Bologna 1909 vs Monza 1912: Serie A Match Prediction
Bologna 1909
Monza 1912Bologna 1909 host Monza 1912 at Renato Dall'Ara in Round 10 of Serie A. Bologna are eleventh on 11 points; Monza are sixteenth on 7.
Bologna 1909: momentum restored away from home
Recent form, profile and squad situation
Bologna have won three of their last five matches, drawn one and lost one, scoring 10 and conceding 7. They scored in all five, including a 4:2 win at Milan and a 2:0 victory at Cagliari in their two most recent away fixtures. Their league home record is weaker: no wins in four matches, two draws and two defeats, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded.
Across nine league games, Bologna have scored 12 and conceded 12. BTTS landed in 5 matches and Over 2.5 in 4, with one clean sheet. Their transition attack has produced at least two goals in each of their last three league wins, but their home results and defensive record limit confidence in a home-win bet.
Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda leads the team with 3 goals in 2 appearances; Tommaso Pobega has 1 goal in 4 matches. Riccardo Orsolini, with 1 goal in 1 league appearance, is out with a hamstring injury. Roberto Piccoli is unavailable with a muscle injury, right-back Emil Holm has a hamstring problem, and Jay Enem is doubtful.
Bologna's starting eleven and formation are unconfirmed. Raffaele Palladino expects Artem Dovbyk to show his strengths after leaving him unused against Milan.
- Milanaway4:2
- Cagliari Calcioaway2:0
- Internazionale Milanohome1:3
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
Monza 1912: attacking output without defensive control
Form, away record and absences
Monza have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. They scored in every game and conceded in four. Their latest result was a 1:4 home defeat to Napoli, following a 2:3 loss at Torino; the sequence also includes a 4:0 win over Cagliari.
Away from home in the league, Monza have no wins in five trips, with one draw and four defeats, 7 goals scored and 14 conceded. Across nine league matches, they have scored 16 and allowed 22. BTTS occurred in 8 matches and Over 2.5 in 8, with one clean sheet. Their scoring has been consistent, but conceding at that rate leaves little margin for their attack.
Gustavo Miguel Varela leads the scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist in 4 matches; Jay Robinson has 1 goal and 1 assist in 3. Matteo Pessina is out with a knee injury and Jan Ziolkowski with a heel-spur problem. Ivan Maje and Michael Folorunsho are doubtful. Lorenzo Luccesi has returned after suspension. Monza's starting lineup and formation are unconfirmed.
- Napolihome1:4
- Torinoaway2:3
- Cagliari Calciohome4:0
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
Head-to-head record favors the hosts
Across seven official meetings in the last five years, Bologna have won four, drawn two and lost one, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4. The latest four meetings included Bologna wins of 2:1, 4:0 and 3:1, alongside a 0:0 draw. Monza's only victory in the series came at Bologna by 1:0 in February 2023.
Four of the seven meetings produced two goals or fewer, and Bologna kept three clean sheets. That scoring pattern contrasts with Monza's current league results.
- 18.01.2025Bologna 19093:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 03.12.2024Bologna 19094:0Monza 1912Coppa Italia
- 22.09.2024Monza 19121:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 13.04.2024Bologna 19090:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 28.09.2023Monza 19120:0Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
Team news and the pre-match context
Bologna arrive after two successive wins, while Monza have lost their last two. The hosts' absences reduce their attacking options and cover at right-back; Dovbyk's selection remains unresolved after Palladino's comments.
Mild weather, no expected rain and light wind should leave playing conditions largely unaffected.
Our pick: protection against the draw
Bologna face Monza at Renato Dall'Ara with a chance to move above 11 points. Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) 1.28: the hosts have won twice in succession, while the visitors have lost their last two matches. Monza's away return of one draw and four defeats, with 14 goals conceded, makes backing Bologna preferable to relying on a goals market.
The draw protection matters because Bologna have yet to win in four home league games. Their recent progress has come on the road, so it should not be treated as proof that their home problems are solved. Still, three consecutive head-to-head wins strengthen the case for the hosts. Monza also lack Matteo Pessina through a knee injury. Bologna's own absences temper confidence, but their four goals at Milan without Riccardo Orsolini show they can score without him. Predicted score: 2:1.
Final verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.28 backs Bologna's stronger recent results while returning the stake if the match is drawn. That safeguard suits a home side whose improvement has not yet produced a league win at this venue.
FAQ
When does Bologna 1909 — Monza 1912 kick off?
The match starts on 31.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).
What is the prediction for Bologna 1909 — Monza 1912?
Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.28.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Bologna 1909 win — 57%, draw — 25%, Monza 1912 win — 19%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Milanaway4:2
- Cagliari Calcioaway2:0
- Internazionale Milanohome1:3
- Lecceaway2:1
- Torinohome1:1
- Napolihome1:4
- Torinoaway2:3
- Cagliari Calciohome4:0
- Lazioaway1:3
- Stade Brestois 29away2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cagliari Calcio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Bologna 1909 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo Calcio | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Monza 1912 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese Calcio | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 18.01.2025Bologna 19093:1Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 03.12.2024Bologna 19094:0Monza 1912Coppa Italia
- 22.09.2024Monza 19121:2Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
- 13.04.2024Bologna 19090:0Monza 1912Italy. Serie A
- 28.09.2023Monza 19120:0Bologna 1909Italy. Serie A
About the match
- 31 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), Bolonʹya
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 0.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 01:20
Market view and goal lines
The market assigns Bologna a 56% probability of a home win, compared with 24.7% for a draw and 19.3% for an away win. The visitors' away record and the head-to-head results support that preference, but Bologna's winless home start argues against treating them as a secure favorite.
Over 2.5 has a 52.1% probability, against 47.9% for Under 2.5. BTTS Yes stands at 52.6%, compared with 47.4% for BTTS No. All listed lines have remained stable over the last 24 hours.
BTTS Yes is the betting preference, given both teams' recent scoring and limited clean-sheet returns. The low-scoring head-to-head record and Bologna's attacking absences keep confidence modest.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.28
- Odds at prediction
- 1.29
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
