Al-Qadisiyah vs Al-Hilal Riyadh Forecast: Saudi Pro League
Al-Qadisiyah
Al-Hilal RiyadhMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.31 won
Match result
Al-Qadisiyah 2:3 Al-Hilal Riyadh (1:1, 1:2)
In the Saudi Professional League, Al-Qadisiyah took on Al-Hilal Riyadh, ending in a 2:3 result. The score was 1:1 after the first period and 1:2 in the second period. Our prediction for the match was Both Teams To Score - Yes, and the bet won.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.4 — the bet won.
Al-Qadisiyah host Al-Hilal Riyadh at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium in Dammam on 23 October in round 11 of the Saudi Professional League. The leaders have 25 points; their visitors sit one point behind with a game in hand. First place is directly at stake.
Al-Qadisiyah: home defence under scrutiny
Recent results and scoring balance
Al-Qadisiyah are unbeaten in five matches across all competitions: four wins, one draw and an 11–3 aggregate. Their latest three results were a 1–1 draw at Pakhtakor, a 2–1 home win over Abha and a 1–0 victory at Al-Taawon. They scored in every match of that five-game sequence, although three opponents also found the net.
Strengths and vulnerabilities
- The league record is eight wins, one draw and one defeat, with 24 goals scored and nine conceded.
- At home, three wins in five come with an 11–8 goal balance: 1.6 conceded per match.
- Away from home, the remaining five league fixtures produced five wins and a 13–1 aggregate.
- Four league clean sheets contrast with BTTS in five of ten matches; six fixtures exceeded 2.5 goals.
Personnel and attacking contributors
Centre-back Walid Al-Ahmad is out with a cruciate ligament rupture. Retegui has two goals and two assists in three league appearances, Reynders two goals and one assist over the same span, and Bonsu Baakh one of each. Those short samples identify contributors rather than establish a full-season attacking hierarchy.
- Al-Taawonaway1:0
- Abhahome2:1
- Pakhtakor Tashkentaway1:1
- Al Kholoodaway5:0
- Al Waslhome2:1
Al-Hilal Riyadh: maximum points on the road
Winning run and workload
Al-Hilal have won their last five matches, scoring 14 and conceding three. The latest sequence includes a 3–2 win over Al-Ittihad, a 2–0 victory at Al Sadd and a 1–0 home success against Al Hazem. Their last fixture was on 19 October, giving them one more recovery day than the hosts.
Where the visitors stand out
- Eight wins in nine league matches have yielded 27 goals, an average of three per game.
- All four away league fixtures ended in wins, with 16 scored and only one conceded.
- Five clean sheets and seven goals conceded indicate defensive efficiency, but nine matches remain a small sample.
- Six league games exceeded 2.5 goals, while only three featured BTTS: high totals have not required both attacks to contribute.
Coach and availability
Simone Inzaghi leads Al-Hilal, with defender Hamad Al-Yami unavailable because of a knee injury. Martinelli has two goals in two league appearances; Uotkins has one goal and two assists in two, while Sammervill has scored once in two appearances.
- Al Hazem Rasshome1:0
- Al Saddaway2:0
- Al-Ittihad Jeddahhome3:2
- Al-Gharafahome2:1
- Al-Taawonaway6:0
Recent meetings have favoured neither side
The four official meetings within the past five years produced one win apiece and two draws, with an aggregate of 7–6 to Al-Hilal. Both teams scored in three meetings, and the latest two finished 2–2. Al-Qadisiyah took a win and a draw from the two fixtures at their own ground; neither side kept a clean sheet there.
- 29.01.2026Al-Qadisiyah2:2Al-Hilal RiyadhSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 13.09.2025Al-Hilal Riyadh2:2Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 26.05.2025Al-Hilal Riyadh2:0Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 27.01.2025Al-Qadisiyah2:1Al-Hilal RiyadhSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 20.03.2021Al-Hilal Riyadh1:0Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
Team-sheet details still missing
No confirmed starting lineups, formations, suspension updates or expert comments are available, and no numerical strength comparison beyond the league standings is supplied.
