Rubin Kazan vs Krylia Sovetov Match Prediction in Premier League
Rubin Kazan
Krylia SovetovMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (0.5) 1.25 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.41 pending
Rubin Kazan host Krylia Sovetov at Ak Bars Arena in round 12 of the Russian Premier League. Both have 12 points after 11 matches.
Rubin Kazan: defensive decline and pressure at home
Rubin have lost three consecutive matches: 0:1 at home to Dynamo Moscow, 1:4 to Orenburg in the cup and 0:4 away to Spartak Moscow. Their last five games produced two draws and three defeats. They scored in three and conceded in all five. In the league, they have two wins, six draws and three defeats, with twelve goals for and sixteen against.
What shapes Rubin’s performance
- At home in the league, Rubin have one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring six goals and conceding seven.
- BTTS landed in nine of their eleven league matches; they have yet to keep a clean sheet.
- Only four league matches finished Over the main total line.
Ilya Samoshnikov returns from suspension, while Tanguy Ndombele, who arrived for a trial, will not play.
Coach Frank Artiga’s future remains in question, though his agent says he continues working with the team. Rubin have not won in the championship since August 30; Artiga has called the fixtures against Krylia and Fakel “two finals”.
- Spartak Moscowaway0:4
- Orenburghome1:4
- Dynamo Moscowhome0:1
- Rodina Moscowaway1:1
- CSKA Moscowaway1:1
Krylia Sovetov: stronger away record, unstable finishing
Krylia have two wins, six draws and three defeats in the league, scoring fifteen goals and conceding seventeen. Their last five matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats. They scored in four and conceded in four.
A 1:2 home loss to Fakel followed a 0:2 cup defeat against Baltika. Their only win in that five-match run came in a friendly against Akron.
Balance between attack and resistance
- Krylia are unbeaten away in the league, with one win and four draws from five matches.
- They have scored eight away goals and conceded five.
- BTTS landed in eight of eleven league games, while six finished Over the main total line.
- They have kept two league clean sheets.
Martin Kramaric leads Krylia’s league scoring with two goals in two appearances. Kirill Pechenin has one assist in two matches, while Mukailov has one from one appearance. Islam Chesnokov has returned to training after injury, with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported.
- Fakel Voronezhhome1:2
- Baltika Kaliningradhome0:2
- Spartak Moscowhome1:1
- Akron Tolyattihome4:0
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway1:1
Head-to-head record favours Krylia slightly
The seven official meetings over the last five years produced three Krylia victories, two Rubin wins and two draws. Rubin scored eight goals and conceded nine. The latest meeting ended 0:0; the previous two were a 2:0 Rubin win in Kazan and a goalless draw in Samara.
Rubin won the last two home league meetings, with a 2:1 victory preceding that win. Krylia won 2:0 in the preceding Kazan fixture. Four of the last five official encounters featured a clean sheet, with BTTS landing only once.
- 11.07.2026Rubin Kazan2:0Krylia SovetovClub Friendlies
- 22.03.2026Krylia Sovetov0:0Rubin KazanRussia. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Rubin Kazan2:0Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 05.04.2025Krylia Sovetov1:1Rubin KazanRussia. Premier League
- 13.09.2024Rubin Kazan0:2Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
Team news, motivation and pressure
Krylia coach Sergey Bulatov wants a response to the Fakel defeat, specifically through tighter defending at set pieces and better finishing. Nikita Chernov said the squad was deeply disappointed by the loss and intends to reverse the run.
Rubin’s coach and his agent maintain that preparations continue normally despite the uncertainty over his position.
Forecast
Rubin Kazan host Krylia Sovetov at Ak Bars Arena with both teams on 12 points after 11 rounds. The pressure on the home side is higher: Rubin have recorded two draws and two defeats in their last four league matches and their coach has called the upcoming fixtures “two finals”. That motivation is supported by the season scoring record: Rubin have scored in 9 of 11 league matches, including 6 goals across five home games.
Our selection is Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) at 1.28. Rubin’s recent results are poor, but their attacking output is more stable than the scoreline suggests: they scored in 3 of their last 5 matches and failed to score in only one of their 5 home league games. Krylia’s away defence has conceded 5 times in 5 league trips, while the visitors have kept just 2 clean sheets in 11 league matches overall. Ilya Samoshnikov is available again after suspension, and the hosts need a response after defeats by Dynamo, Orenburg and Spartak. Tangi Ndombele will not play. The most likely score is 1:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) at 1.28 is the recommended outcome. Rubin’s goal in 9 of 11 league matches and Krylia’s five conceded away goals create sufficient grounds for expecting at least one home goal.
FAQ
When does Rubin Kazan — Krylia Sovetov kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 10:15 (New York), Ak Bars Arena (Kazan).
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan — Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (0.5) at 1.28.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Rubin Kazan win — 41%, draw — 29%, Krylia Sovetov win — 31%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Spartak Moscowaway0:4
- Orenburghome1:4
- Dynamo Moscowhome0:1
- Rodina Moscowaway1:1
- CSKA Moscowaway1:1
- Fakel Voronezhhome1:2
- Baltika Kaliningradhome0:2
- Spartak Moscowhome1:1
- Akron Tolyattihome4:0
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway1:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 11.07.2026Rubin Kazan2:0Krylia SovetovClub Friendlies
- 22.03.2026Krylia Sovetov0:0Rubin KazanRussia. Premier League
- 04.10.2025Rubin Kazan2:0Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 05.04.2025Krylia Sovetov1:1Rubin KazanRussia. Premier League
- 13.09.2024Rubin Kazan0:2Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
About the match
- 24 October · 10:15 New York
- Venue: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan), Kazanʹ
- Weather: 9° · precip. 0% · wind 1.7 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 23.10 10:30
Market view and goal profile
Rubin are narrow home favourites, with a home-win probability of 40.7%, compared with 28.8% for a draw and 30.6% for an away win. The line has shown no noticeable movement over the last day.
The main total favours Under at 53.5% against 46.5% for Over. BTTS is closer, with Yes at 52.3% and No at 47.8%. Frequent BTTS results in both clubs’ league campaigns contrast with the recent head-to-head pattern of clean sheets.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (0.5)
- Current odds
- 1.28
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.28
- Potential win
- 28 $
- Status
- pending
