monza. At home, their three league appearances have produced one win, one draw and one defeat, with two goals at each end.
Strengths and vulnerabilities
- Three clean sheets in seven league games show an ability to protect narrow margins.
- Just six goals scored leave little room for defensive mistakes.
- Only two league matches featured Over 2.5 goals, and BTTS occurred twice.
Availability and attacking options
Fabio Pisacane is without Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi through cruciate ligament injuries, while Yael Trepy is also injured. Daniel Maldini has one goal in two appearances; Paul Mendy has one assist in two. A probable starting XI, formation and suspension details are not supplied.
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
- Leccehome1:0
Bologna: scoring without defensive security
Recent results and away record
Bologna’s last five fixtures yielded one win, two draws and two defeats, with six goals scored and eight conceded. Their sequence ran through Sassuolo, Napoli and Torino before a win at Lecce and a 1:3 defeat against Inter. On the road this season, they have one victory and two losses, scoring twice and conceding three times.
Where the balance breaks down
- No clean sheets in seven league matches leave the attack repeatedly needing to respond.
- They scored in four of their last five games but conceded in all five.
- BTTS occurred in four league fixtures; three finished Over 2.5 goals.
Gilardino’s selection issues
Alberto Gilardino is without Roberto Piccoli and Riccardo Orsolini through thigh injuries, while Emil Holm is also unavailable. Jens Odgaard has resumed team training, which does not confirm match readiness. Orsolini, Tommaso Pobega and Jay Enem each have one league goal. No probable XI, formation or suspension details are supplied.
- Internazionale Milanohome1:3
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
- Napoliaway0:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:2
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Bologna have won six of the nine official meetings across five years, against two Cagliari wins and one draw. The latest encounter finished goalless in May 2026, following three consecutive Bologna victories. Across the eight listed matches, the teams scored 17 goals; four featured BTTS and four went Over 2.5. That history is more balanced on goals than on results.
- 03.05.2026Bologna 19090:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 19.10.2025Cagliari Calcio0:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 02.03.2025Bologna 19092:1Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 29.10.2024Cagliari Calcio0:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 14.01.2024Cagliari Calcio2:1Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
Response to defeat shapes the build-up
Cagliari’s stated focus is a response to their heavy loss at Monza. The assessment surrounding Bologna stresses their ability to trouble stronger opposition despite losing to Inter. No named expert opinions or comparable strength assessment are supplied, so those comments should not be treated as evidence of a tactical advantage.
Our pick: Bologna to score
At Unipol Domus, Bologna’s route to a return from this Serie A fixture need not depend on winning: our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.37. The visitors have scored in four of their last five matches, while Cagliari have conceded in three of five, including four goals in their latest outing. That combination supports backing a single away goal rather than an away victory.
The caution is Bologna’s modest away output: two goals across three league trips. Roberto Piccoli and Riccardo Orsolini are unavailable through thigh injuries, reducing their attacking options. Still, Bologna scored against Inter. Cagliari’s two goals conceded across three home fixtures also argue against expecting a large away tally. Expected score: 1:1.
Final verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.37 is the selection: one Bologna goal is a narrower requirement than overcoming their poor results, with the attacking absences keeping confidence measured.
FAQ
When does Cagliari Calcio — Bologna 1909 kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 09:00 (New York), Unipol Domus (Cagliari).
What is the prediction for Cagliari Calcio — Bologna 1909?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.37.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Cagliari Calcio win — 32%, draw — 32%, Bologna 1909 win — 35%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Monza 1912away0:4
- Juventushome1:1
- Udinese Calcioaway1:0
- Atalantaaway2:1
- Leccehome1:0
- Internazionale Milanohome1:3
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
- Napoliaway0:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari Calcio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Monza 1912 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna 1909 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese Calcio | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 4 |
Head-to-head
- 03.05.2026Bologna 19090:0Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 19.10.2025Cagliari Calcio0:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 02.03.2025Bologna 19092:1Cagliari CalcioItaly. Serie A
- 29.10.2024Cagliari Calcio0:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 14.01.2024Cagliari Calcio2:1Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
About the match
- 24 October · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Unipol Domus (Cagliari), Kalʹyari
- Weather: 21° · precip. 0% · wind 6.6 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 24.10 03:10
A modest away lean in the market
Bologna are favourites, but their 39.2% away-win probability falls well short of majority confidence. The draw is assessed at 31.5% and a home win at 29.4%. That ordering contrasts with the current table, while the visitors’ head-to-head advantage offers a separate historical perspective.
Under 2.5 goals carries a 56% probability. BTTS is much closer to balanced, with “Yes” at 50.8%. All listed markets have remained broadly unchanged over the past 24 hours: there is no recorded move towards either side or either goals direction.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (0.5)
- Current odds
- 1.37
- Odds at prediction
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 69%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.32
- Potential win
- 32 $
- Status
- pending
