Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers Match Prediction: Scottish Premier League
Heart of Midlothian
RangersMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.25 won
Match result
Heart of Midlothian 2:2 Rangers (0:1, 2:1)
The match between Heart of Midlothian and Rangers in the Scotland Premier League ended in a 2:2 draw, with period scores of 0:1 and 2:1. Following this result, our prediction for Individual Total 2 Over (1) won, as the away team scored two goals.
Our prediction: Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.25 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.25 — the bet won.
Heart of Midlothian host Rangers at Tynecastle in Edinburgh on 28 October in round 11 of the Scottish Premiership. Third-placed Hearts have 19 points, four behind their visitors in second. Rangers trail Celtic by four points: this meeting directly affects both the title chase and the gap between the nearest challengers.
Hearts: home strength meets defensive absences
Recent results and scoring patterns
Hearts’ last five matches brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with nine goals scored and ten conceded. The sequence ran from a 5:0 win over St. Mirren through a 1:1 draw with Nordsjaelland, losses to Celtic and Trabzonspor, then a 2:0 recovery at Motherwell. Seven of those ten goals conceded came in the Celtic defeat, rather than being spread evenly across the run.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Four league home games have produced four wins and a 13:2 goal balance; Hearts are unbeaten in eight at Tynecastle across competitions.
- Their 22 league goals exceed Rangers’ tally, but 15 conceded expose the weaker side of their season.
- Over 2.5 goals occurred in eight of ten league games, with BTTS in seven and three clean sheets.
Availability and selection
Harry Milne is out for the season with an ACL injury; Christian Borchgrevink is sidelined by a hamstring problem and Stuart Findlay by a groin issue. Oisin McEntee is expected to miss out with a muscle problem. Tom Renaud, Blair Spittal and Craig Halkett remain absent, while Ageu is also expected to miss the game. The concentration of defensive absences reduces the options for protecting that home record.
- Motherwellaway2:0
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- Celticaway1:7
- Nordsjaellandhome1:1
- St. Mirrenhome5:0
Rangers: fewer concessions, unbeaten away
Momentum across the last five
Rangers have four wins and a draw in their last five matches, scoring 13 and conceding three. Two victories over Celtic preceded a 3:1 win against Kilmarnock, a 2:2 draw at Dundee and a 4:0 defeat of St. Johnstone. Their unbeaten sequence across all competitions now spans nine games.
Where the visitors differ
- Five league away fixtures have yielded three wins and two draws, with seven goals scored and four conceded.
- Seven wins from ten league matches reflect greater overall consistency than Hearts, despite lower scoring output.
- Rangers concede 0.7 goals per league game; five clean sheets contrast with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurring in half their fixtures.
Absentees and a returning option
Lawrence Shankland is injured and expected back in training in December; Youssef Chermiti is out with a cruciate ligament injury. Ross McCrorie, Cammy Devlin, Daisuke Yokota, Jose Cifuentes and John Souttar are unavailable. Tuur Rommens returned as a second-half substitute against St. Johnstone. Derek McInnes reported no new injury problems afterwards, rather than a return of every absentee.
- St. Johnstonehome4:0
- Dundeeaway2:2
- Kilmarnockhome3:1
- Celticaway1:0
- Celtichome3:0
Recent meetings soften Rangers’ historical edge
Rangers have won nine of the 15 official meetings over five years, with three Hearts wins and three draws. Yet Hearts won three of the latest four, including the most recent encounter, 2:1 at Tynecastle in May. Five featured BTTS and five exceeded 2.5 goals. The longer record favours Rangers more clearly than the recent sequence.
- 04.05.2026Heart of Midlothian2:1RangersScotland. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 15.02.2026Rangers4:2Heart of MidlothianScotland. Premier League
- 21.12.2025Heart of Midlothian2:1RangersScotland. Premier League
- 13.09.2025Rangers0:2Heart of MidlothianScotland. Premier League
- 16.02.2025Heart of Midlothian1:3RangersScotland. Premier League
Coaches frame the Tynecastle return
Wouter Vrancken acknowledged Rangers’ individual quality but stressed that it remains 11 against 11. McInnes expects a hostile reception following his departure from Hearts and their captain’s move to Rangers. The supplied data does not include confirmed line-ups, formations, suspension updates or independent expert opinions.
Line-ups
Heart of Midlothian
Starting XI: 1. Beau Reus, 5. Jamie McCart, 7. Calvin Miller, 10. Claudio Braga, 15. Joshua McPake, 22. Teitur Magnusson, 23. Jordi Altena, 29. Sabah Kerjota, 64. Malachi Walcott, 74. Rogers Mato, 78. Laurent Mendy
Substitutes: 3. Stephen Kingsley, 9. JJ Williams, 11. Pierre Landry Kabore, 19. Sabri Guendouz, 21. James Wilson, 30. Ryan Fulton, 31. Yan Dhanda, 33. Finlay Pollock, 77. Amadou Ba Sy
Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Rangers
Starting XI: 1. Ivor Pandur, 6. Daniel Neill, 10. Kim Min-Su, 19. Kevin Kelsy, 20. Ryan Don Naderi, 21. Dujon Sterling, 23. Djeidi Gassama, 24. Olwethu Makhanya, 29. James Penrice, 37. Emmanuel Fernandez, 43. Nicolas Raskin
Substitutes: 4. Ben Godfrey, 18. Kosta Nedeljkovic, 22. Vanja Dragojevic, 25. Ромменс Туур, 26. Badredine Bouanani, 28. Bojan Miovski, 31. Liam Kelly, 42. Tochi Chukwuani, 52. Findlay Curtis
Coach: Derek McInnes
Our pick: Rangers to find scoring room
Rangers visit Hearts at Tynecastle with a four-point gap to Celtic to close. Our selection is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.25: the visitors average 1.7 league goals per match and have scored in each of their last five games across all competitions. Their nine-match unbeaten run adds confidence, though this bet depends on goals rather than an away victory.
Hearts have conceded 15 goals in ten league matches, and, according to media reports, defenders Harry Milne, Christian Borchgrevink, Stuart Findlay and Craig Halkett are unavailable through injury. That reduces their defensive options against an attack scoring regularly. The counterweight is substantial: Hearts have allowed just two goals in four home league fixtures, while Rangers have scored seven in five away games. Our projected score is 1:2.
Verdict on the goal line
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.25 targets the weakened Hearts defence without requiring Rangers to win. Two or more away goals win the bet; exactly one returns the stake, providing protection against a narrower attacking return.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Motherwellaway2:0
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- Celticaway1:7
- Nordsjaellandhome1:1
- St. Mirrenhome5:0
- St. Johnstonehome4:0
- Dundeeaway2:2
- Kilmarnockhome3:1
- Celticaway1:0
- Celtichome3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 15 |
Head-to-head
- 04.05.2026Heart of Midlothian2:1RangersScotland. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 15.02.2026Rangers4:2Heart of MidlothianScotland. Premier League
- 21.12.2025Heart of Midlothian2:1RangersScotland. Premier League
- 13.09.2025Rangers0:2Heart of MidlothianScotland. Premier League
- 16.02.2025Heart of Midlothian1:3RangersScotland. Premier League
About the match
- 28 October · 16:00 New York
- Venue: Tynecastle (Edinburgh), Edinburg
Odds
odds before kick-off
A modest away lean in the market
Rangers are favourites, but their margin-free win probability of 44.7% is below an even chance. The market leans towards Over rather than Under and towards BTTS, weighing Hearts’ home scoring against Rangers’ stronger defensive record. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours, so there is no fresh directional signal from the line.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 79%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.18
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +25 $