Line-ups
Al-Qadisiyah
Starting XI: 1. Koen Casteels, 2. Saleh Abu Al-Shamat, 4. Jehad Thakri, 5. Julian Weigl, 8. Nahitan Nandez, 10. Musab Fahd Al-Juwayr, 14. Tijjani Reijnders, 17. Pedro Gaston Alvarez Sosa, 22. Christopher Bonsu Baah, 32. Mateo Retegui, 33. Julian Quinones
Substitutes: 7. Turki Al-Ammar, 9. Abdullah Al Salem, 12. Yasser Al-Shahrani, 15. Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani, 18. Abdulmalik Al Jaber, 27. Eyad Houssa, 28. Ahmed Al-Kassar, 35. Ahmed Khatir, 42. Abdulaziz Al Qarawi
Coach: Brendan Rodgers
Al-Hilal Riyadh
Starting XI: 2. Mohammed Mahzari, 3. Kalidou Koulibaly, 6. Nasser Al Dawsari, 7. Gabriel Martinelli, 8. Ruben Neves, 11. Ollie Watkins, 19. Theo Hernandez, 22. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, 37. Yassine Bounou, 38. Crysencio Summerville, 87. Hassan Mohammed Al Tambakti
Substitutes: 18. Murad Al-Hawsawi, 24. Moteb Al-Harbi, 27. Sultan Mandash, 28. Mohamed Kanno, 29. Salem Al-Dawsari, 33. Mohammed Al Owais, 72. Sabri Abdu Dahal, 77. Nawaf Al Habashi, 78. Ali Alawjami
Coach: Simone Inzaghi
Our Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah and Al-Hilal Riyadh meet with only one point separating them at the top of the Saudi Professional League, so both attacks have a clear incentive to impose their strengths. The hosts average 2.4 goals per league match and have scored in all five of their latest games across competitions. Their recent run includes four wins and 11 goals in the last five matches.
Al-Hilal provide the stronger scoring profile: 27 goals in nine league fixtures, an average of 3.0 per game, plus 16 goals in four away league matches. They have won their last five matches and scored in each of them. The defensive absences of Walid Al-Ahmad for Al-Qadisiyah and Hamad Al-Yami for Al-Hilal, according to media reports, add further risk at the back. Both teams scored in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, while the latest two ended 2:2.
Our bet — Both Teams To Score - Yes за 1.4. The likely score is 2:2.
Conclusion
Both Teams To Score - Yes is supported by Al-Qadisiyah’s five-match scoring streak, Al-Hilal’s 3.0-goal league average and the recent head-to-head pattern. The projected 2:2 score fits the attacking output of both leaders.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Al-Taawonaway1:0
- Abhahome2:1
- Pakhtakor Tashkentaway1:1
- Al Kholoodaway5:0
- Al Waslhome2:1
- Al Hazem Rasshome1:0
- Al Saddaway2:0
- Al-Ittihad Jeddahhome3:2
- Al-Gharafahome2:1
- Al-Taawonaway6:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Riyadh | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 22 |
Head-to-head
- 29.01.2026Al-Qadisiyah2:2Al-Hilal RiyadhSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 13.09.2025Al-Hilal Riyadh2:2Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 26.05.2025Al-Hilal Riyadh2:0Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 27.01.2025Al-Qadisiyah2:1Al-Hilal RiyadhSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 20.03.2021Al-Hilal Riyadh1:0Al-QadisiyahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
About the match
- 23 October · 14:00 New York
- Venue: Prince Mohamed bin Fahd (Ad Dammam), Ed-Dammam
Odds
odds before kick-off
Visitors favoured, but support has softened
Al-Hilal remain the 1X2 favourites at 45.8%, below an outright majority. Al-Qadisiyah carry 29.6% and the draw 24.6%. Over the past 24 hours, support has shifted towards the hosts and the draw, while confidence in an away win has weakened.
BTTS is priced at a 65.8% probability and has attracted stronger support. That expectation sits above either team's league frequency, although recent head-to-head scores offer a contrasting reference. Under 3.5 goals holds a narrower advantage at 55.5%, with no notable movement in the total-goals line.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.4
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.4
- Potential win
- 40 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.37
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +40 $