Abha — Al-Ittihad Jeddah Forecast: Saudi Professional League
Abha
Al-Ittihad JeddahMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.38 pending
Abha host Al-Ittihad Jeddah at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in round 12 of the Saudi Professional League on 30 October. The hosts are bottom, two points behind 17th-placed Al-Taawon; the visitors sit fourth, four points off leaders Al-Hilal. Abha need to end their winless run, while Al-Ittihad are trying to keep pace at the top.
Abha: limited scoring leaves little margin
Recent results and home record
Abha have one draw and four defeats in their last five matches. Their latest result, a 1-0 home loss to Al-Faisaly Harmah, extended their losing sequence to three games. At home this league season, they have no wins, one draw and three defeats, with two goals scored and five conceded.
Where the balance breaks down
- Across 10 league games, Abha have scored six goals and conceded 18, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
- They have kept just one clean sheet, leaving their low-output attack regularly needing more than a single goal.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in five league matches; their defensive record has not made every game high-scoring.
Personnel and attacking options
According to media reports, first-choice striker Batshuayi is injured and will miss the match. His absence reduces the options for an attack that has failed to score in its last two outings. Alimani Gory has one goal in three league appearances, while Safwan Aljohani has one assist over the same number of games.
- Al-Faisaly Harmahhome0:1
- Neom SCaway0:2
- Al-Qadisiyahaway1:2
- Al Draihaway0:0
- Al Nassraway1:2
Al-Ittihad: recovery driven by regular goals
Away output and recent momentum
Al-Ittihad have followed two defeats with three wins: 4-1 at Al Ettifaq, 2-0 against Al Draih and 2-1 away to Neftchi Fergana. They have found the net in each of their last five matches in all competitions. Their league away record is three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 10 goals scored and five allowed.
Attacking strength, defensive exposure
- Seven wins and two draws from 10 league games have produced 23 points, compared with Abha's two.
- BTTS has occurred in seven league fixtures, with only three clean sheets: opponents have usually found a route to goal.
- Six league matches have finished Over 2.5 goals, alongside an overall scoring average of two per game.
Players carrying the threat
Youssef En-Nesyri has three goals in three league appearances; George Ilenikhena has two goals and one assist in two, and Houssem Aouar has scored once in three. No confirmed team selection, tactical formation, injury or suspension information is available for the visitors.
- Neftchi Ferganaaway2:1
- Al Draihhome2:0
- Al Ettifaq Dammamaway4:1
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubaihome1:2
- Al-Hilal Riyadhaway2:3
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Al-Ittihad have won four of the five official meetings listed over the past five years, with Abha winning the latest encounter 3-1 in May 2024. None of these meetings is recent enough to establish the current teams' defensive level.
- 03.05.2024Abha3:1Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 10.11.2023Al-Ittihad Jeddah4:2AbhaSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 08.05.2023Al-Ittihad Jeddah4:0AbhaSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 31.12.2022Abha1:2Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 06.02.2022Abha0:4Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
Winless pressure and a short turnaround
Abha's winless sequence extends to 16 matches. Preparation time is also limited: they last played on 27 October, while Al-Ittihad played away in continental competition on 26 October. No expert comments or further match-specific team news are available.
Our Forecast
Abha host Al-Ittihad Jeddah at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium: the hosts are 18th with 2 points, while the visitors are fourth with 23. Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.46. Al-Ittihad have scored 20 goals in 10 league matches, including 10 in five away fixtures, and have found the net in each of their last five games. Their current run is three consecutive wins.
Abha’s defensive profile creates the clearest route to two away goals: 18 conceded in 10 league matches, including 5 in four home games. The hosts have lost eight of ten league fixtures, scored only 6 times, and have gone 16 matches without a win. Their attack is further weakened by the confirmed absence of main striker Batshuayi. Al-Ittihad’s leading scorers include En-Nesyri with 3 goals and Ilenikhena with 2. The expected score is 0:2.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.46 is supported by Al-Ittihad’s consistent scoring, strong away output and Abha’s 1.8 conceded per match. Two goals from the visitors fit both the statistical profile and the current personnel situation.
FAQ
When does Abha — Al-Ittihad Jeddah kick off?
The match starts on 30.10.2026 at 08:30 (New York), Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz (Abha).
What is the prediction for Abha — Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.46.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Abha win — 19%, draw — 22%, Al-Ittihad Jeddah win — 60%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Al-Faisaly Harmahhome0:1
- Neom SCaway0:2
- Al-Qadisiyahaway1:2
- Al Draihaway0:0
- Al Nassraway1:2
- Neftchi Ferganaaway2:1
- Al Draihhome2:0
- Al Ettifaq Dammamaway4:1
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubaihome1:2
- Al-Hilal Riyadhaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Qadisiyah | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | 21 |
| 17 | Al-Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5:19 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6:18 | 2 |
Head-to-head
- 03.05.2024Abha3:1Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 10.11.2023Al-Ittihad Jeddah4:2AbhaSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 08.05.2023Al-Ittihad Jeddah4:0AbhaSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 31.12.2022Abha1:2Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
- 06.02.2022Abha0:4Al-Ittihad JeddahSaudi Arabia. Saudi Professional League
About the match
- 30 October · 08:30 New York
- Venue: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz (Abha)
- Weather: 20° · precip. 67% · wind 2.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 30.10 05:10
Market confidence shifts towards Al-Ittihad
The visitors are clear favourites, with a margin-free win probability of 61.3%. Their price has shortened over the past 24 hours, while support for both the home win and draw has weakened.
Under 3.5 goals carries a 58.7% market probability, with no notable movement. BTTS remains more likely than not at 57.6%, but its price has drifted as the opposing side has shortened. That shift separates confidence in Al-Ittihad's result from confidence in Abha contributing a goal.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.46
- Odds at prediction
- 1.39
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.46
- Potential win
- 46 $
- Status
- pending